Long Trade on ICP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 150.37 ICP at 2.376$ per unit. Take profit: 2.5089 (5.6 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3227 (2.24 %)
20 Aug 2026 at 13:13:56
hyperliquid
ICP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
20 Aug 2026 13:13
→ 01:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.3759$
Qty 150.3701 ICP
Size 357.2644$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 2.5089 (+5.6%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.3227 (-2.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.27%
/ +8.12$
MAE -1.70%
MFE +3.00%
1.3R
expires
21 Aug 01:13
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 77447)
#64 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 20/08/2026 13:00
score du 20/08/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1383
Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#64 / 74
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.24 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.82×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.32×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.49×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
20/08 13:03
20/08 13:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 19/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 20/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 20/08 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1668
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_breakout_attempt
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bull
— |
transition
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
exhaustion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.93
Transition risk :
0.07
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.71
Snapshot évalué :
20/08 13:00
· env range_with_momentum
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5499
Score SMA
—
Rank
#16
/ 65
Rank Norm SMA 8h
—
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
19/08/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7562 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.52% · r3d: 4.97% · ema21_slope: 0.3234% · dist_ema21: 7.086% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5051 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.11% · rs_3d: -2.96% · beta_24h: 0.375 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2023 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.597 · trend: -18.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6448 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 52.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5957 | ATR%: 4.213% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5858
Score SMA
0.5585
Rank
#64
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1383
Rank Norm SMA
0.4932
Calculé le
20/08/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6824 | r1h: 0.147% · r4h: 2.766% · r1d: 6.09% · r3d: 4.45% · ema21_slope: 0.1817% · dist_ema21: 2.516% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4611 | rs_1h: -0.069% · rs_4h: 1.822% · rs_1d: -0.01% · rs_3d: -8.86% · beta_24h: 0.666 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2004 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -33.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8385 | ADX: 43.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.418% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
20/08/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5748
Score SMA
0.5490
Rank
#55
/ 74
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2055
Rank Norm SMA
0.2867
Calculé le
20/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6641 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.703% · r1d: 6.59% · r3d: 6.41% · ema21_slope: 0.1360% · dist_ema21: 4.751% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4451 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.743% · rs_1d: 0.72% · rs_3d: -6.27% · beta_24h: 0.486 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2770 | rvol_20: 0.01× · zscore_50: -0.746 · trend: 45.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7261 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 31.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.239%
(0.0532)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 0.2R | -0.985% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.417% | 0.2R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.417% | 0.2R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.494% | 0.7R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.997% | 1.3R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.722% | 3.0R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 4.0× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.09
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
44%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.38 | bull_high_confirmed | +7.88% | -0.12 | 19/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.47 | bull_high_confirmed | +11.67% | -0.66 | 20/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.27 | bull_high | +9.07% | -0.07 | 20/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 50% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.58 | bull_medium | +3.57% | +0.00 | 20/08 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.944×ATR | p0 | +1.033×ATR | p59 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 3b | — | 2.132×ATR | p3 | +1.915×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.198×ATR | p2 | +1.711×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.333×ATR | p24 | +1.074×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6661
- reason: up_bo width=2.67×ATR dur=27b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 2.32269794
- tp_price: 2.50890516
- atr:
- score: 0.6660655248562
- expires_at: 2026-08-21T05:13:48.351407
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.6660655248562
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0055
- obi_top10 : 0.0347
- micro_price : 2.37578594
- spread_pct : 0.042105
- mid_price : 2.3755
- bid_wall_price : 2.37
- bid_wall_size : 63496.168
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.38
- ask_wall_size : 49892.912
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0059
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6994
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.3686
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.2832
- balance_zone_mid:
2.3259
- balance_zone_start_time:
1787151600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1787245200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.667
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
27
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6661
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1787238000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.3686
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.228
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.03202063 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
27
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.228
Signaux confirmants (21)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:13 | 2.37590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:22 | 2.38210000 | +0.261% |
| 3 | 13:31 | 2.38210000 | +0.261% |
| 4 | 13:39 | 2.37830000 | +0.101% |
| 5 | 13:47 | 2.37830000 | +0.101% |
| 6 | 13:56 | 2.37300000 | -0.122% |
| 7 | 14:07 | 2.37300000 | -0.122% |
| 8 | 17:15 | 2.37370000 | -0.093% |
| 9 | 17:24 | 2.38660000 | +0.45% |
| 10 | 17:33 | 2.38660000 | +0.45% |
| 11 | 17:41 | 2.38180000 | +0.248% |
| 12 | 17:49 | 2.37710000 | +0.051% |
| 13 | 17:57 | 2.37710000 | +0.051% |
| 14 | 18:07 | 2.37710000 | +0.051% |
| 15 | 18:16 | 2.37870000 | +0.118% |
| 16 | 18:25 | 2.38020000 | +0.181% |
| 17 | 18:33 | 2.38020000 | +0.181% |
| 18 | 18:42 | 2.38310000 | +0.303% |
| 19 | 18:50 | 2.38740000 | +0.484% |
| 20 | 18:58 | 2.38740000 | +0.484% |
| 21 | 19:08 | 2.39600000 | +0.846% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6994ms
Confidence avant OB :
67%
→
67%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.006
avg -0.006
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.035
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.3755
Micro Price
2.3758
Spread
0.0421%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.3700
Size
63,496.17
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.3800
Size
49,892.91
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3759 | 2.3227 | 2.5089 | 2.5 | 2.2324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3759
- Stop Loss: 2.3227
- Take Profit: 2.5089
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3227 - 2.3759 = -0.0532
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3759 - 2.5089 = -0.133
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.133 / -0.0532 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 357.2644 | 100 | 150.3701 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0532
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0532 = -150.38
Taille de position USD = -150.38 x 2.3759 = -357.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -150.38 avec un stoploss a 2.3227
Avec un position size USD de -357.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -150.38 x -0.0532 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -150.38 x -0.133 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -150.38
- Taille de position USD -357.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.6 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.12 $ | 2.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7004 % | 75.94 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3759 | 2.3227 | 2.5089 | 2.5 | 2.2324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.3759
- Stop Loss: 2.3227
- Take Profit: 2.5089
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3227 - 2.3759 = -0.0532
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3759 - 2.5089 = -0.133
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.133 / -0.0532 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.239%
(0.0532)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.417% | 0.2R | -0.985% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.417% | 0.2R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.417% | 0.2R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.494% | 0.7R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.997% | 1.3R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.722% | 3.0R | -1.700% | 0.8R | 4.0× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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