28 Sep 2026 at 16:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FARTCOIN (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 703.15 FARTCOIN at 0.168$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1639 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1795 (6.78 %)

FARTCOIN SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 16:15 → 17:50 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.1681$

Qty 703.1459 FARTCOIN

Size 118.234$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1639 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.95$

SL 0.1795 (-6.78%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.95$ MAE -0.83% MFE +3.53% 0.5R expires 28 Sep 22:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 162853)
#57 / 89 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1064

Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
23.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#57 / 89 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#57 / 89 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.78 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.35×ATR
4h near -0.42×ATR
1d clear 3.79×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 14:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4297
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 44.1%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 69.0%
1h 0.0%
4h 57.8%
24h 16.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 59.2% +0.10%
4h 54.9% +0.22%
24h 19.7% -5.65%
Dispersion : 0.129
Universe : 71 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 16:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5514
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#65 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1688
Rank Norm SMA
0.2464
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8139 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.45% · r3d: 5.42% · ema21_slope: 1.3580% · dist_ema21: 11.532%
Force Relative 25% 0.6043 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.42% · rs_3d: 5.35% · beta_24h: 2.213
Volume 20% 0.2291 rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.584 · trend: -7.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7354 ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4301
Score SMA
0.5466
Rank
#57 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1064
Rank Norm SMA
0.4244
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1213 r1h: -2.840% · r4h: -0.851% · r1d: -14.97% · r3d: -13.41% · ema21_slope: -0.5524% · dist_ema21: -5.133%
Force Relative 25% 0.1676 rs_1h: -2.027% · rs_4h: -0.839% · rs_1d: -13.38% · rs_3d: -12.66% · beta_24h: 3.502
Volume 20% 0.7630 rvol_20: 2.24× · zscore_50: 2.398 · trend: 43.95%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6916 ADX: 39.2 (trend) · Chop: 54.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.814% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3197
Score SMA
0.5665
Rank
#87 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0341
Rank Norm SMA
0.4245
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3348 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.851% · r1d: -14.97% · r3d: -13.41% · ema21_slope: -0.2885% · dist_ema21: -9.822%
Force Relative 25% 0.1884 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.839% · rs_1d: -13.38% · rs_3d: -12.66% · beta_24h: 4.618
Volume 20% 0.4182 rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: -0.029 · trend: 18.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6724 ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.2421 ATR%: 5.274% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.782% (0.0114)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.964% 0.1R -0.625% 0.1R 1.5× 12
2h +2.939% 0.4R -0.625% 0.1R 4.7× 24
4h +2.939% 0.4R -0.625% 0.1R 4.7× 48
6h ★ +3.528% 0.5R -0.833% 0.1R 4.2× 72
8h +4.551% 0.7R -0.833% 0.1R 5.5× 96
12h +4.551% 0.7R -1.154% 0.2R 3.9× 144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.97
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -1.2ATR 0.65 bull_high +14.58% +0.58 26/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 41% late near -0.4ATR — 0.58 bull_high +1.73% -0.69 28/09 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 47% early — — 0.49 range_medium +0.07% -0.83 28/09 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.4ATR — 0.77 range_low -0.33% -0.07 28/09 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156487
↑ up bull_high
62%
early 12b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.665

—

near -1.2ATR

0.57 above_value -0.71 ATR — #88076 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:25
4h
163178
↔ neutral bear_high
50%
late 16b -2.2ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.437

near -0.4ATR

—

1.21 below_value -6.32 ATR — #91038 28/09 08:00
upd 28/09 12:20
1h anchor
164482
↓ down bear_high
54%
early 3b -1.0ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.600

—

—

0.19 below_value -5.47 ATR — #91661 28/09 14:00
upd 28/09 15:11
15m
164835
↓ down bear_high
61%
mid 10b -1.3ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.617

near -1.4ATR

—

0.39 below_value -5.47 ATR — #91661 28/09 15:45
upd 28/09 16:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 12b — 3.668×ATR p24 +1.123×ATR p60
4h ↓ down late 16b — 3.757×ATR p58 -2.246×ATR p86
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.489×ATR p5 -0.973×ATR p51
15m ↓ down mid 10b — 2.553×ATR p47 -1.281×ATR p65

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.17952744
  2. tp_price: 0.16394625
  3. atr: 0.00455097
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T02:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 89
  2. total: 89
  3. score: 0.1167
  4. delta_2h: -0.0888
  5. extension_atr: -1.4
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1021
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 16:15 0.16815000 +0.03%
2 17:15 0.16792000 -0.107%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1681 0.1795 0.1639 0.37 0.1871
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1681
  • Stop Loss: 0.1795
  • Take Profit: 0.1639

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1795 - 0.1681 = 0.0114

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1681 - 0.1639 = 0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0114 = 0.3684

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
118.234 100 703.1459 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0114

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0114 = 701.75

Taille de position USD = 701.75 x 0.1681 = 117.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 701.75 avec un stoploss a 0.1795

Avec un position size USD de 117.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 701.75 x 0.0114 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 701.75 x 0.0042 = 2.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 701.75
  • Taille de position USD 117.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3684

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.78 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
2.95 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6246 % 9.21 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1681 0.1795 0.1639 0.37 0.1871
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1681
  • Stop Loss: 0.1795
  • Take Profit: 0.1639

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1795 - 0.1681 = 0.0114

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1681 - 0.1639 = 0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0114 = 0.3684

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.782% (0.0114)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.964% 0.1R -0.625% 0.1R 1.5× 12
2h +2.939% 0.4R -0.625% 0.1R 4.7× 24
4h +2.939% 0.4R -0.625% 0.1R 4.7× 48
6h ★ +3.528% 0.5R -0.833% 0.1R 4.2× 72
8h +4.551% 0.7R -0.833% 0.1R 5.5× 96
12h +4.551% 0.7R -1.154% 0.2R 3.9× 144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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