Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.11 ZEC at 1471.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1434.7125 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1542.6329 (4.83 %)
28 Sep 2026 at 16:15:09
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Sep 2026 16:15
→ 21:10
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 1471.5$
Qty 0.1125 ZEC
Size 165.493$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1434.7125 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.14$
SL 1542.6329 (-4.83%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.52
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.14$
MAE -1.23%
MFE +6.12%
1.3R
expires
28 Sep 22:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 162868)
#30 / 89
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 16:00
score du 28/09/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5254
Quality Score
0.494
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
551.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 16:02
28/09 16:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#30 / 89
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 89
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.91×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.68×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 8.53×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 28/09 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4297
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
44.1%
Impulse :
-0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
mixed
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 69.0% |
| 1h | 0.0% |
| 4h | 57.8% |
| 24h | 16.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 59.2% | +0.10% |
| 4h | 54.9% | +0.22% |
| 24h | 19.7% | -5.65% |
Dispersion :
0.129
Universe :
71
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
28/09 16:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5882
Score SMA
0.6337
Rank
#55
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2987
Rank Norm SMA
0.5640
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7604 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: 2.67% · ema21_slope: 2.7387% · dist_ema21: 15.715% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6048 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.94% · rs_3d: 2.61% · beta_24h: 1.092 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2943 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.148 · trend: 13.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 60.9 (trend) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.347% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4935
Score SMA
0.5443
Rank
#30
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5254
Rank Norm SMA
0.4741
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1758 | r1h: -4.122% · r4h: -5.217% · r1d: -9.78% · r3d: -6.06% · ema21_slope: -0.1822% · dist_ema21: -6.256% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1201 | rs_1h: -3.309% · rs_4h: -5.205% · rs_1d: -8.18% · rs_3d: -5.30% · beta_24h: 2.109 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.09× · zscore_50: 3.770 · trend: 127.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7440 | ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 27.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.933% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4981
Score SMA
0.5625
Rank
#57
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4716
Rank Norm SMA
0.4278
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3922 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.217% · r1d: -9.78% · r3d: -6.06% · ema21_slope: 0.0919% · dist_ema21: -7.038% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2598 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.205% · rs_1d: -8.18% · rs_3d: -5.30% · beta_24h: 2.922 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7006 | rvol_20: 2.37× · zscore_50: 1.456 · trend: 27.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6564 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 39.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7886 | ATR%: 3.634% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.834%
(71.1329)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.393% | 0.3R | -0.299% | 0.1R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.801% | 0.4R | -0.299% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.801% | 0.4R | -1.169% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.123% | 1.3R | -1.230% | 0.3R | 5.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.068% | 1.5R | -1.230% | 0.3R | 5.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.761% | 1.6R | -1.230% | 0.3R | 6.3× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +14.58% | +0.99 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.54 | bull_high | +1.73% | -0.13 | 28/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.26 | range_medium | +0.07% | -0.45 | 28/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.33% | -0.54 | 28/09 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
156523 |
↑ up | bull_high |
67%
|
late 60b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.490 |
— — |
0.63 | value | +2.03 ATR | — | #88088 |
26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:26
|
|
4h
163223 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
57%
|
mid 10b -0.9ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.779 |
near -0.7ATR — |
1.73 | value | -0.99 ATR | — | #91053 |
28/09 08:00
upd 28/09 12:22
|
|
1h
anchor
164498 |
↓ down | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
late 2b -1.7ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.481 |
— — |
1.10 | above_value | -1.49 ATR | — | #91677 |
28/09 14:00
upd 28/09 15:12
|
|
15m
164847 |
↓ down | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
late 10b -3.8ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.751 |
— — |
1.55 | above_value | -1.49 ATR | — | #91677 |
28/09 15:45
upd 28/09 16:05
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 60b | — | 8.576×ATR | p93 | +1.382×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.318×ATR | p58 | -0.869×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 0.218×ATR | p0 | -1.702×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.74×ATR | p85 | -3.832×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1542.63291774
- tp_price: 1434.7125
- atr: 28.4531671
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T02:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 87
- total: 89
- score: 0.1991
- delta_2h: -0.1434
- extension_atr: -2.4
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5283
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1471.5 | 1542.6329 | 1434.7125 | 0.52 | 1345.3 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1471.5
- Stop Loss: 1542.6329
- Take Profit: 1434.7125
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1542.6329 - 1471.5 = 71.1329
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1471.5 - 1434.7125 = 36.7875
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 36.7875 / 71.1329 = 0.5172
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165.493 | 100 | 0.1125 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 71.1329
Taille de position = 8 / 71.1329 = 0.11
Taille de position USD = 0.11 x 1471.5 = 161.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.11 avec un stoploss a 1542.6329
Avec un position size USD de 161.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.11 x 71.1329 = 7.82
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.82$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.11 x 36.7875 = 4.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.05$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.11
- Taille de position USD 161.87
- Perte potentielle 7.82
- Gain potentiel 4.05
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5172
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.14 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.83 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.14 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.23 % | 25.44 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1471.5 | 1542.6329 | 1434.7125 | 0.52 | 1345.3 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1471.5
- Stop Loss: 1542.6329
- Take Profit: 1434.7125
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1542.6329 - 1471.5 = 71.1329
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1471.5 - 1434.7125 = 36.7875
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 36.7875 / 71.1329 = 0.5172
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.834%
(71.1329)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.393% | 0.3R | -0.299% | 0.1R | 4.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.801% | 0.4R | -0.299% | 0.1R | 6.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.801% | 0.4R | -1.169% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.123% | 1.3R | -1.230% | 0.3R | 5.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +7.068% | 1.5R | -1.230% | 0.3R | 5.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +7.761% | 1.6R | -1.230% | 0.3R | 6.3× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.