Short Trade on LDO

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28 Sep 2026 at 16:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 343.04 LDO at 0.443$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4324 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4668 (5.25 %)

LDO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 16:15 → 17:50 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.4435$

Qty 343.0411 LDO

Size 152.1456$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4324 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.81$

SL 0.4668 (-5.25%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.48

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.81$ MAE -0.75% MFE +3.23% 0.6R expires 28 Sep 22:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 162806)

#84 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2782

Quality Score

0.354

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

6.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 16:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#84 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#84 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.25 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.65×ATR
4h	clear	2.29×ATR
1d	clear	4.42×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 15:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 15:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4297

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 44.1%

Impulse : -0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	69.0%
1h	0.0%
4h	57.8%
24h	16.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	59.2%	+0.10%
4h	54.9%	+0.22%
24h	19.7%	-5.65%

Dispersion : 0.129

Universe : 71 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 16:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7324

Score SMA

0.6473

Rank

#18 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7792

Rank Norm SMA

0.5431

Calculé le

27/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9511	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.35% · r3d: 12.99% · ema21_slope: 1.3846% · dist_ema21: 19.355%
Force Relative	25%	0.8558	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.32% · rs_3d: 12.93% · beta_24h: 1.370
Volume	20%	0.5766	rvol_20: 1.36× · zscore_50: 0.587 · trend: 105.95%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7855	ADX: 34.3 (trend) · Chop: 30.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.269% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.3536

Score SMA

0.5794

Rank

#84 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2782

Rank Norm SMA

0.5188

Calculé le

28/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1835	r1h: -1.835% · r4h: -1.811% · r1d: -10.35% · r3d: -12.10% · ema21_slope: -0.3643% · dist_ema21: -4.511%
Force Relative	25%	0.2159	rs_1h: -1.022% · rs_4h: -1.799% · rs_1d: -8.76% · rs_3d: -11.35% · beta_24h: 2.271
Volume	20%	0.2044	rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: -15.01%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6505	ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 50.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.213% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4392

Score SMA

0.6155

Rank

#74 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2273

Rank Norm SMA

0.5355

Calculé le

28/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4740	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.811% · r1d: -10.35% · r3d: -12.10% · ema21_slope: 0.1478% · dist_ema21: -5.609%
Force Relative	25%	0.2908	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.799% · rs_1d: -8.76% · rs_3d: -11.35% · beta_24h: 1.836
Volume	20%	0.3414	rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: 0.103 · trend: 18.91%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6120	ADX: 29.3 (trend) · Chop: 54.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5004	ATR%: 4.499% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.254% (0.0233)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.124%	0.0R	-0.746%	0.1R	0.2×	12
2h	+2.663%	0.5R	-0.746%	0.1R	3.6×	24
4h	+2.663%	0.5R	-0.746%	0.1R	3.6×	48
6h ★	+3.233%	0.6R	-0.746%	0.1R	4.3×	72
8h	+3.680%	0.7R	-0.746%	0.1R	4.9×	96
12h	+3.680%	0.7R	-3.707%	0.7R	1.0×	144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 5.08

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.66	bull_high	+14.58%	+0.93	26/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.51	bull_high	+1.68%	-0.30	28/09 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	expansion	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.45	bear_medium	-0.73%	-0.78	28/09 15:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.66	range_low	-0.33%	-0.18	28/09 15:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 156302	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	66%	late 11b 2.1ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.588	— —	1.36	above_value	+0.93 ATR	—	#88033	26/09 20:00 upd 27/09 20:18
4h 164891	↔ neutral	bull_high	56%	mid 17b -1.4ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.688	— —	0.77	below_value	-4.87 ATR	—	#91794	28/09 12:00 upd 28/09 16:14
1h anchor 164890	↓ down	bear_high	53%	late 15b -2.2ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.583	— —	0.25	below_value	-4.87 ATR	—	#91794	28/09 15:00 upd 28/09 16:14
15m 164792	↓ down	bear_high	57%	late 10b -1.9ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.742	— —	0.24	value	-4.01 ATR	—	#91614	28/09 15:45 upd 28/09 16:01
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	11b	—	4.667×ATR	p63	+2.05×ATR	p85
4h	↓ down	mid	17b	—	3.503×ATR	p58	-1.371×ATR	p74
1h	↓ down	late	15b	—	5.089×ATR	p89	-2.209×ATR	p85
15m	↓ down	late	10b	—	3.662×ATR	p53	-1.919×ATR	p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.46684082
tp_price: 0.432432
atr: 0.00932833
expires_at: 2026-09-29T02:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 85
total: 89
score: 0.2128
delta_2h: -0.0829
extension_atr: -1.64
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2825
confidence: 0.955

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4435	0.4668	0.4324	0.48	0.4647

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4435
Stop Loss: 0.4668
Take Profit: 0.4324

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4668 - 0.4435 = 0.0233
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4435 - 0.4324 = 0.0111
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0111 / 0.0233 = 0.4764

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
152.1456	100	343.0411	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0233

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0233 = 343.35

Taille de position USD = 343.35 x 0.4435 = 152.28

Donc, tu peux acheter 343.35 avec un stoploss a 0.4668

Avec un position size USD de 152.28$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 343.35 x 0.0233 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 343.35 x 0.0111 = 3.81

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.81$

Résumé

Taille de position 343.35
Taille de position USD 152.28
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.81
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4764

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.81 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.25 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
3.81 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.7463 %	14.21 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4435	0.4668	0.4324	0.48	0.4647

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4435
Stop Loss: 0.4668
Take Profit: 0.4324

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4668 - 0.4435 = 0.0233
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4435 - 0.4324 = 0.0111
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0111 / 0.0233 = 0.4764

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.254% (0.0233)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.124%	0.0R	-0.746%	0.1R	0.2×	12
2h	+2.663%	0.5R	-0.746%	0.1R	3.6×	24
4h	+2.663%	0.5R	-0.746%	0.1R	3.6×	48
6h ★	+3.233%	0.6R	-0.746%	0.1R	4.3×	72
8h	+3.680%	0.7R	-0.746%	0.1R	4.9×	96
12h	+3.680%	0.7R	-3.707%	0.7R	1.0×	144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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