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Short Trade on MET

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28 Sep 2026 at 16:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 351.68 MET at 0.325$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3173 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3482 (7.01 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 16:15 → 21:30 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.3254$

Qty 351.6819 MET

Size 114.4478$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3173 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.85$

SL 0.3482 (-7.01%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.36

Status win PnL +2.49% / +2.85$ MAE -2.36% MFE +5.40% 0.8R expires 28 Sep 22:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 162870)
#86 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2867

Quality Score
0.343
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#86 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.01 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#86 / 89 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.01 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.89×ATR
4h clear 2.05×ATR
1d clear 4.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4297
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 44.1%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 69.0%
1h 0.0%
4h 57.8%
24h 16.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 59.2% +0.10%
4h 54.9% +0.22%
24h 19.7% -5.65%
Dispersion : 0.129
Universe : 71 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 16:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7514
Score SMA
0.6934
Rank
#16 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8052
Rank Norm SMA
0.7440
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 1.0000 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.74% · r3d: 16.05% · ema21_slope: 3.5283% · dist_ema21: 35.827%
Force Relative 25% 0.9840 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.72% · rs_3d: 15.99% · beta_24h: 1.902
Volume 20% 0.2933 rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.148 · trend: 21.85%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9786 ADX: 57.4 (trend) · Chop: 22.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.751% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3431
Score SMA
0.6084
Rank
#86 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2867
Rank Norm SMA
0.6133
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1710 r1h: -2.007% · r4h: -0.658% · r1d: -14.42% · r3d: -12.50% · ema21_slope: -0.4547% · dist_ema21: -4.118%
Force Relative 25% 0.2139 rs_1h: -1.194% · rs_4h: -0.646% · rs_1d: -12.82% · rs_3d: -11.75% · beta_24h: 3.137
Volume 20% 0.3455 rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.316 · trend: -1.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5522 ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.954% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4414
Score SMA
0.6377
Rank
#73 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2727
Rank Norm SMA
0.6451
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5161 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.658% · r1d: -14.42% · r3d: -12.50% · ema21_slope: 0.0078% · dist_ema21: -6.539%
Force Relative 25% 0.3666 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.646% · rs_1d: -12.82% · rs_3d: -11.75% · beta_24h: 4.406
Volume 20% 0.4057 rvol_20: 1.36× · zscore_50: -0.129 · trend: 7.96%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7057 ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0742 ATR%: 5.777% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.007% (0.0228)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.310% 0.0R -2.308% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.366% 0.1R -2.308% 0.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.366% 0.1R -2.308% 0.3R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +5.400% 0.8R -2.360% 0.3R 2.3× 72
8h +5.400% 0.8R -2.360% 0.3R 2.3× 96
12h +5.400% 0.8R -2.360% 0.3R 2.3× 144

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.35
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 46% late — near -0.7ATR 0.48 bull_high +14.58% +1.00 26/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.34 bull_high +1.73% -0.25 28/09 08:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 51% early — — 0.42 range_medium +0.07% -0.84 28/09 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% late — — 0.50 range_low -0.43% +0.01 28/09 15:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156529 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
63%
late 4b 2.8ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.717

—

near -0.7ATR

0.55 value +4.38 ATR inside #88090 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:26
4h
163229 		↔ neutral bull_high
55%
mid 3b -1.3ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.548

—

—

2.01 below_value -3.25 ATR inside #91055 28/09 08:00
upd 28/09 12:22
1h anchor
164500 		↓ down bear_high
56%
early 2b -0.8ATR noisy_chop 51% 0.541

—

—

0.25 below_value -3.08 ATR — #91679 28/09 14:00
upd 28/09 15:12
15m
164767 		↓ down bear_high
58%
late 13b -1.1ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.541

—

—

0.60 below_value -3.08 ATR — #91679 28/09 15:30
upd 28/09 15:48
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 4b — 0.885×ATR p0 +2.831×ATR p97
4h ↓ down mid 3b — 3.282×ATR p31 -1.305×ATR p71
1h ↓ down early 2b — 1.339×ATR p0 -0.813×ATR p37
15m ↓ down late 13b — 4.778×ATR p83 -1.088×ATR p47

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.34817783
  2. tp_price: 0.31729425
  3. atr: 0.00909913
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T02:15:10+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 86
  2. total: 89
  3. score: 0.2008
  4. delta_2h: -0.0512
  5. extension_atr: -0.95
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2853
  9. confidence: 0.966

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3254 0.3482 0.3173 0.36 0.3015
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3254
  • Stop Loss: 0.3482
  • Take Profit: 0.3173

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3482 - 0.3254 = 0.0228

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3254 - 0.3173 = 0.0081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0228 = 0.3553

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
114.4478 100 351.6819 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0228

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0228 = 350.88

Taille de position USD = 350.88 x 0.3254 = 114.18

Donc, tu peux acheter 350.88 avec un stoploss a 0.3482

Avec un position size USD de 114.18$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 350.88 x 0.0228 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 350.88 x 0.0081 = 2.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 350.88
  • Taille de position USD 114.18
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3553

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 2.85 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.01 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
2.85 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.3602 % 33.68 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3254 0.3482 0.3173 0.36 0.3015
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3254
  • Stop Loss: 0.3482
  • Take Profit: 0.3173

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3482 - 0.3254 = 0.0228

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3254 - 0.3173 = 0.0081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0081 / 0.0228 = 0.3553

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.007% (0.0228)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.310% 0.0R -2.308% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.366% 0.1R -2.308% 0.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.366% 0.1R -2.308% 0.3R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +5.400% 0.8R -2.360% 0.3R 2.3× 72
8h +5.400% 0.8R -2.360% 0.3R 2.3× 96
12h +5.400% 0.8R -2.360% 0.3R 2.3× 144

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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