Long Trade on SYRUP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 832.66 SYRUP at 0.224$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2478 (10.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2142 (4.29 %)
28 Sep 2026 at 17:45:19
hyperliquid
SYRUP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Sep 2026 17:45
→ 20:45
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2238$
Qty 832.6637 SYRUP
Size 186.3585$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2478 (+10.72%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.2142 (-4.29%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+10.72%
/ +19.98$
MAE -1.64%
MFE +13.92%
3.3R
expires
29 Sep 05:45
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 163037)
#4 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 17:00
score du 28/09/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8224
Quality Score
0.747
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 17:32
28/09 17:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#4 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#4 / 89
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.29 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.46×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.43×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 28/09 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4303
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
33.8%
Impulse :
+0.01
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
mixed
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 48.6% |
| 1h | 84.7% |
| 4h | 27.8% |
| 24h | 19.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 47.2% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 41.7% | -0.50% |
| 24h | 20.8% | -4.98% |
Dispersion :
0.114
Universe :
72
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
28/09 17:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
26/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6183
Score SMA
0.5316
Rank
#49
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4074
Rank Norm SMA
0.2455
Calculé le
26/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7464 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.23% · r3d: 10.28% · ema21_slope: 0.4234% · dist_ema21: 3.503% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5810 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.64% · rs_3d: 10.23% · beta_24h: 1.058 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7179 | rvol_20: 1.82× · zscore_50: 2.057 · trend: 77.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7040 | ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.7465
Score SMA
0.5282
Rank
#4
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8224
Rank Norm SMA
0.3849
Calculé le
28/09/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6729 | r1h: 2.380% · r4h: 3.955% · r1d: 2.16% · r3d: 1.87% · ema21_slope: 0.0266% · dist_ema21: 3.515% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7401 | rs_1h: 2.202% · rs_4h: 4.194% · rs_1d: 3.34% · rs_3d: 2.30% · beta_24h: 2.747 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7803 | rvol_20: 2.04× · zscore_50: 2.012 · trend: 104.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6900 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 35.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.841% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6192
Score SMA
0.5301
Rank
#17
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7159
Rank Norm SMA
0.2835
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5657 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.636% · r1d: -0.53% · r3d: -1.19% · ema21_slope: -0.0805% · dist_ema21: 0.482% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5483 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.648% · rs_1d: 1.06% · rs_3d: -0.44% · beta_24h: 2.275 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6585 | rvol_20: 1.89× · zscore_50: 1.473 · trend: 53.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6677 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 44.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8059 | ATR%: 3.582% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.290%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.648% | 0.2R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.726% | 0.6R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +13.923% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +13.923% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +13.923% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +14.281% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.7× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 4.63
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | near -0.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.62 | bull_high | +14.58% | -0.66 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.68% | +0.08 | 28/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.26 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.65 | range_low | -0.23% | +0.40 | 28/09 17:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
161525 |
↑ up | bull_high |
54%
|
early 6b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 32% | 0.724 |
near -0.2ATR near 0.4ATR |
0.72 | value | -3.17 ATR | — | #90279 |
26/09 20:00
upd 28/09 08:25
|
|
4h
165046 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
56%
|
early 2b 0.1ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.528 |
near 0.4ATR — |
1.89 | above_value | -0.57 ATR | — | #91848 |
28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:21
|
|
1h
anchor
165463 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
mid 1b 1.7ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.543 |
— — |
2.04 | value | +0.65 ATR | — | #92118 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 17:12
|
|
15m
165644 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
mid 1b 1.6ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.521 |
— — |
0.21 | value | +0.65 ATR | — | #92118 |
28/09 17:15
upd 28/09 17:33
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.768×ATR | p0 | +0.241×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.853×ATR | p0 | +0.128×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.823×ATR | p22 | +1.675×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.298×ATR | p3 | +1.641×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9802
- reason: up_bo width=2.94×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.21420228
- tp_price: 0.2478293
- atr:
- score: 0.86022860789235
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T09:45:11.717297
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86022860789235
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.3171
- obi_top10 : 0.2363
- micro_price : 0.2223
- spread_pct : 0.090009
- mid_price : 0.2223
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.224
- ask_wall_size : 140670
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.3224
- obi_top5_std : 0.0078
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6929
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.2206
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.20862
- balance_zone_mid:
0.21461
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790521200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790629200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9383
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
31
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8602
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790625600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.2206
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8387
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7873
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00407721 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.8387
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7873
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:45 | 0.22381000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 17:54 | 0.22381000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 18:06 | 0.22381000 | +0.004% |
| 4 | 18:38 | 0.22248000 | -0.59% |
| 5 | 18:47 | 0.22248000 | -0.59% |
| 6 | 18:57 | 0.22248000 | -0.59% |
| 7 | 19:08 | 0.22248000 | -0.59% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6929ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
98%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.317
avg 0.322
± 0.008
OBI Top 10
0.236
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2223
Micro Price
0.2223
Spread
0.0900%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2240
Size
140,670.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2238 | 0.2142 | 0.2478 | 2.5 | 0.2567 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2238
- Stop Loss: 0.2142
- Take Profit: 0.2478
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2142 - 0.2238 = -0.0096
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2238 - 0.2478 = -0.024
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.024 / -0.0096 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 186.3585 | 100 | 832.6637 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0096
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0096 = -833.33
Taille de position USD = -833.33 x 0.2238 = -186.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -833.33 avec un stoploss a 0.2142
Avec un position size USD de -186.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -833.33 x -0.0096 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -833.33 x -0.024 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -833.33
- Taille de position USD -186.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.72 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.29 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.98 $ | 10.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6443 % | 38.33 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2238 | 0.2142 | 0.2478 | 2.5 | 0.2567 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2238
- Stop Loss: 0.2142
- Take Profit: 0.2478
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2142 - 0.2238 = -0.0096
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2238 - 0.2478 = -0.024
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.024 / -0.0096 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.243
[stop_loss] => 0.2142
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 00:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2478
[stop_loss] => 0.2142
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 00:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2526
[stop_loss] => 0.2142
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 00:45:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.290%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.648% | 0.2R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.726% | 0.6R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +13.923% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +13.923% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +13.923% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +14.281% | 3.3R | -1.644% | 0.4R | 8.7× | 288 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.