28 Sep 2026 at 19:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FARTCOIN (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 754.79 FARTCOIN at 0.166$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1621 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1769 (6.37 %)

FARTCOIN SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 19:15 → 22:20 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.1663$

Qty 754.7925 FARTCOIN

Size 125.4993$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1621 (+2.53%)

TP $ 3.17$

SL 0.1769 (-6.37%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.4

Status win PnL +2.53% / +3.17$ MAE -1.92% MFE +3.52% 0.6R expires 29 Sep 01:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163211)
#90 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0895

Quality Score
0.328
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
24.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 19:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#90 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.37 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#90 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.37 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.14×ATR
4h near -0.58×ATR
1d clear 3.79×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4309
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 19.4%
Impulse : +0.01
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 62.2%
1h 66.2%
4h 8.1%
24h 17.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 62.2% +0.02%
4h 27.0% -1.84%
24h 20.3% -5.06%
Dispersion : 0.214
Universe : 74 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 19:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5514
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#65 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1688
Rank Norm SMA
0.2464
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8139 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.45% · r3d: 5.42% · ema21_slope: 1.3580% · dist_ema21: 11.532%
Force Relative 25% 0.6043 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.42% · rs_3d: 5.35% · beta_24h: 2.213
Volume 20% 0.2291 rvol_20: 0.57× · zscore_50: -0.584 · trend: -7.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7354 ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3281
Score SMA
0.5405
Rank
#90 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0895
Rank Norm SMA
0.4103
Calculé le
28/09/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1771 r1h: 1.165% · r4h: -3.243% · r1d: -14.29% · r3d: -16.05% · ema21_slope: -0.4731% · dist_ema21: -4.191%
Force Relative 25% 0.2277 rs_1h: 0.770% · rs_4h: -2.612% · rs_1d: -13.52% · rs_3d: -15.42% · beta_24h: 3.733
Volume 20% 0.2259 rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.446 · trend: -8.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6422 ADX: 40.8 (trend) · Chop: 62.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.716% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3563
Score SMA
0.5673
Rank
#86 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0341
Rank Norm SMA
0.4247
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3348 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.851% · r1d: -14.97% · r3d: -13.41% · ema21_slope: -0.2885% · dist_ema21: -9.822%
Force Relative 25% 0.1884 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.839% · rs_1d: -13.38% · rs_3d: -12.66% · beta_24h: 4.618
Volume 20% 0.4182 rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: -0.029 · trend: 18.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6724 ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.2421 ATR%: 5.274% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.374% (0.0106)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.034% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +1.016% 0.2R -1.924% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +3.518% 0.6R -1.924% 0.3R 1.8× 48
6h ★ +3.518% 0.6R -1.924% 0.3R 1.8× 72
8h +3.518% 0.6R -1.960% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h +3.518% 0.6R -5.725% 0.9R 0.6× 144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.36
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -1.2ATR 0.65 bull_high +14.58% +0.58 26/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 41% late near -0.6ATR — 0.58 bull_high +1.68% -0.90 28/09 12:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate explosive expansion bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 43% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.51 range_medium -0.51% -0.85 28/09 18:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 48% early — — 0.78 range_low -0.09% -0.23 28/09 18:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
156487
↑ up bull_high
62%
early 12b 1.1ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.665

—

near -1.2ATR

0.57 above_value -0.71 ATR — #88076 26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:25
4h
165025
↔ neutral bear_high
48%
late 17b -2.1ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.439

near -0.6ATR

—

1.31 below_value -6.39 ATR — #91841 28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:20
1h anchor
166356
↓ down bear_high
53%
mid 6b -1.6ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.414

near 0.1ATR

—

0.34 below_value -6.97 ATR — #92475 28/09 18:00
upd 28/09 19:12
15m
166269
↓ down bear_high
63%
early 7b -0.8ATR noisy_chop 48% 0.546

—

—

0.48 below_value -7.25 ATR — #92293 28/09 18:45
upd 28/09 19:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 12b — 3.668×ATR p24 +1.123×ATR p60
4h ↓ down late 17b — 3.952×ATR p69 -2.149×ATR p85
1h ↓ down mid 6b — 1.618×ATR p10 -1.624×ATR p76
15m ↓ down early 7b — 1.848×ATR p21 -0.752×ATR p41

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.17686894
  2. tp_price: 0.16211325
  3. atr: 0.00423958
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T05:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 90
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.1462
  4. delta_2h: -0.0527
  5. extension_atr: -1.38
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0881
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1663 0.1769 0.1621 0.4 0.1727
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1663
  • Stop Loss: 0.1769
  • Take Profit: 0.1621

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1769 - 0.1663 = 0.0106

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1663 - 0.1621 = 0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0106 = 0.3962

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
125.4993 100 754.7925 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0106

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0106 = 754.72

Taille de position USD = 754.72 x 0.1663 = 125.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 754.72 avec un stoploss a 0.1769

Avec un position size USD de 125.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 754.72 x 0.0106 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 754.72 x 0.0042 = 3.17

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.17$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 754.72
  • Taille de position USD 125.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.17
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3962

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 3.17 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.37 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
3.17 $ 2.53
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9242 % 30.19 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1663 0.1769 0.1621 0.4 0.1727
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1663
  • Stop Loss: 0.1769
  • Take Profit: 0.1621

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1769 - 0.1663 = 0.0106

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1663 - 0.1621 = 0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0106 = 0.3962

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.374% (0.0106)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.034% 0.2R 0.0× 12
2h +1.016% 0.2R -1.924% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +3.518% 0.6R -1.924% 0.3R 1.8× 48
6h ★ +3.518% 0.6R -1.924% 0.3R 1.8× 72
8h +3.518% 0.6R -1.960% 0.3R 1.8× 96
12h +3.518% 0.6R -5.725% 0.9R 0.6× 144

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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