Short Trade on TIA

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28 Sep 2026 at 19:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 357.53 TIA at 0.444$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4334 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4669 (5.04 %)

TIA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 19:15 → 21:25 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.4445$

Qty 357.5278 TIA

Size 158.9175$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4334 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.97$

SL 0.4669 (-5.04%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.5

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.97$ MAE -1.29% MFE +4.50% 0.9R expires 29 Sep 01:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163178)

#75 / 90 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1844

Quality Score

0.392

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 19:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#75 / 90 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#75 / 90 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.28×ATR
4h	clear	6.36×ATR
1d	clear	3.99×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 18:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 18:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4309

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 19.4%

Impulse : +0.01

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	62.2%
1h	66.2%
4h	8.1%
24h	17.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	62.2%	+0.02%
4h	27.0%	-1.84%
24h	20.3%	-5.06%

Dispersion : 0.214

Universe : 74 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 19:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 19:00

Score brut

0.3922

Score SMA

0.5704

Rank

#75 / 90

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1844

Rank Norm SMA

0.5492

Calculé le

28/09/2026 19:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2225	r1h: 0.251% · r4h: -3.520% · r1d: -11.76% · r3d: -10.86% · ema21_slope: -0.3662% · dist_ema21: -3.794%
Force Relative	25%	0.2236	rs_1h: -0.143% · rs_4h: -2.890% · rs_1d: -10.99% · rs_3d: -10.22% · beta_24h: 3.158
Volume	20%	0.3449	rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.255 · trend: -7.04%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6706	ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.157% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4581

Score SMA

0.6389

Rank

#69 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1818

Rank Norm SMA

0.6737

Calculé le

28/09/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4492	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.022% · r1d: -11.32% · r3d: -8.63% · ema21_slope: -0.1082% · dist_ema21: -6.624%
Force Relative	25%	0.3596	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.034% · rs_1d: -9.73% · rs_3d: -7.87% · beta_24h: 3.268
Volume	20%	0.3769	rvol_20: 1.42× · zscore_50: -0.210 · trend: -16.70%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6710	ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5736	ATR%: 4.279% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.039% (0.0224)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.273%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+2.387%	0.5R	-1.287%	0.3R	1.9×	24
4h	+4.499%	0.9R	-1.287%	0.3R	3.5×	48
6h ★	+4.499%	0.9R	-1.287%	0.3R	3.5×	72
8h	+4.499%	0.9R	-1.287%	0.3R	3.5×	96
12h	+4.499%	0.9R	-3.888%	0.8R	1.2×	144

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.24

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	67%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	near -1.3ATR	0.64	bull_high	+14.58%	+0.81	26/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	47%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.47	bull_high	+1.68%	-0.75	28/09 12:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	near -0.3ATR	—	0.33	range_medium	-0.51%	-0.77	28/09 18:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 48%	early	—	—	0.71	range_low	-0.09%	-0.18	28/09 18:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 158940	↑ up	bull_high	67%	late 12b 2.1ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.694	— near -1.3ATR	0.55	value	-2.52 ATR	—	#89167	26/09 20:00 upd 28/09 02:18
4h 164925	↔ neutral	bull_high	47%	mid 13b -1.7ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.411	— —	1.42	below_value	-4.21 ATR	inside	#91808	28/09 12:00 upd 28/09 16:16
1h anchor 166323	↓ down	bear_high	56%	mid 4b -1.8ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.500	near -0.3ATR —	0.94	below_value	-5.53 ATR	—	#92442	28/09 18:00 upd 28/09 19:10
15m 166239	↓ down	bear_high	64%	early 3b -1.2ATR	noisy_chop 48%	0.570	— —	0.35	below_value	-5.55 ATR	—	#92260	28/09 18:45 upd 28/09 19:01
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	12b	—	5.248×ATR	p67	+2.07×ATR	p90
4h	↓ down	mid	13b	—	3.564×ATR	p54	-1.687×ATR	p71
1h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	1.716×ATR	p12	-1.828×ATR	p78
15m	↑ up	early	3b	—	1.678×ATR	p3	-1.167×ATR	p57

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.46686588
tp_price: 0.43337775
atr: 0.00895035
expires_at: 2026-09-29T05:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 89
total: 90
score: 0.2225
delta_2h: -0.0482
extension_atr: -1.52
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1928
confidence: 0.989

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4445	0.4669	0.4334	0.5	0.4478

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4445
Stop Loss: 0.4669
Take Profit: 0.4334

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4669 - 0.4445 = 0.0224
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4445 - 0.4334 = 0.0111
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0111 / 0.0224 = 0.4955

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
158.9175	100	357.5278	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0224

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0224 = 357.14

Taille de position USD = 357.14 x 0.4445 = 158.75

Donc, tu peux acheter 357.14 avec un stoploss a 0.4669

Avec un position size USD de 158.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 357.14 x 0.0224 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 357.14 x 0.0111 = 3.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.96$

Résumé

Taille de position 357.14
Taille de position USD 158.75
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.96
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4955

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.97 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.04 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
3.97 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.2868 %	25.53 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4445	0.4669	0.4334	0.5	0.4478

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4445
Stop Loss: 0.4669
Take Profit: 0.4334

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4669 - 0.4445 = 0.0224
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4445 - 0.4334 = 0.0111
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0111 / 0.0224 = 0.4955

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.039% (0.0224)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.273%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+2.387%	0.5R	-1.287%	0.3R	1.9×	24
4h	+4.499%	0.9R	-1.287%	0.3R	3.5×	48
6h ★	+4.499%	0.9R	-1.287%	0.3R	3.5×	72
8h	+4.499%	0.9R	-1.287%	0.3R	3.5×	96
12h	+4.499%	0.9R	-3.888%	0.8R	1.2×	144

computed 3 days ago

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