Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1254.07 XPL at 0.0979$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09542 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1042 (6.47 %)
28 Sep 2026 at 19:15:08
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Sep 2026 19:15
→ 21:25
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.09787$
Qty 1254.0679 XPL
Size 122.7319$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09542 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.07$
SL 0.1042 (-6.47%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 0.39
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.07$
MAE -1.38%
MFE +4.10%
0.6R
expires
29 Sep 01:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 163219)
#89 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 19:00
score du 28/09/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1349
Quality Score
0.329
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
50.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 19:02
28/09 19:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#89 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#89 / 90
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.82×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.99×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 18:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4309
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
19.4%
Impulse :
+0.01
Participation :
btc_led_risk_on
Leadership :
btc
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 62.2% |
| 1h | 66.2% |
| 4h | 8.1% |
| 24h | 17.6% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.2% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 27.0% | -1.84% |
| 24h | 20.3% | -5.06% |
Dispersion :
0.214
Universe :
74
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
28/09 19:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6339
Score SMA
0.6165
Rank
#42
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4675
Rank Norm SMA
0.4657
Calculé le
27/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7204 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.81% · r3d: -4.21% · ema21_slope: 1.2014% · dist_ema21: 10.846% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5689 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.84% · rs_3d: -4.27% · beta_24h: 1.348 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8545 | rvol_20: 2.34× · zscore_50: 2.401 · trend: 165.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6974 | ADX: 24.5 (weak) · Chop: 39.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.075% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3294
Score SMA
0.5390
Rank
#89
/ 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1349
Rank Norm SMA
0.4005
Calculé le
28/09/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2317 | r1h: 0.430% · r4h: -3.902% · r1d: -7.97% · r3d: -14.80% · ema21_slope: -0.3197% · dist_ema21: -3.413% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2253 | rs_1h: 0.036% · rs_4h: -3.271% · rs_1d: -7.19% · rs_3d: -14.17% · beta_24h: 3.431 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1337 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.994 · trend: -54.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5560 | ADX: 30.1 (trend) · Chop: 62.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3673
Score SMA
0.5493
Rank
#84
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0682
Rank Norm SMA
0.3465
Calculé le
28/09/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4425 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.390% · r1d: -8.15% · r3d: -12.80% · ema21_slope: -0.2316% · dist_ema21: -6.826% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3329 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.402% · rs_1d: -6.56% · rs_3d: -12.05% · beta_24h: 1.008 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3088 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.153 · trend: 7.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5968 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.058% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.468%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.176% | 0.0R | -1.044% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.936% | 0.3R | -1.382% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.104% | 0.6R | -1.382% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.104% | 0.6R | -1.382% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.104% | 0.6R | -3.259% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.104% | 0.6R | -4.751% | 0.7R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.88
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.54 | bull_high | +14.58% | +0.59 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
28%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +1.68% | -0.80 | 28/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.41 | range_medium | -0.51% | -0.65 | 28/09 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.67 | range_low | -0.09% | -0.20 | 28/09 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
156508 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
50%
|
early 14b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.590 |
— near -1.0ATR |
2.34 | value | -2.12 ATR | — | #88083 |
26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:26
|
|
4h
165052 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
28%
|
late 14b -1.4ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.441 |
— — |
0.76 | below_value | -4.57 ATR | — | #91850 |
28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:21
|
|
1h
anchor
166365 |
↓ down | bear_high |
56%
|
mid 4b -1.3ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.534 |
— — |
0.20 | below_value | -5.22 ATR | — | #92484 |
28/09 18:00
upd 28/09 19:12
|
|
15m
166277 |
↓ down | bear_high |
59%
|
mid 7b -1.2ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.752 |
near -1.7ATR — |
0.40 | below_value | -5.15 ATR | — | #92302 |
28/09 18:45
upd 28/09 19:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.529×ATR | p4 | +0.848×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.089×ATR | p63 | -1.391×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.735×ATR | p15 | -1.282×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.262×ATR | p14 | -1.199×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.10424624
- tp_price: 0.09542033
- atr: 0.0025517
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T05:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 88
- total: 90
- score: 0.224
- delta_2h: -0.1119
- extension_atr: -0.99
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1363
- confidence: 0.978
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09787 | 0.1042 | 0.09542 | 0.39 | 0.09324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09787
- Stop Loss: 0.1042
- Take Profit: 0.09542
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1042 - 0.09787 = 0.00633
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09787 - 0.09542 = 0.00245
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00245 / 0.00633 = 0.387
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 122.7319 | 100 | 1254.0679 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00633
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00633 = 1263.82
Taille de position USD = 1263.82 x 0.09787 = 123.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 1263.82 avec un stoploss a 0.1042
Avec un position size USD de 123.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1263.82 x 0.00633 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1263.82 x 0.00245 = 3.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1263.82
- Taille de position USD 123.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.387
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.07 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.47 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.07 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3824 % | 21.37 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09787 | 0.1042 | 0.09542 | 0.39 | 0.09324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09787
- Stop Loss: 0.1042
- Take Profit: 0.09542
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1042 - 0.09787 = 0.00633
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09787 - 0.09542 = 0.00245
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00245 / 0.00633 = 0.387
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.468%
(0.0063)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.176% | 0.0R | -1.044% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.936% | 0.3R | -1.382% | 0.2R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.104% | 0.6R | -1.382% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.104% | 0.6R | -1.382% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.104% | 0.6R | -3.259% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.104% | 0.6R | -4.751% | 0.7R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
Commentaires
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