Short Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 640.97 JUP at 0.326$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2947 (9.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3384 (3.84 %)
Short Trade on JUP (BosPullback)
With 640.97 JUP at 0.326$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2947 (9.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3384 (3.84 %)
Position
Entry 0.3259$
Qty 640.9748 JUP
Size 208.9065$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2947 (+9.57%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.3384 (-3.84%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5606
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.94×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.52×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.36×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 18:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 83.8% |
| 1h | 83.8% |
| 4h | 77.0% |
| 24h | 17.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 78.4% | +0.28% |
| 4h | 63.5% | +0.74% |
| 24h | 18.9% | -4.91% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9983 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.95% · r3d: 23.71% · ema21_slope: 2.4315% · dist_ema21: 32.037% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9990 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 9.92% · rs_3d: 23.65% · beta_24h: 1.528 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6997 | rvol_20: 1.94× · zscore_50: 1.414 · trend: 81.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8758 | ADX: 45.1 (trend) · Chop: 25.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.260% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3458 | r1h: 0.731% · r4h: -2.691% · r1d: -11.82% · r3d: -6.04% · ema21_slope: -0.2721% · dist_ema21: -3.313% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3010 | rs_1h: 0.336% · rs_4h: -2.060% · rs_1d: -11.04% · rs_3d: -5.41% · beta_24h: 3.659 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2411 | rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.218 · trend: -8.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5641 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9991 | ATR%: 3.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6047 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.462% · r1d: -5.90% · r3d: -3.34% · ema21_slope: 0.3389% · dist_ema21: -2.088% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5203 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.474% · rs_1d: -4.30% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 3.021 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9615 | rvol_20: 2.86× · zscore_50: 2.757 · trend: 185.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7216 | ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3760 | ATR%: 4.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.037% | 0.0R | -1.583% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.307% | 0.3R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.731% | 0.7R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.731% | 0.7R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.731% | 0.7R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.60 | bull_high | +14.58% | +1.00 | 26/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high | +1.68% | +0.17 | 28/09 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_medium | -0.51% | -0.75 | 28/09 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -1.0ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.56 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.09 | 28/09 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
156403 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
late 11b 3.1ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.592 |
— — |
1.94 | above_value | +8.74 ATR | inside | #88053 |
26/09 20:00
upd 27/09 20:22
|
|
4h
164949 |
↑ up | bull_high |
64%
|
early 5b -0.4ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.690 |
— — |
2.86 | above_value | -1.38 ATR | — | #91816 |
28/09 12:00
upd 28/09 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor
166331 |
↓ down | bear_high |
53%
|
early 4b -1.1ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.491 |
— — |
0.40 | above_value | -1.86 ATR | — | #92450 |
28/09 18:00
upd 28/09 19:11
|
|
15m
166514 |
↓ down | bear_high |
59%
|
early 5b -0.1ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.399 |
near -1.0ATR near 0.1ATR |
0.10 | above_value | -1.86 ATR | — | #92450 |
28/09 19:15
upd 28/09 19:32
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 6.112×ATR | p80 | +3.144×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.96×ATR | p34 | -0.444×ATR | p28 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.407×ATR | p5 | -1.066×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.914×ATR | p7 | -0.107×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.33768
144
0.3098
0.5232
0.3709
0.2061
0.5058
0.5967
0.3882
0.6075
0.396
0.4607
0.5683
0.4704
-0.1257
-0.0623
0
-1.1177
-1.576
0.6
0.4
-1
8
1
0.5879
0.3958
3.3767
0.6
0.5967
2.0149
-1.576
0.4548
0.2735
0.5
-0.0589
0.4369
0.4345
0.9275
0.4704
-5.8247
5.1736
1
0
1
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0.31828
0.33768
0.33768
0.31828
0.31489
0.30334
0.309115
0.8223
0.35079
0.333
0.341895
0.7774
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:33 | 0.32592000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 19:43 | 0.32576000 | -0.043% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3259 | 0.3384 | 0.2947 | 2.5 | 0.3189 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3384 - 0.3259 = 0.0125
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3259 - 0.2947 = 0.0312
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0312 / 0.0125 = 2.496
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 208.9065 | 100 | 640.9748 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0125 = 640
Taille de position USD = 640 x 0.3259 = 208.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 640 avec un stoploss a 0.3384
Avec un position size USD de 208.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 640 x 0.0125 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 640 x 0.0312 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.57 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.84 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -3.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8417 % | 100.16 % | 37 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3259 | 0.3384 | 0.2947 | 2.5 | 0.3189 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3384 - 0.3259 = 0.0125
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3259 - 0.2947 = 0.0312
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0312 / 0.0125 = 2.496
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.037% | 0.0R | -1.583% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.307% | 0.3R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.731% | 0.7R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.731% | 0.7R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.731% | 0.7R | -3.200% | 0.8R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 days ago
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