Long Trade on APEX

Previous Trade Next Trade

28 Sep 2026 at 20:15:08 hyperliquid

Long Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_score)

With 276.4 APEX at 0.294$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2649 (9.87 %)

APEX LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 20:15 → 23:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.2939$

Qty 276.4024 APEX

Size 81.2319$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 81.23$

SL 0.2649 (-9.87%)

SL $ 8.02$

Status loss PnL -2.62% / -2.13$ MAE -4.70% MFE +0.79% 0.1R expires 28 Sep 23:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163313)

#7 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8159

Quality Score

0.667

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 20:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#7 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.87 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#7 / 89 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.87 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.18×ATR
4h	near	-0.66×ATR
1d	near	-0.03×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 26/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 28/09 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/09 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

26/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

28/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

28/09 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4313

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	transition	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 64.8%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : broad_risk_on

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	53.4%
1h	89.0%
4h	84.9%
24h	16.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	53.4%	+0.01%
4h	75.3%	+0.98%
24h	19.2%	-4.61%

Dispersion : 0.184

Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 20:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6672

Score SMA

0.5396

Rank

#7 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8159

Rank Norm SMA

0.5184

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8240	r1h: 0.982% · r4h: 0.228% · r1d: 8.74% · r3d: 14.10% · ema21_slope: 0.6206% · dist_ema21: 2.694%
Force Relative	25%	0.7929	rs_1h: 1.042% · rs_4h: 0.105% · rs_1d: 9.90% · rs_3d: 14.83% · beta_24h: 2.346
Volume	20%	0.2183	rvol_20: 0.09× · zscore_50: -0.449 · trend: -13.86%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7641	ADX: 31.7 (trend) · Chop: 30.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.8258	ATR%: 3.523% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6793

Score SMA

0.5532

Rank

#6 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9261

Rank Norm SMA

0.5952

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7877	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.228% · r1d: 8.74% · r3d: 14.10% · ema21_slope: 0.4312% · dist_ema21: 8.327%
Force Relative	25%	0.8598	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.105% · rs_1d: 9.90% · rs_3d: 14.83% · beta_24h: 3.673
Volume	20%	0.4825	rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: 0.187 · trend: 225.83%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7718	ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 25.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.4510	ATR%: 4.647% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.867% (0.0290)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.786%	0.1R	-3.042%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.786%	0.1R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.2×	24
3h ★	+0.786%	0.1R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.2×	36
4h	+0.786%	0.1R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.2×	48
8h	+2.698%	0.3R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.6×	96
12h	+2.698%	0.3R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.6×	144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0.4

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	near 0.0ATR	0.44	bull_high	+14.58%	-0.26	26/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	near -0.7ATR	0.31	bull_high	+1.68%	+0.86	28/09 12:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 42%	early	near -0.2ATR	—	0.34	range_medium	-0.51%	+0.77	28/09 18:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.40	range_low	-0.14%	+0.14	28/09 19:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 164158	↑ up	bull_high	56%	mid 19b 1.1ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.626	— near 0.0ATR	0.68	above_value	+4.53 ATR	—	#91495	26/09 20:00 upd 28/09 14:22
4h 165067	↔ neutral	bull_high_confirmed	56%	late 3b 1.8ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.652	— near -0.7ATR	7.90	value	+2.75 ATR	—	#91855	28/09 12:00 upd 28/09 16:22
1h anchor 166370	↑ up	bull_high	60%	early 4b 0.4ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.823	near -0.2ATR —	0.17	value	+2.72 ATR	—	#92489	28/09 18:00 upd 28/09 19:12
15m 166735	↔ neutral	bull_high	58%	early 14b -0.1ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.538	— —	0.47	value	+3.02 ATR	—	#92669	28/09 19:45 upd 28/09 20:13
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	19b	—	4.005×ATR	p37	+1.103×ATR	p66
4h	↑ up	late	3b	—	3.033×ATR	p26	+1.781×ATR	p83
1h	↑ up	early	4b	—	0.692×ATR	p0	+0.403×ATR	p21
15m	↓ down	early	14b	—	2.307×ATR	p14	-0.118×ATR	p5

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.26494669
atr: 0.00964777
expires_at: 2026-09-29T03:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 5
total: 90
score: 0.7899
confidence: 0.955

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2939	0.2649			0.2438

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2939
Stop Loss: 0.2649
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2649 - 0.2939 = -0.029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2939 - = 0.2939
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2939 / -0.029 = -10.1345

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
81.2319	81.2319	276.4024	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.029

Taille de position = 8 / -0.029 = -275.86

Taille de position USD = -275.86 x 0.2939 = -81.08

Donc, tu peux acheter -275.86 avec un stoploss a 0.2649

Avec un position size USD de -81.08$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -275.86 x -0.029 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -275.86 x 0.2939 = -81.08

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -81.08$

Résumé

Taille de position -275.86
Taille de position USD -81.08
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel -81.08
Risk-Reward Ratio -10.1345

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	81.23 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
9.87 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.13 $	-2.62

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.6955 %	47.59 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2939	0.2649			0.2438

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2939
Stop Loss: 0.2649
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2649 - 0.2939 = -0.029
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2939 - = 0.2939
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2939 / -0.029 = -10.1345

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2939
            [stop_loss] => 0.262
            [rr_ratio] => 9.21
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2939
            [stop_loss] => 0.2591
            [rr_ratio] => 8.45
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2939
            [stop_loss] => 0.2562
            [rr_ratio] => 7.8
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.2939
            [stop_loss] => 0.2504
            [rr_ratio] => 6.76
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 00:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.867% (0.0290)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.786%	0.1R	-3.042%	0.3R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.786%	0.1R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.2×	24
3h ★	+0.786%	0.1R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.2×	36
4h	+0.786%	0.1R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.2×	48
8h	+2.698%	0.3R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.6×	96
12h	+2.698%	0.3R	-4.696%	0.5R	0.6×	144

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.