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Long Trade on HBAR

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28 Sep 2026 at 21:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HBAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 738.06 HBAR at 0.12$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1234 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1096 (8.97 %)

HBAR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 21:15 → 03:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1204$

Qty 738.0557 HBAR

Size 88.8619$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1234 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.21$

SL 0.1096 (-8.97%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.28

Status loss PnL -2.48% / -2.21$ MAE -3.10% MFE +1.30% 0.1R expires 29 Sep 03:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163554)
#9 / 88 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9389

Quality Score
0.669
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
45.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 21:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#9 / 88 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 88 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.02×ATR
4h clear —
1d near -0.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

28/09 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4317
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 67.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 30.6%
1h 61.1%
4h 77.8%
24h 19.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 36.1% -0.09%
4h 77.8% +0.54%
24h 23.6% -3.58%
Dispersion : 0.129
Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 21:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8823
Score SMA
0.6731
Rank
#1 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6631
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 1.0000 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 27.22% · r3d: 27.40% · ema21_slope: 1.7181% · dist_ema21: 37.029%
Force Relative 25% 1.0000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 28.38% · rs_3d: 28.13% · beta_24h: 0.897
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 11.21× · zscore_50: 6.827 · trend: 404.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8823 ADX: 45.9 (trend) · Chop: 4.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.133% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.6689
Score SMA
0.6092
Rank
#9 / 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9389
Rank Norm SMA
0.6004
Calculé le
28/09/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7463 r1h: -1.122% · r4h: -2.117% · r1d: 25.18% · r3d: 27.18% · ema21_slope: 1.1157% · dist_ema21: 3.348%
Force Relative 25% 0.6840 rs_1h: -0.743% · rs_4h: -1.683% · rs_1d: 26.31% · rs_3d: 28.05% · beta_24h: 3.732
Volume 20% 0.2390 rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.290 · trend: -6.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8340 ADX: 51.7 (trend) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7394 ATR%: 3.782% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8176
Score SMA
0.6741
Rank
#5 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.7023
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8245 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.123% · r1d: 27.22% · r3d: 27.40% · ema21_slope: 0.8684% · dist_ema21: 18.391%
Force Relative 25% 0.8750 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.001% · rs_1d: 28.38% · rs_3d: 28.13% · beta_24h: 3.255
Volume 20% 0.8222 rvol_20: 2.48× · zscore_50: 1.572 · trend: 305.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8504 ADX: 42.1 (trend) · Chop: 4.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5955 ATR%: 4.214% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.970% (0.0108)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.296% 0.1R -1.462% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.296% 0.1R -2.616% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +1.296% 0.1R -2.616% 0.3R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +1.296% 0.1R -3.098% 0.4R 0.4× 72
8h +1.296% 0.1R -3.339% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h +1.296% 0.1R -5.789% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.61
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
69%
choppy 51% late — near -0.2ATR 0.68 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
choppy 44% late — — 0.47 bull_high +1.77% +0.99 28/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.40 bear_medium -0.92% +0.98 28/09 20:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% early near -0.8ATR — 0.36 range_low -0.09% -0.43 28/09 20:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166992 		↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 12b 3.9ATR choppy 51% 0.327

—

near -0.2ATR

11.21 above_value +5.79 ATR — #92643 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:26
4h
166920 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
62%
late 1b 3.4ATR choppy 44% 0.633

—

—

2.48 above_value +5.79 ATR — #92643 28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:23
1h anchor
167422 		↑ up bull_high
61%
early 6b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.520

—

—

0.23 value +5.67 ATR — #92913 28/09 20:00
upd 28/09 21:11
15m
167251 		↑ up bull_high
57%
early 12b -1.1ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.710

near -0.8ATR

—

0.02 above_value +5.79 ATR — #92643 28/09 20:30
upd 28/09 20:47
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 12b — 6.694×ATR p82 +3.867×ATR p100
4h ↓ down late 1b — 1.73×ATR p0 +3.447×ATR p98
1h ↓ down early 6b — 2.25×ATR p45 +0.692×ATR p32
15m ↓ down early 12b — 2.554×ATR p26 -1.079×ATR p52

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.10956071
  2. tp_price: 0.12341
  3. atr: 0.00433572
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T07:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.7888
  4. delta_2h: 0.0479
  5. extension_atr: 0.66
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9403
  9. confidence: 0.944

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1204 0.1096 0.1234 0.28 0.1046
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1204
  • Stop Loss: 0.1096
  • Take Profit: 0.1234

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1096 - 0.1204 = -0.0108

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1204 - 0.1234 = -0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0108 = 0.2778

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
88.8619 88.8619 738.0557 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0108

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0108 = -740.74

Taille de position USD = -740.74 x 0.1204 = -89.19

Donc, tu peux acheter -740.74 avec un stoploss a 0.1096

Avec un position size USD de -89.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -740.74 x -0.0108 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -740.74 x -0.003 = 2.22

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.22$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -740.74
  • Taille de position USD -89.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.22
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2778

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 2.21 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.97 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-2.21 $ -2.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.098 % 34.54 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1204 0.1096 0.1234 0.28 0.1046
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1204
  • Stop Loss: 0.1096
  • Take Profit: 0.1234

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1096 - 0.1204 = -0.0108

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1204 - 0.1234 = -0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0108 = 0.2778

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.970% (0.0108)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.296% 0.1R -1.462% 0.2R 0.9× 12
2h +1.296% 0.1R -2.616% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +1.296% 0.1R -2.616% 0.3R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +1.296% 0.1R -3.098% 0.4R 0.4× 72
8h +1.296% 0.1R -3.339% 0.4R 0.4× 96
12h +1.296% 0.1R -5.789% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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