Short Trade on FET

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28 Sep 2026 at 21:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 676.17 FET at 0.222$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2165 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2339 (5.31 %)

FET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 21:15 → 21:35 · 19 minutes

Position

Entry 0.2221$

Qty 676.1651 FET

Size 150.156$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2165 (+2.52%)

TP $ 3.79$

SL 0.2339 (-5.31%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.47

Status win PnL +2.52% / +3.79$ MAE -2.78% MFE +3.30% 0.6R expires 29 Sep 03:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163537)

#30 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3787

Quality Score

0.495

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 21:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#30 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.31 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#30 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.31 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.25×ATR
4h	clear	1.81×ATR
1d	clear	2.96×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 28/09 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

28/09 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4317

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	transition	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 67.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : broad_risk_on

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	30.6%
1h	61.1%
4h	77.8%
24h	19.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	36.1%	-0.09%
4h	77.8%	+0.54%
24h	23.6%	-3.58%

Dispersion : 0.129

Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 21:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5693

Score SMA

0.6870

Rank

#52 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4205

Rank Norm SMA

0.6826

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6889	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.22% · r3d: -8.98% · ema21_slope: 2.1297% · dist_ema21: 12.873%
Force Relative	25%	0.5399	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.06% · rs_3d: -8.26% · beta_24h: 1.810
Volume	20%	0.5185	rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 0.874 · trend: 53.22%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8265	ADX: 39.2 (trend) · Chop: 23.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.119% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.4948

Score SMA

0.5993

Rank

#30 / 88

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3787

Rank Norm SMA

0.6437

Calculé le

28/09/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2090	r1h: -1.717% · r4h: -3.607% · r1d: -9.83% · r3d: -8.84% · ema21_slope: -0.2652% · dist_ema21: -3.855%
Force Relative	25%	0.2029	rs_1h: -1.337% · rs_4h: -3.174% · rs_1d: -8.71% · rs_3d: -7.96% · beta_24h: 3.329
Volume	20%	0.9673	rvol_20: 3.65× · zscore_50: 3.678 · trend: 75.45%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5864	ADX: 29.2 (trend) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.257% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4645

Score SMA

0.6595

Rank

#73 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4261

Rank Norm SMA

0.7183

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5402	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.553% · r1d: -9.22% · r3d: -8.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0971% · dist_ema21: -3.622%
Force Relative	25%	0.4008	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.676% · rs_1d: -8.06% · rs_3d: -8.26% · beta_24h: 2.322
Volume	20%	0.1822	rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -1.010 · trend: -12.88%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7153	ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 47.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5847	ATR%: 4.246% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.313% (0.0118)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.197%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+3.300%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+3.300%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+3.300%	0.6R	-2.778%	0.5R	1.2×	72
8h	+3.300%	0.6R	-4.142%	0.8R	0.8×	96
12h	+3.300%	0.6R	-6.358%	1.2R	0.5×	144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.57

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	—	0.66	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.93	27/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.59	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.53	28/09 16:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	near 0.2ATR	—	0.46	bear_medium	-0.92%	-0.69	28/09 20:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 47%	late	—	—	0.73	range_low	-0.51%	-0.20	28/09 20:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 166923	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	70%	mid 12b 1.2ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.597	— —	1.27	value	-3.48 ATR	—	#92626	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:23
4h 166849	↑ up	bull_high	56%	mid 14b -0.9ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.572	— —	0.33	value	-3.48 ATR	—	#92626	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 20:19
1h anchor 167405	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	53%	mid 6b -1.7ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.559	near 0.2ATR —	3.65	value	-4.27 ATR	—	#92896	28/09 20:00 upd 28/09 21:10
15m 167324	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	63%	late 5b -2.1ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.516	— —	14.87	value	-3.48 ATR	—	#92626	28/09 20:45 upd 28/09 21:02
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	12b	—	4.193×ATR	p52	+1.23×ATR	p54
4h	↓ down	mid	14b	—	3.672×ATR	p50	-0.933×ATR	p48
1h	↓ down	mid	6b	—	2.582×ATR	p58	-1.703×ATR	p74
15m	↓ down	late	5b	—	2.774×ATR	p50	-2.11×ATR	p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.23390143
tp_price: 0.21651825
atr: 0.00473257
expires_at: 2026-09-29T07:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 90
total: 90
score: 0.209
delta_2h: -0.0861
extension_atr: -1.42
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3701
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2221	0.2339	0.2165	0.47	0.2385

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2221
Stop Loss: 0.2339
Take Profit: 0.2165

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2339 - 0.2221 = 0.0118
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2221 - 0.2165 = 0.0056
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0118 = 0.4746

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
150.156	100	676.1651	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0118

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0118 = 677.97

Taille de position USD = 677.97 x 0.2221 = 150.58

Donc, tu peux acheter 677.97 avec un stoploss a 0.2339

Avec un position size USD de 150.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 677.97 x 0.0118 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 677.97 x 0.0056 = 3.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.8$

Résumé

Taille de position 677.97
Taille de position USD 150.58
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.8
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4746

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.52 %	3.79 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.31 %	7.98 $

PNL	PNL %
3.79 $	2.52

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2221	0.2339	0.2165	0.47	0.2385

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2221
Stop Loss: 0.2339
Take Profit: 0.2165

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.2339 - 0.2221 = 0.0118
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2221 - 0.2165 = 0.0056
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0056 / 0.0118 = 0.4746

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.313% (0.0118)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+3.197%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+3.300%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+3.300%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+3.300%	0.6R	-2.778%	0.5R	1.2×	72
8h	+3.300%	0.6R	-4.142%	0.8R	0.8×	96
12h	+3.300%	0.6R	-6.358%	1.2R	0.5×	144

computed 2 days ago

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