Short Trade on NIL

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28 Sep 2026 at 21:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1285.95 NIL at 0.0877$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08555 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09396 (7.09 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 21:15 → 21:55 · 39 minutes

Position

Entry 0.08774$

Qty 1285.9524 NIL

Size 112.8282$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08555 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.82$

SL 0.09396 (-7.09%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.35

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.82$ MAE -0.00% MFE +8.82% 1.2R expires 29 Sep 03:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163571)

#87 / 88 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0213

Quality Score

0.369

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 21:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#87 / 88 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.09 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#87 / 88 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.09 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	4.22×ATR
4h	near	-0.77×ATR
1d	clear	2.80×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4317

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	transition	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 67.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : broad_risk_on

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	30.6%
1h	61.1%
4h	77.8%
24h	19.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	36.1%	-0.09%
4h	77.8%	+0.54%
24h	23.6%	-3.58%

Dispersion : 0.129

Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 21:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5750

Score SMA

0.6900

Rank

#49 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4545

Rank Norm SMA

0.7101

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7143	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume	20%	0.5018	rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9021	ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.3687

Score SMA

0.5135

Rank

#87 / 88

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0213

Rank Norm SMA

0.3747

Calculé le

28/09/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2151	r1h: -0.656% · r4h: -0.275% · r1d: -6.99% · r3d: -24.18% · ema21_slope: -0.2904% · dist_ema21: -1.309%
Force Relative	25%	0.2935	rs_1h: -0.277% · rs_4h: 0.159% · rs_1d: -5.86% · rs_3d: -23.30% · beta_24h: 2.256
Volume	20%	0.1601	rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.627 · trend: -75.27%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5837	ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 66.7 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.963% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3384

Score SMA

0.5828

Rank

#88 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0398

Rank Norm SMA

0.5132

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4337	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.470% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: -0.8264% · dist_ema21: -9.698%
Force Relative	25%	0.3822	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.346% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 7.743
Volume	20%	0.1415	rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.878 · trend: -64.13%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5629	ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.673% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.089% (0.0062)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+7.022%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+8.597%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.5

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early	—	—	0.31	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 50%	mid	near -0.8ATR	—	0.12	bull_high	+1.77%	-1.00	28/09 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.09	bear_medium	-0.92%	-0.09	28/09 20:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	near -0.1ATR	0.28	range_low	-0.51%	+0.01	28/09 20:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167062	↑ up	bull_high	64%	early 4b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.824	— —	0.96	below_value	-9.44 ATR	—	#92660	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:29
4h 166989	↔ neutral	bull_high	50%	mid 20b -1.3ATR	noisy_chop 50%	0.625	near -0.8ATR —	0.16	below_value	-9.44 ATR	—	#92660	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 20:26
1h anchor 167439	↓ down	bear_high	57%	early 9b -0.5ATR	noisy_chop 35%	0.727	— —	0.51	below_value	-10.41 ATR	—	#92930	28/09 20:00 upd 28/09 21:12
15m 167355	↓ down	bear_high	64%	early 11b 0.0ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.453	— near -0.1ATR	1.06	below_value	-9.44 ATR	—	#92660	28/09 20:45 upd 28/09 21:03
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.947×ATR	p42	+0.673×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	mid	20b	—	6.113×ATR	p78	-1.275×ATR	p64
1h	↑ up	early	9b	—	2.119×ATR	p37	-0.513×ATR	p19
15m	↑ up	early	11b	—	1.915×ATR	p20	-0.02×ATR	p2

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.09396007
tp_price: 0.08554552
atr: 0.00248843
expires_at: 2026-09-29T07:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 88
total: 90
score: 0.2342
delta_2h: -0.0633
extension_atr: -0.25
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0199
confidence: 0.978

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08774	0.09396	0.08555	0.35	0.08339

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08774
Stop Loss: 0.09396
Take Profit: 0.08555

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.09396 - 0.08774 = 0.00622
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08774 - 0.08555 = 0.00219
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00219 / 0.00622 = 0.3521

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
112.8282	100	1285.9524	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00622

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00622 = 1286.17

Taille de position USD = 1286.17 x 0.08774 = 112.85

Donc, tu peux acheter 1286.17 avec un stoploss a 0.09396

Avec un position size USD de 112.85$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1286.17 x 0.00622 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1286.17 x 0.00219 = 2.82

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.82$

Résumé

Taille de position 1286.17
Taille de position USD 112.85
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.82
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3521

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.82 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.09 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
2.82 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08774	0.09396	0.08555	0.35	0.08339

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08774
Stop Loss: 0.09396
Take Profit: 0.08555

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.09396 - 0.08774 = 0.00622
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08774 - 0.08555 = 0.00219
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00219 / 0.00622 = 0.3521

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.089% (0.0062)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+7.022%	1.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+8.597%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+8.822%	1.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144

computed 2 days ago

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