Short Trade on ATOM

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28 Sep 2026 at 21:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ATOM (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 114.16 ATOM at 1.728$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6845 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7978 (4.06 %)

ATOM SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 21:15 → 22:50 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1.7277$

Qty 114.1563 ATOM

Size 197.2279$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1.6845 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.93$

SL 1.7978 (-4.06%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.62

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.93$ MAE -1.48% MFE +2.60% 0.6R expires 29 Sep 03:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163507)

#63 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4230

Quality Score

0.442

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 21:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#63 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.06 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#63 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.06 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.26×ATR
4h	near	-0.64×ATR
1d	clear	1.28×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 20:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 20:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4317

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	transition	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 67.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : broad_risk_on

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	30.6%
1h	61.1%
4h	77.8%
24h	19.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	36.1%	-0.09%
4h	77.8%	+0.54%
24h	23.6%	-3.58%

Dispersion : 0.129

Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 21:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4752

Score SMA

0.5347

Rank

#80 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1023

Rank Norm SMA

0.2441

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6301	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.90% · r3d: -3.19% · ema21_slope: 0.7861% · dist_ema21: 0.973%
Force Relative	25%	0.4280	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.74% · rs_3d: -2.47% · beta_24h: 0.948
Volume	20%	0.3714	rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.331 · trend: 17.45%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6990	ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.027% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 21:00

Score brut

0.4422

Score SMA

0.5383

Rank

#63 / 88

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4230

Rank Norm SMA

0.4081

Calculé le

28/09/2026 21:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2998	r1h: -0.830% · r4h: -1.286% · r1d: -8.37% · r3d: -4.06% · ema21_slope: -0.2621% · dist_ema21: -1.853%
Force Relative	25%	0.3463	rs_1h: -0.451% · rs_4h: -0.852% · rs_1d: -7.25% · rs_3d: -3.18% · beta_24h: 2.282
Volume	20%	0.3613	rvol_20: 1.09× · zscore_50: 0.478 · trend: -24.32%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6227	ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.700% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4881

Score SMA

0.5534

Rank

#59 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3750

Rank Norm SMA

0.3537

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5108	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.493% · r1d: -7.90% · r3d: -3.19% · ema21_slope: -0.0344% · dist_ema21: -3.382%
Force Relative	25%	0.3989	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.369% · rs_1d: -6.74% · rs_3d: -2.47% · beta_24h: 2.342
Volume	20%	0.1774	rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.841 · trend: -24.91%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6958	ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 40.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.9531	ATR%: 3.141% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.057% (0.0701)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.142%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+2.605%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+2.605%	0.6R	-0.359%	0.1R	7.3×	48
6h ★	+2.605%	0.6R	-1.476%	0.4R	1.8×	72
8h	+2.605%	0.6R	-2.344%	0.6R	1.1×	96
12h	+2.605%	0.6R	-3.502%	0.9R	0.7×	144

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.7

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.56	bull_high	+12.96%	-0.86	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion	range_high	36%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	near -0.6ATR	—	0.39	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.22	28/09 16:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near 0.3ATR	—	0.47	bear_medium	-0.92%	-0.53	28/09 20:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	compression	bear_medium	64%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	near 0.1ATR	0.62	range_low	-0.09%	+0.04	28/09 20:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 166793	↑ up	bull_high	57%	early 12b 0.1ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.748	— —	0.87	value	-2.31 ATR	—	#92595	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:16
4h 166738	↔ neutral	range_high	36%	mid 10b -1.1ATR	noisy_chop 37%	0.537	near -0.6ATR —	0.33	value	-2.31 ATR	—	#92595	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 20:13
1h anchor 167374	↓ down	bear_high	59%	early 3b -1.0ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.411	near 0.3ATR —	1.09	below_value	-2.86 ATR	—	#92865	28/09 20:00 upd 28/09 21:09
15m 167204	↓ down	bear_medium	64%	early 10b 0.4ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.242	— near 0.1ATR	0.02	value	-2.31 ATR	—	#92595	28/09 20:30 upd 28/09 20:45
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	12b	—	2.193×ATR	p0	+0.135×ATR	p8
4h	↓ down	mid	10b	—	3.529×ATR	p56	-1.079×ATR	p55
1h	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.252×ATR	p2	-0.998×ATR	p48
15m	↑ up	early	10b	—	2.94×ATR	p46	+0.351×ATR	p17

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1.79777933
tp_price: 1.6845075
atr: 0.02803173
expires_at: 2026-09-29T07:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 81
total: 90
score: 0.2998
delta_2h: -0.0546
extension_atr: -0.73
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4072
confidence: 0.899

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.7277	1.7978	1.6845	0.62	1.6993

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.7277
Stop Loss: 1.7978
Take Profit: 1.6845

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.7978 - 1.7277 = 0.0701
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.7277 - 1.6845 = 0.0432
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0432 / 0.0701 = 0.6163

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
197.2279	100	114.1563	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0701

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0701 = 114.12

Taille de position USD = 114.12 x 1.7277 = 197.17

Donc, tu peux acheter 114.12 avec un stoploss a 1.7978

Avec un position size USD de 197.17$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 114.12 x 0.0701 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 114.12 x 0.0432 = 4.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.93$

Résumé

Taille de position 114.12
Taille de position USD 197.17
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.93
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6163

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.93 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.06 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
4.93 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.7277	1.7978	1.6845	0.62	1.6993

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.7277
Stop Loss: 1.7978
Take Profit: 1.6845

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.7978 - 1.7277 = 0.0701
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.7277 - 1.6845 = 0.0432
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0432 / 0.0701 = 0.6163

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.057% (0.0701)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.142%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+2.605%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+2.605%	0.6R	-0.359%	0.1R	7.3×	48
6h ★	+2.605%	0.6R	-1.476%	0.4R	1.8×	72
8h	+2.605%	0.6R	-2.344%	0.6R	1.1×	96
12h	+2.605%	0.6R	-3.502%	0.9R	0.7×	144

computed 2 days ago

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