Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 1891.51 RUNE at 0.774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.782 (1.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7693 (0.56 %)
Long Trade on RUNE (CatchTheWave)
With 1891.51 RUNE at 0.774$ per unit. Take profit: 0.782 (1.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7693 (0.56 %)
Position
Entry 0.7736$
Qty 1891.5078 RUNE
Size 1463.2137$ (margin 100$) (leverage 15)
Risk Setup
TP 0.782 (+1.09%)
TP $ 15.89$
SL 0.7693 (-0.56%)
SL $ 8.13$
RR 1.95
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9219
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.00×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.278504 15m : 0.382766 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/09 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 24.7% |
| 1h | 28.8% |
| 4h | 75.3% |
| 24h | 23.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 24.7% | -0.43% |
| 4h | 78.1% | +0.67% |
| 24h | 24.7% | -3.61% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9354 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: 18.32% · ema21_slope: 2.3549% · dist_ema21: 27.140% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9129 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.03% · rs_3d: 19.04% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9708 | rvol_20: 3.16× · zscore_50: 2.562 · trend: 257.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9151 | ADX: 49.8 (trend) · Chop: 11.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.625% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7187 | r1h: 1.137% · r4h: -0.019% · r1d: 4.13% · r3d: 20.21% · ema21_slope: 0.2552% · dist_ema21: 3.005% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7625 | rs_1h: 1.517% · rs_4h: 0.414% · rs_1d: 5.25% · rs_3d: 21.08% · beta_24h: 2.114 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1547 | rvol_20: 0.15× · zscore_50: -0.691 · trend: -49.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6732 | ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 41.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.215% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8355 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.877% · r1d: 1.87% · r3d: 18.32% · ema21_slope: 0.6875% · dist_ema21: 6.111% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7671 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.000% · rs_1d: 3.03% · rs_3d: 19.04% · beta_24h: 2.307 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2814 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.074 · trend: 14.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8496 | ADX: 46.4 (trend) · Chop: 42.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5576 | ATR%: 4.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.101% | 2.0R | -1.418% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.341% | 2.4R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.097% | 3.8R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.348% | 6.0R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.348% | 6.0R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.70 | bull_high | +12.96% | +1.00 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +1.77% | +0.96 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.49 | bear_medium | -0.92% | +0.49 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.35 | range_low | -0.68% | +0.05 | 28/09 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166898 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
late 1b 2.9ATR | noisy_chop 48% | 0.631 |
— near 0.0ATR |
3.16 | value | +1.70 ATR | — | #92620 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:22
|
|
4h
166825 |
↑ up | bull_high |
64%
|
early 3b 1.1ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.693 |
— — |
0.50 | value | +1.70 ATR | — | #92620 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:18
|
|
1h
anchor
167399 |
↑ up | bull_high |
67%
|
early 7b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.747 |
— — |
0.15 | above_value | +2.24 ATR | — | #92890 |
28/09 20:00
upd 28/09 21:10
|
|
15m
167490 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
59%
|
early 11b 0.3ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.604 |
— — |
0.12 | above_value | +2.24 ATR | — | #92890 |
28/09 21:00
upd 28/09 21:16
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.398×ATR | p0 | +2.936×ATR | p96 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.075×ATR | p3 | +1.099×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.096×ATR | p6 | +1.324×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.06×ATR | p23 | +0.336×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83459.5
-0.00676423
82895
0.278504
83501.8
-0.00726788
82895
0.382766
83922.5
-0.00951496
83124
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0.80358
191
0.752
0.6373
0.3486
0.2257
0.4492
1
0.2414
0.6034
0.7263
0.1166
0.6309
0.717
0.1247
0.0834
1
1.014
1.9475
0.7
0.3
1
8
1
0.5487
0.5875
4.9492
0.5
2.0188
5.168
1.9475
0
0.2839
0.1
-0.2151
0.4287
0.5122
0.7906
0.717
-4.5748
11.5919
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 19:15:00 | 0.7955 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 19:40:00 | 0.7751 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 20:30:00 | 0.79411 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 21:10:00 | 0.79274 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:15:00 | 0.76666 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 22:35:00 | 0.77708 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 23:00:00 | 0.77161 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 23:50:00 | 0.77531 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:40:00 | 0.78927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 01:15:00 | 0.77227 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 05:30:00 | 0.7316 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 06:00:00 | 0.75437 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.70607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 13:00:00 | 0.74735 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 14:45:00 | 0.73205 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:30:00 | 0.80358 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 19:15:00 | 0.7955 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:15:00 | 0.76666 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:30:00 | 0.78927 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 01:15:00 | 0.77227 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 07:00:00 | 0.62725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-25 11:00:00 | 0.65332 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-25 17:00:00 | 0.63269 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-26 15:00:00 | 0.77076 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 05:00:00 | 0.84756 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.74378 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 00:00:00 | 0.76681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 02:00:00 | 0.70801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 09:00:00 | 0.70607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:00:00 | 0.80358 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7736 | 0.7693 | 0.782 | 1.95 | 0.7811 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7693 - 0.7736 = -0.0043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7736 - 0.782 = -0.0084000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0084000000000001 / -0.0043 = 1.9535
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1463.2137 | 100 | 1891.5078 | 15.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0043 = -1860.47
Taille de position USD = -1860.47 x 0.7736 = -1439.26
Donc, tu peux acheter -1860.47 avec un stoploss a 0.7693
Avec un position size USD de -1439.26$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1860.47 x -0.0043 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1860.47 x -0.0084000000000001 = 15.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.63$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.09 % | 15.89 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 8.13 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.13 $ | -0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7123 % | 128.16 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7736 | 0.7693 | 0.782 | 1.95 | 0.7811 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7693 - 0.7736 = -0.0043
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7736 - 0.782 = -0.0084000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0084000000000001 / -0.0043 = 1.9535
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.101% | 2.0R | -1.418% | 2.6R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.341% | 2.4R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.097% | 3.8R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 0.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.348% | 6.0R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.348% | 6.0R | -3.051% | 5.5R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 days ago
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