Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 3811.32 XLM at 0.226$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2298 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2235 (0.93 %)
Long Trade on XLM (CatchTheWave)
With 3811.32 XLM at 0.226$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2298 (1.86 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2235 (0.93 %)
Position
Entry 0.2256$
Qty 3811.3206 XLM
Size 859.9864$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2298 (+1.86%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 0.2235 (-0.93%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9277
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.18×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.444577 15m : 0.535651 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/09 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 24.7% |
| 1h | 28.8% |
| 4h | 75.3% |
| 24h | 23.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 24.7% | -0.43% |
| 4h | 78.1% | +0.67% |
| 24h | 24.7% | -3.61% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8933 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.69% · r3d: 5.46% · ema21_slope: 1.1146% · dist_ema21: 14.781% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.85% · rs_3d: 6.19% · beta_24h: 1.390 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.54× · zscore_50: 4.356 · trend: 135.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7977 | ADX: 35.7 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0444 | ATR%: 5.867% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6204 | r1h: -1.904% · r4h: -0.441% · r1d: 4.80% · r3d: 4.04% · ema21_slope: 0.3327% · dist_ema21: 2.427% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5513 | rs_1h: -1.524% · rs_4h: -0.007% · rs_1d: 5.93% · rs_3d: 4.91% · beta_24h: 3.720 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6579 | rvol_20: 1.71× · zscore_50: 1.643 · trend: 66.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7405 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.387% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7861 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.443% · r1d: 7.69% · r3d: 5.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0876% · dist_ema21: 6.907% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7826 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.320% · rs_1d: 8.85% · rs_3d: 6.19% · beta_24h: 2.662 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6954 | rvol_20: 1.88× · zscore_50: 1.126 · trend: 149.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6734 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 40.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9290 | ATR%: 3.213% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.215% | 1.3R | -0.749% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.215% | 1.3R | -1.339% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.396% | 1.5R | -1.339% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.701% | 4.0R | -1.906% | 2.1R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.186% | 5.6R | -1.906% | 2.1R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.59 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.91 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.70 | bull_high | +1.77% | +0.57 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.61 | bear_medium | -0.92% | +0.66 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.60 | range_low | -0.68% | -0.03 | 28/09 21:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167016 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
late 17b 1.9ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.484 |
— near -1.2ATR |
4.54 | above_value | +2.74 ATR | — | #92649 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:27
|
|
4h
166944 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
late 4b 2.1ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.465 |
— — |
1.88 | above_value | +2.74 ATR | inside | #92649 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:24
|
|
1h
anchor
167428 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
early 2b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.544 |
— — |
1.71 | above_value | +1.89 ATR | — | #92919 |
28/09 20:00
upd 28/09 21:11
|
|
15m
167519 |
↑ up | bull_high |
62%
|
mid 4b -0.6ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.664 |
near -0.3ATR — |
1.06 | above_value | +1.89 ATR | — | #92919 |
28/09 21:00
upd 28/09 21:17
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 4.427×ATR | p52 | +1.933×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.42×ATR | p49 | +2.081×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.873×ATR | p2 | +0.768×ATR | p39 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.215×ATR | p59 | -0.643×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83520.8
-0.00779279
82870
0.444577
83499.7
-0.00854761
82786
0.535651
83922.5
-0.00951496
83124
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0.6536
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0.0661
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1.4587
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0.2793
0.76
0.579
0.6346
0.4766
0.9286
0.8004
-1.4018
5.6218
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:29 | 0.22564000 | +0.018% |
| 2 | 21:39 | 0.22474000 | -0.381% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 17:10:00 | 0.2237 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:15:00 | 0.228 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 18:35:00 | 0.23549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 20:00:00 | 0.22566 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 20:25:00 | 0.2301 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 20:45:00 | 0.22789 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 21:05:00 | 0.23075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:25:00 | 0.22353 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:05:00 | 0.2348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 01:15:00 | 0.22517 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 07:45:00 | 0.20715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 10:30:00 | 0.2146 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 12:45:00 | 0.23105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 15:15:00 | 0.21298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 18:30:00 | 0.23549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 20:00:00 | 0.22566 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 21:00:00 | 0.23075 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:15:00 | 0.22353 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 0.2348 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 01:15:00 | 0.22517 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 20:00:00 | 0.21338 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 0.21307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 08:00:00 | 0.21999 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 15:00:00 | 0.21323 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 18:00:00 | 0.21825 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 01:00:00 | 0.21949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 07:00:00 | 0.20715 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 0.23105 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 18:00:00 | 0.23549 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 0.2348 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2256 | 0.2235 | 0.2298 | 2 | 0.2189 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2235 - 0.2256 = -0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2256 - 0.2298 = -0.0042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0021 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 859.9864 | 100 | 3811.3206 | 9.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0021 = -3809.52
Taille de position USD = -3809.52 x 0.2256 = -859.43
Donc, tu peux acheter -3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.2235
Avec un position size USD de -859.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0021 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3809.52 x -0.0042 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.86 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -0.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9619 % | 103.33 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2256 | 0.2235 | 0.2298 | 2 | 0.2189 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2235 - 0.2256 = -0.0021
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2256 - 0.2298 = -0.0042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0021 = 2
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)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.215% | 1.3R | -0.749% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.215% | 1.3R | -1.339% | 1.4R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.396% | 1.5R | -1.339% | 1.4R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.701% | 4.0R | -1.906% | 2.1R | 1.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.186% | 5.6R | -1.906% | 2.1R | 2.7× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
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