Short Trade on MET

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28 Sep 2026 at 22:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 363.51 MET at 0.309$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3015 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3313 (7.11 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 22:15 → 04:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.3093$

Qty 363.5096 MET

Size 112.419$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3015 (+2.52%)

TP $ 2.84$

SL 0.3313 (-7.11%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.35

Status loss PnL -2.79% / -3.13$ MAE -4.66% MFE +0.46% 0.1R expires 29 Sep 04:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163673)

#90 / 90 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0866

Quality Score

0.317

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 22:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#90 / 90 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.11 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#90 / 90 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.11 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.94×ATR
4h	clear	2.41×ATR
1d	clear	2.85×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1)

24/09 15:01

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 21:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 21:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4321

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	bear	transition	0.55	+1
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 23.6%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	66.7%
1h	2.8%
4h	25.0%
24h	16.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	65.3%	+0.10%
4h	33.3%	-0.83%
24h	22.2%	-4.81%

Dispersion : 0.204

Universe : 72 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 28/09 22:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5833

Score SMA

0.6918

Rank

#42 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5341

Rank Norm SMA

0.7339

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7115	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.42% · r3d: -8.04% · ema21_slope: 3.4291% · dist_ema21: 15.742%
Force Relative	25%	0.5607	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.26% · rs_3d: -7.32% · beta_24h: 1.972
Volume	20%	0.4146	rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: 0.451 · trend: 26.07%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9782	ADX: 57.4 (trend) · Chop: 23.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.951% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 22:00

Score brut

0.3167

Score SMA

0.5980

Rank

#90 / 90

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0866

Rank Norm SMA

0.5883

Calculé le

28/09/2026 22:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1943	r1h: -5.784% · r4h: -4.244% · r1d: -13.50% · r3d: -13.92% · ema21_slope: -0.2919% · dist_ema21: -5.971%
Force Relative	25%	0.0593	rs_1h: -5.653% · rs_4h: -4.066% · rs_1d: -12.75% · rs_3d: -12.72% · beta_24h: 2.873
Volume	20%	0.4451	rvol_20: 1.50× · zscore_50: 0.650 · trend: -18.49%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5390	ADX: 17.9 (weak) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.971% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4646

Score SMA

0.6310

Rank

#72 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1875

Rank Norm SMA

0.6326

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6042	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.517% · r1d: -13.42% · r3d: -8.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0380% · dist_ema21: -3.821%
Force Relative	25%	0.4855	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.394% · rs_1d: -12.26% · rs_3d: -7.32% · beta_24h: 4.496
Volume	20%	0.2044	rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.609 · trend: -16.22%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6922	ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.1723	ATR%: 5.483% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.113% (0.0220)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.456%	0.1R	-0.747%	0.1R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.456%	0.1R	-2.199%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.456%	0.1R	-3.725%	0.5R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.456%	0.1R	-4.656%	0.7R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.456%	0.1R	-4.656%	0.7R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.456%	0.1R	-5.622%	0.8R	0.1×	144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.23

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.34	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.23	28/09 16:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	50%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	near -0.9ATR	—	0.43	bear_medium	-1.03%	-0.70	28/09 21:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	45%	noisy_chop 53%	late	near -2.1ATR	—	0.47	range_low	-0.58%	-0.41	28/09 21:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167109	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	63%	early 5b 1.1ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.834	— —	1.02	value	-3.32 ATR	—	#92673	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:31
4h 167043	↑ up	bull_high	55%	early 5b -0.7ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.441	— —	0.41	value	-3.32 ATR	—	#92673	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 20:28
1h anchor 167902	↓ down	bear_high	50%	mid 1b -2.0ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.651	near -0.9ATR —	1.50	below_value	-5.05 ATR	—	#93125	28/09 21:00 upd 28/09 22:14
15m 167813	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	45%	late 5b -3.9ATR	noisy_chop 53%	0.635	near -2.1ATR —	3.36	below_value	-5.05 ATR	—	#93125	28/09 21:45 upd 28/09 22:10
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.233×ATR	p0	+1.135×ATR	p60
4h	↓ down	early	5b	—	3.002×ATR	p25	-0.741×ATR	p45
1h	↓ down	mid	1b	—	2.374×ATR	p42	-2.019×ATR	p73
15m	↓ down	late	5b	—	5.456×ATR	p85	-3.868×ATR	p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.33126767
tp_price: 0.3015285
atr: 0.00880307
expires_at: 2026-09-29T08:15:08+00:00

Details

rank: 85
total: 90
score: 0.2003
delta_2h: -0.1854
extension_atr: -2.17
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0866
confidence: 0.944

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3093	0.3313	0.3015	0.35	0.3017

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3093
Stop Loss: 0.3313
Take Profit: 0.3015

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3313 - 0.3093 = 0.022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3093 - 0.3015 = 0.0078
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0078 / 0.022 = 0.3545

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
112.419	100	363.5096	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.022

Taille de position = 8 / 0.022 = 363.64

Taille de position USD = 363.64 x 0.3093 = 112.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 363.64 avec un stoploss a 0.3313

Avec un position size USD de 112.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 363.64 x 0.022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 363.64 x 0.0078 = 2.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.84$

Résumé

Taille de position 363.64
Taille de position USD 112.47
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.84
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3545

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.52 %	2.84 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.11 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.13 $	-2.79

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.6557 %	65.46 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3093	0.3313	0.3015	0.35	0.3017

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3093
Stop Loss: 0.3313
Take Profit: 0.3015

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3313 - 0.3093 = 0.022
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3093 - 0.3015 = 0.0078
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0078 / 0.022 = 0.3545

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.113% (0.0220)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.456%	0.1R	-0.747%	0.1R	0.6×	12
2h	+0.456%	0.1R	-2.199%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.456%	0.1R	-3.725%	0.5R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.456%	0.1R	-4.656%	0.7R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.456%	0.1R	-4.656%	0.7R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.456%	0.1R	-5.622%	0.8R	0.1×	144

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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