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Short Trade on TIA

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28 Sep 2026 at 23:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_score)

With 270.15 TIA at 0.429$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4587 (6.9 %)

TIA SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 23:15 → 02:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.4291$

Qty 270.1483 TIA

Size 115.9234$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 115.92$

SL 0.4587 (-6.9%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.38% / -1.6$ MAE -2.01% MFE +0.41% 0.1R expires 29 Sep 02:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163714)
#82 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1275

Quality Score
0.360
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 23:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#82 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#82 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.19×ATR
4h clear 6.48×ATR
1d clear 2.12×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1)

24/09 15:01

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 22:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4325
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical bear transition 0.55 +1
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 5.5%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : alt_capitulation
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 58.9%
1h 4.1%
4h 2.7%
24h 17.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 61.6% +0.03%
4h 5.5% -2.59%
24h 17.8% -5.65%
Dispersion : 0.210
Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4953
Score SMA
0.6215
Rank
#76 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1477
Rank Norm SMA
0.6276
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6512 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.15% · r3d: -9.48% · ema21_slope: 1.8926% · dist_ema21: 4.017%
Force Relative 25% 0.4476 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.99% · rs_3d: -8.76% · beta_24h: 1.939
Volume 20% 0.3405 rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: 0.106 · trend: 12.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7995 ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.3597
Score SMA
0.5634
Rank
#82 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1275
Rank Norm SMA
0.5336
Calculé le
28/09/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1799 r1h: -0.781% · r4h: -3.317% · r1d: -12.54% · r3d: -12.51% · ema21_slope: -0.3722% · dist_ema21: -5.503%
Force Relative 25% 0.1996 rs_1h: -0.651% · rs_4h: -2.618% · rs_1d: -12.01% · rs_3d: -11.25% · beta_24h: 3.127
Volume 20% 0.2300 rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.483 · trend: -3.35%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7325 ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 43.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4359
Score SMA
0.6321
Rank
#78 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1761
Rank Norm SMA
0.6582
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4752 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.183% · r1d: -12.15% · r3d: -9.48% · ema21_slope: -0.1682% · dist_ema21: -5.901%
Force Relative 25% 0.3399 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.060% · rs_1d: -10.99% · rs_3d: -8.76% · beta_24h: 3.273
Volume 20% 0.2380 rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.557 · trend: -28.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6762 ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5930 ATR%: 4.221% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.898% (0.0296)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.375% 0.1R -0.886% 0.1R 0.4× 12
2h +0.408% 0.1R -1.004% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.408% 0.1R -2.011% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.408% 0.1R -3.437% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.408% 0.1R -7.616% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.408% 0.1R -9.380% 1.4R 0.0× 144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.37
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate explosive expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 43% early — near 0.4ATR 0.63 bull_high +12.96% +0.27 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
47%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.47 bull_high +1.77% -0.69 28/09 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.2ATR — 0.34 bear_medium -1.13% -0.72 28/09 22:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.70 range_low -0.66% -0.27 28/09 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166910 		↑ up bull_high
64%
early 5b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.805

—

near 0.4ATR

0.81 below_value -5.02 ATR — #92623 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:22
4h
166837 		↔ neutral bull_high
47%
mid 14b -1.5ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.406

—

—

0.79 below_value -5.02 ATR inside #92623 28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:18
1h anchor
168304 		↓ down bear_high
54%
late 2b -2.4ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.744

near -0.2ATR

—

0.47 below_value -7.32 ATR — #93256 28/09 22:00
upd 28/09 23:10
15m
168220 		↓ down bear_high
62%
late 9b -2.2ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.524

—

—

0.08 below_value -5.99 ATR — #93075 28/09 22:45
upd 28/09 23:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 2.298×ATR p4 +0.401×ATR p26
4h ↓ down mid 14b — 3.563×ATR p54 -1.514×ATR p65
1h ↓ down late 2b — 2.271×ATR p38 -2.379×ATR p94
15m ↓ down late 9b — 4.952×ATR p82 -2.166×ATR p80

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.45872336
  2. atr: 0.00987112
  3. expires_at: 2026-09-29T06:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 87
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.1799
  4. confidence: 0.966

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4291 0.4587 0.444
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4291
  • Stop Loss: 0.4587
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4587 - 0.4291 = 0.0296

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4291 - = 0.4291

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4291 / 0.0296 = 14.4966

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
115.9234 100 270.1483 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0296

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0296 = 270.27

Taille de position USD = 270.27 x 0.4291 = 115.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 270.27 avec un stoploss a 0.4587

Avec un position size USD de 115.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 270.27 x 0.0296 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 270.27 x 0.4291 = 115.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 115.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 270.27
  • Taille de position USD 115.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 115.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 14.4966

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 115.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.9 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.6 $ -1.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3959 % 20.24 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4291 0.4587 0.444
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4291
  • Stop Loss: 0.4587
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.4587 - 0.4291 = 0.0296

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4291 - = 0.4291

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4291 / 0.0296 = 14.4966

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.898% (0.0296)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.375% 0.1R -0.886% 0.1R 0.4× 12
2h +0.408% 0.1R -1.004% 0.2R 0.4× 24
3h ★ +0.408% 0.1R -2.011% 0.3R 0.2× 36
4h +0.408% 0.1R -3.437% 0.5R 0.1× 48
8h +0.408% 0.1R -7.616% 1.1R 0.1× 96
12h +0.408% 0.1R -9.380% 1.4R 0.0× 144

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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