28 Sep 2026 at 23:15:13 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 332.91 CRV at 0.381$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3909 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3573 (6.32 %)

CRV LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Sep 2026 23:15 → 23:25 · 9 minutes

Position

Entry 0.3814$

Qty 332.9136 CRV

Size 126.9599$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3909 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.16$

SL 0.3573 (-6.32%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.39

Status win PnL +2.49% / +3.16$ MAE -0.24% MFE +5.47% 0.9R expires 29 Sep 05:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163698)
#1 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9660

Quality Score
0.794
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
18.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/09 23:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.32 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 90 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.32 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.42×ATR
1d clear 0.98×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (-1)

24/09 15:01

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

28/09 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4325
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical bear transition 0.55 -1
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 5.5%
Impulse : -0.00
Participation : alt_capitulation
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 58.9%
1h 4.1%
4h 2.7%
24h 17.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 61.6% +0.03%
4h 5.5% -2.59%
24h 17.8% -5.65%
Dispersion : 0.210
Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 28/09 23:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6484
Score SMA
0.4991
Rank
#29 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6818
Rank Norm SMA
0.1619
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8395 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 7.45% · r3d: 6.88% · ema21_slope: 0.3771% · dist_ema21: 9.378%
Force Relative 25% 0.7891 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 8.62% · rs_3d: 7.60% · beta_24h: 1.087
Volume 20% 0.5715 rvol_20: 1.75× · zscore_50: 1.141 · trend: 22.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5665 ADX: 27.3 (trend) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.862% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.7936
Score SMA
0.5210
Rank
#1 / 90
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9660
Rank Norm SMA
0.3519
Calculé le
28/09/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8511 r1h: 0.314% · r4h: 3.479% · r1d: 11.64% · r3d: 8.25% · ema21_slope: 0.5177% · dist_ema21: 6.617%
Force Relative 25% 0.8098 rs_1h: 0.444% · rs_4h: 4.178% · rs_1d: 12.17% · rs_3d: 9.51% · beta_24h: 3.460
Volume 20% 0.5741 rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 1.204 · trend: 75.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8064 ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 23.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.611% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7188
Score SMA
0.4769
Rank
#7 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9091
Rank Norm SMA
0.1514
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7207 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.216% · r1d: 7.45% · r3d: 6.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0192% · dist_ema21: 9.309%
Force Relative 25% 0.8385 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 6.093% · rs_1d: 8.62% · rs_3d: 7.60% · beta_24h: 3.420
Volume 20% 0.6595 rvol_20: 2.02× · zscore_50: 0.872 · trend: 68.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6297 ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 37.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.6666 ATR%: 4.000% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.319% (0.0241)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.517% 0.4R -0.241% 0.0R 10.4× 12
2h +2.937% 0.5R -0.241% 0.0R 12.2× 24
4h +5.475% 0.9R -0.241% 0.0R 22.7× 48
6h ★ +5.475% 0.9R -0.241% 0.0R 22.7× 72
8h +5.829% 0.9R -0.241% 0.0R 24.2× 96
12h +9.072% 1.4R -0.241% 0.0R 37.6× 144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.35
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.65 bull_high +12.96% -0.18 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 40% late — near 0.4ATR 0.40 bull_high +1.77% +0.79 28/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.45 bear_medium -1.13% +0.89 28/09 22:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.59 range_low -0.66% +0.50 28/09 22:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166844
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
59%
mid 12b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.713

—

—

1.75 above_value +2.91 ATR — #92607 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:19
4h
166774
↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
63%
late 2b 2.2ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.487

—

near 0.4ATR

2.02 above_value +2.91 ATR — #92607 28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:15
1h anchor
168288
↑ up bull_high_confirmed
59%
late 3b 2.0ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.505

—

—

1.29 above_value +2.89 ATR inside #93240 28/09 22:00
upd 28/09 23:10
15m
168204
↑ up bull_high
64%
mid 4b 1.4ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.379

—

—

0.67 above_value +2.74 ATR — #93059 28/09 22:45
upd 28/09 23:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 2.648×ATR p5 +1.049×ATR p65
4h ↑ up late 2b — 3.833×ATR p76 +2.17×ATR p92
1h ↓ down late 3b — 0.47×ATR p0 +1.998×ATR p92
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 0.263×ATR p0 +1.414×ATR p61

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.35732974
  2. tp_price: 0.390894
  3. atr: 0.0096121
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T09:15:13+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 90
  3. score: 0.8511
  4. delta_2h: 0.1661
  5. extension_atr: 2.28
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.966
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3814 0.3573 0.3909 0.39 0.3913
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3814
  • Stop Loss: 0.3573
  • Take Profit: 0.3909

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3573 - 0.3814 = -0.0241

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3814 - 0.3909 = -0.0095

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0095 / -0.0241 = 0.3942

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
126.9599 100 332.9136 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0241

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0241 = -331.95

Taille de position USD = -331.95 x 0.3814 = -126.61

Donc, tu peux acheter -331.95 avec un stoploss a 0.3573

Avec un position size USD de -126.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -331.95 x -0.0241 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -331.95 x -0.0095 = 3.15

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.15$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -331.95
  • Taille de position USD -126.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.15
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3942

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3.16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.32 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
3.16 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3814 0.3573 0.3909 0.39 0.3913
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3814
  • Stop Loss: 0.3573
  • Take Profit: 0.3909

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3573 - 0.3814 = -0.0241

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3814 - 0.3909 = -0.0095

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0095 / -0.0241 = 0.3942

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.319% (0.0241)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.517% 0.4R -0.241% 0.0R 10.4× 12
2h +2.937% 0.5R -0.241% 0.0R 12.2× 24
4h +5.475% 0.9R -0.241% 0.0R 22.7× 48
6h ★ +5.475% 0.9R -0.241% 0.0R 22.7× 72
8h +5.829% 0.9R -0.241% 0.0R 24.2× 96
12h +9.072% 1.4R -0.241% 0.0R 37.6× 144

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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