Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.37 DASH at 59.615$ per unit. Take profit: 58.1246 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 62.9919 (5.66 %)
Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.37 DASH at 59.615$ per unit. Take profit: 58.1246 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 62.9919 (5.66 %)
Position
Entry 59.615$
Qty 2.369 DASH
Size 141.2289$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 58.1246 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.53$
SL 62.9919 (-5.66%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.44
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4470
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.32×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | 0.55 | +1 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 37.0% |
| 1h | 98.6% |
| 4h | 9.6% |
| 24h | 26.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 39.7% | -0.06% |
| 4h | 11.0% | -1.79% |
| 24h | 28.8% | -2.99% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7668 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.46% · r3d: 2.45% · ema21_slope: 1.1848% · dist_ema21: 9.086% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6995 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.30% · rs_3d: 3.18% · beta_24h: 1.453 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2810 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.330 · trend: 26.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7896 | ADX: 43.7 (trend) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.975% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1890 | r1h: -0.603% · r4h: -9.236% · r1d: -10.85% · r3d: -4.66% · ema21_slope: -0.2678% · dist_ema21: -7.125% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1892 | rs_1h: -0.734% · rs_4h: -8.727% · rs_1d: -10.53% · rs_3d: -3.62% · beta_24h: 3.316 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3191 | rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: -0.101 · trend: -14.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7609 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 38.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.390% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3836 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -9.236% · r1d: -10.85% · r3d: -4.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0070% · dist_ema21: -8.975% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2308 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -8.727% · rs_1d: -10.53% · rs_3d: -3.62% · beta_24h: 3.558 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2123 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.164 · trend: -47.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7134 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 39.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3363 | ATR%: 4.991% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.260% | 0.1R | -0.958% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -1.350% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -2.783% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.294% | 0.1R | -4.001% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -4.699% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -4.699% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 18 hours ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.54 | bull_high | +12.96% | -0.13 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +1.77% | +0.52 | 28/09 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.37 | bear_medium | -1.13% | -0.72 | 28/09 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
44%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.52 | range_low | -0.49% | -0.67 | 28/09 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167127 |
↑ up | bull_high |
62%
|
early 13b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.723 |
— — |
0.51 | value | -5.21 ATR | — | #92679 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:32
|
|
4h
167068 |
↑ up | bull_high |
66%
|
early 12b -0.2ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.636 |
— — |
0.09 | value | -5.21 ATR | — | #92679 |
28/09 16:00
upd 28/09 20:29
|
|
1h
anchor
168360 |
↓ down | bear_high |
42%
|
late 2b -2.9ATR | noisy_chop 48% | 0.647 |
near 0.4ATR — |
1.34 | below_value | -8.16 ATR | — | #93311 |
28/09 22:00
upd 28/09 23:13
|
|
15m
168744 |
↓ down | bear_high |
44%
|
late 15b -2.6ATR | choppy 54% | 0.387 |
— — |
0.83 | below_value | -8.23 ATR | — | #93487 |
28/09 23:45
upd 29/09 00:14
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 2.429×ATR | p0 | +0.788×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 3.002×ATR | p35 | -0.15×ATR | p5 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 3.953×ATR | p82 | -2.923×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 9.113×ATR | p100 | -2.62×ATR | p92 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.615 | 62.9919 | 58.1246 | 0.44 | 60.55 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 62.9919 - 59.615 = 3.3769
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.615 - 58.1246 = 1.4904
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4904 / 3.3769 = 0.4414
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 141.2289 | 100 | 2.369 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.3769 = 2.37
Taille de position USD = 2.37 x 59.615 = 141.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.37 avec un stoploss a 62.9919
Avec un position size USD de 141.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.37 x 3.3769 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.37 x 1.4904 = 3.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.53$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.53 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.66 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.63 $ | -3.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.0007 % | 70.63 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.615 | 62.9919 | 58.1246 | 0.44 | 60.55 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 62.9919 - 59.615 = 3.3769
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 59.615 - 58.1246 = 1.4904
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4904 / 3.3769 = 0.4414
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.260% | 0.1R | -0.958% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -1.350% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -2.783% | 0.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.294% | 0.1R | -4.001% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -4.699% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.294% | 0.1R | -4.699% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 18 hours ago
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