Short Trade on APE

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29 Sep 2026 at 00:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1099.12 APE at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1409 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1518 (5.05 %)

APE SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 00:15 → 06:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1445$

Qty 1099.1155 APE

Size 158.8112$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1409 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.96$

SL 0.1518 (-5.05%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.49

Status loss PnL -4.17% / -6.62$ MAE -4.39% MFE +0.91% 0.2R expires 29 Sep 06:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163690)

#78 / 90 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 28/09/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3295

Quality Score

0.390

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

903,701 $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 00:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#78 / 90 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-2

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#78 / 90 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.07×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	3.57×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	—	—	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1)

24/09 15:01

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 26/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 23:00 Score : -2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

26/09 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 23:00

Score : -2 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4329

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	bear	transition	0.55	+1
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 15.1%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	37.0%
1h	98.6%
4h	9.6%
24h	26.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	39.7%	-0.06%
4h	11.0%	-1.79%
24h	28.8%	-2.99%

Dispersion : 0.216

Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 00:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 23:00

Score brut

0.3898

Score SMA

0.6250

Rank

#78 / 90

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3295

Rank Norm SMA

0.7527

Calculé le

28/09/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2361	r1h: -1.002% · r4h: -3.145% · r1d: -10.34% · r3d: -7.42% · ema21_slope: -0.3543% · dist_ema21: -4.494%
Force Relative	25%	0.2388	rs_1h: -0.872% · rs_4h: -2.446% · rs_1d: -9.80% · rs_3d: -6.16% · beta_24h: 2.592
Volume	20%	0.2676	rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.325 · trend: 0.22%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7049	ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 51.8 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.182% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.052% (0.0073)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.751%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.914%	0.2R	-1.751%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.914%	0.2R	-3.675%	0.7R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.914%	0.2R	-4.388%	0.9R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.914%	0.2R	-6.090%	1.2R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.914%	0.2R	-6.920%	1.4R	0.1×	144

computed 17 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.55

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	62%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	near -0.7ATR	0.42	bull_high	+14.58%	+0.52	26/09 20:00
4h	—
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.43	bear_medium	-0.98%	-0.76	28/09 23:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.49	range_low	-0.42%	-0.12	28/09 23:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 164085	↔ neutral	bull_high_confirmed	62%	late 11b 1.9ATR	noisy_chop 43%	0.551	— near -0.7ATR	1.69	below_value	-1.63 ATR	—	#91425	26/09 20:00 upd 28/09 14:16
4h	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
1h anchor 168733	↓ down	bear_high	54%	mid 9b -1.5ATR	noisy_chop 45%	0.504	— —	0.30	below_value	-3.88 ATR	—	#93232	28/09 23:00 upd 29/09 00:13
15m 168552	↓ down	bear_high	63%	early 4b -0.4ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.612	— near 0.2ATR	0.02	below_value	-3.88 ATR	—	#93232	28/09 23:30 upd 28/09 23:45
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	11b	—	4.527×ATR	p61	+1.895×ATR	p87
1h	↓ down	mid	9b	—	1.836×ATR	p29	-1.497×ATR	p62
15m	↑ up	early	4b	—	2.392×ATR	p19	-0.362×ATR	p18

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.15176858
tp_price: 0.14087775
atr: 0.00291143
expires_at: 2026-09-29T10:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 83
total: 90
score: 0.2361
delta_2h: -0.0673
extension_atr: -1.48
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3295
confidence: 0.921

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1445	0.1518	0.1409	0.49	0.1496

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1445
Stop Loss: 0.1518
Take Profit: 0.1409

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1518 - 0.1445 = 0.0073
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1445 - 0.1409 = 0.0036
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0036 / 0.0073 = 0.4932

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
158.8112	100	1099.1155	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0073

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0073 = 1095.89

Taille de position USD = 1095.89 x 0.1445 = 158.36

Donc, tu peux acheter 1095.89 avec un stoploss a 0.1518

Avec un position size USD de 158.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1095.89 x 0.0073 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1095.89 x 0.0036 = 3.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.95$

Résumé

Taille de position 1095.89
Taille de position USD 158.36
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.95
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4932

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	3.96 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.05 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
-6.62 $	-4.17

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.3668 %	86.44 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1445	0.1518	0.1409	0.49	0.1496

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1445
Stop Loss: 0.1518
Take Profit: 0.1409

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1518 - 0.1445 = 0.0073
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1445 - 0.1409 = 0.0036
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0036 / 0.0073 = 0.4932

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.052% (0.0073)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.751%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.914%	0.2R	-1.751%	0.4R	0.5×	24
4h	+0.914%	0.2R	-3.675%	0.7R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.914%	0.2R	-4.388%	0.9R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.914%	0.2R	-6.090%	1.2R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.914%	0.2R	-6.920%	1.4R	0.1×	144

computed 17 hours ago

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