Short Trade on NEAR

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29 Sep 2026 at 00:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 23.77 NEAR at 4.634$ per unit. Take profit: 4.5178 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.9702 (7.26 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 00:15 → 06:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 4.6336$

Qty 23.7691 NEAR

Size 110.1364$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 4.5178 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.75$

SL 4.9702 (-7.26%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.34

Status loss PnL -3.03% / -3.34$ MAE -4.40% MFE +0.73% 0.1R expires 29 Sep 06:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 163807)

#61 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3259

Quality Score

0.426

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

91 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

440.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 00:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#61 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

91 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#61 / 88 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

91 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-5 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.26 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.34×ATR
4h	clear	1.56×ATR
1d	clear	5.89×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1)

24/09 15:01

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/09 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

28/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/09 22:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4329

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	bear	transition	0.55	+1
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 15.1%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : btc_led_risk_on

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	37.0%
1h	98.6%
4h	9.6%
24h	26.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	39.7%	-0.06%
4h	11.0%	-1.79%
24h	28.8%	-2.99%

Dispersion : 0.216

Universe : 73 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 00:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6842

Score SMA

0.7628

Rank

#23 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7500

Rank Norm SMA

0.8894

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7352	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -10.57% · r3d: -2.63% · ema21_slope: 5.5836% · dist_ema21: 26.304%
Force Relative	25%	0.5947	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -9.41% · rs_3d: -1.91% · beta_24h: 1.663
Volume	20%	0.8246	rvol_20: 2.09× · zscore_50: 2.556 · trend: 148.68%
Qualité Tendance	15%	1.0000	ADX: 62.3 (trend) · Chop: 14.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.674% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4257

Score SMA

0.5931

Rank

#61 / 88

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3259

Rank Norm SMA

0.6391

Calculé le

29/09/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2118	r1h: 1.120% · r4h: -3.754% · r1d: -11.12% · r3d: -4.90% · ema21_slope: -0.4564% · dist_ema21: -4.900%
Force Relative	25%	0.3164	rs_1h: 0.989% · rs_4h: -3.245% · rs_1d: -10.81% · rs_3d: -3.86% · beta_24h: 3.741
Volume	20%	0.3013	rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.114 · trend: 5.01%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7828	ADX: 36.5 (trend) · Chop: 40.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.9838	ATR%: 3.049% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4011

Score SMA

0.6004

Rank

#71 / 88

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3196

Rank Norm SMA

0.5595

Calculé le

29/09/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5123	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.754% · r1d: -11.12% · r3d: -4.90% · ema21_slope: 0.3270% · dist_ema21: -6.013%
Force Relative	25%	0.3301	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.245% · rs_1d: -10.81% · rs_3d: -3.86% · beta_24h: 3.525
Volume	20%	0.4906	rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: 0.565 · trend: 34.67%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7056	ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 48.8 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.049% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.264% (0.3366)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.734%	0.1R	-1.530%	0.2R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.734%	0.1R	-2.547%	0.4R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.734%	0.1R	-3.716%	0.5R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+0.734%	0.1R	-4.396%	0.6R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.734%	0.1R	-6.621%	0.9R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.734%	0.1R	-9.164%	1.3R	0.1×	144

computed 17 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.32

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.54	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 36%	early	—	—	0.41	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.48	28/09 16:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.27	bear_medium	-1.13%	-0.82	28/09 22:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.62	range_low	-0.49%	-0.26	28/09 23:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 166927	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	60%	late 15b 1.7ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.729	— —	2.09	value	+2.95 ATR	—	#92627	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:23
4h 166853	↑ up	bull_high	58%	early 6b -0.5ATR	noisy_chop 36%	0.696	— —	0.92	value	+2.95 ATR	—	#92627	28/09 16:00 upd 28/09 20:19
1h anchor 168308	↓ down	bear_high	51%	late 9b -2.0ATR	noisy_chop 44%	0.629	— —	1.07	value	-3.28 ATR	—	#93260	28/09 22:00 upd 28/09 23:10
15m 168670	↓ down	bear_high	59%	early 3b -0.7ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.415	— —	0.52	value	-3.28 ATR	—	#93260	28/09 23:45 upd 29/09 00:02
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	15b	—	5.478×ATR	p83	+1.684×ATR	p77
4h	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.751×ATR	p28	-0.516×ATR	p36
1h	↓ down	late	9b	—	3.469×ATR	p74	-2.007×ATR	p83
15m	↑ up	early	3b	—	1.554×ATR	p0	-0.72×ATR	p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 4.97017185
tp_price: 4.51776
atr: 0.13462874
expires_at: 2026-09-29T10:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 82
total: 90
score: 0.2364
delta_2h: -0.0402
extension_atr: -1.6
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3188
confidence: 0.91

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	00:15	4.63360000	0%
2	01:15	4.64690000	+0.287%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6336	4.9702	4.5178	0.34	5.3322

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6336
Stop Loss: 4.9702
Take Profit: 4.5178

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.9702 - 4.6336 = 0.3366
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6336 - 4.5178 = 0.1158
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1158 / 0.3366 = 0.344

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
110.1364	100	23.7691	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.3366

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3366 = 23.77

Taille de position USD = 23.77 x 4.6336 = 110.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 23.77 avec un stoploss a 4.9702

Avec un position size USD de 110.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 23.77 x 0.3366 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 23.77 x 0.1158 = 2.75

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.75$

Résumé

Taille de position 23.77
Taille de position USD 110.14
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.75
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.344

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.75 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.26 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.34 $	-3.03

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.3961 %	60.52 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6336	4.9702	4.5178	0.34	5.3322

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6336
Stop Loss: 4.9702
Take Profit: 4.5178

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.9702 - 4.6336 = 0.3366
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6336 - 4.5178 = 0.1158
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1158 / 0.3366 = 0.344

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.264% (0.3366)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.734%	0.1R	-1.530%	0.2R	0.5×	12
2h	+0.734%	0.1R	-2.547%	0.4R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.734%	0.1R	-3.716%	0.5R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+0.734%	0.1R	-4.396%	0.6R	0.2×	72
8h	+0.734%	0.1R	-6.621%	0.9R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.734%	0.1R	-9.164%	1.3R	0.1×	144

computed 17 hours ago

Commentaires

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