Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 365.1 ONDO at 0.507$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4528 (10.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5294 (4.32 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 365.1 ONDO at 0.507$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4528 (10.78 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5294 (4.32 %)
Position
Entry 0.5075$
Qty 365.1031 ONDO
Size 185.3008$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4528 (+10.78%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.5294 (-4.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1182
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.18×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.69×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.99×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 00:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | 0.55 | +1 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 56.3% |
| 1h | 50.7% |
| 4h | 64.8% |
| 24h | 23.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.8% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 56.3% | +0.44% |
| 24h | 23.9% | -2.10% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7202 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.75% · r3d: -5.43% · ema21_slope: 2.4240% · dist_ema21: 16.269% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5676 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.59% · rs_3d: -4.70% · beta_24h: 1.525 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 3.55× · zscore_50: 3.247 · trend: 195.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7886 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 15.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.554% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2937 | r1h: 0.297% · r4h: -1.074% · r1d: -14.24% · r3d: -6.49% · ema21_slope: -0.2645% · dist_ema21: -1.651% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3112 | rs_1h: 0.134% · rs_4h: -1.106% · rs_1d: -13.90% · rs_3d: -5.56% · beta_24h: 3.542 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1955 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.527 · trend: -27.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3952 | ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 67.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5366 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.066% · r1d: -10.73% · r3d: -5.74% · ema21_slope: 0.1821% · dist_ema21: -3.316% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4202 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.557% · rs_1d: -10.42% · rs_3d: -4.70% · beta_24h: 1.550 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4519 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.199 · trend: 33.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8472 | ADX: 42.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2064 | ATR%: 5.381% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.834% | 0.2R | -1.984% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.834% | 0.2R | -3.261% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.834% | 0.2R | -3.683% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.834% | 0.2R | -4.802% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.770% | 0.4R | -4.802% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 6 hours ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.99 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +1.23% | -0.49 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.2ATR | near -0.3ATR | 0.41 | bear_medium | -0.81% | -0.21 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.15% | -0.15 | 29/09 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166964 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
mid 12b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.560 |
— — |
3.55 | above_value | -0.30 ATR | — | #92636 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:25
|
|
4h
168831 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
mid 5b -0.6ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.510 |
— — |
1.30 | above_value | -0.45 ATR | — | #93445 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:18
|
|
1h
anchor
169289 |
↓ down | bear_high |
56%
|
early 2b -0.7ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.290 |
near 0.2ATR near -0.3ATR |
0.33 | above_value | -0.35 ATR | — | #93709 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 01:11
|
|
15m
169466 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
58%
|
early 14b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.620 |
— — |
0.60 | above_value | -0.35 ATR | — | #93709 |
29/09 01:15
upd 29/09 01:32
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.426×ATR | p63 | +1.411×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.635×ATR | p56 | -0.613×ATR | p32 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.34×ATR | p2 | -0.724×ATR | p34 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.441×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.49139
146
0.3089
0.6387
0.3489
0.2375
0.44
1
0.3897
0.3817
0.4017
0.228
0.6809
0.4769
-0.117
-0.0808
0
-0.7109
-1.6132
0.65
0.35
-1
3
1
0.5249
0.768
2.5157
0.55
1.6886
2.6042
-1.6132
0.4952
0.2018
0.38
-0.5075
0.3705
0.4608
0.9502
0.4769
-8.2256
7.4985
1
1
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0.49139
0.52827
0.52827
0.49139
0.50797
0.49853
0.50325
0.6945
0.52827
0.50643
0.51735
0.8613
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:33 | 0.50753000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 01:43 | 0.50640000 | -0.217% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5075 | 0.5294 | 0.4528 | 2.5 | 0.5058 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5294 - 0.5075 = 0.0219
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5075 - 0.4528 = 0.0547
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0547 / 0.0219 = 2.4977
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185.3008 | 100 | 365.1031 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0219 = 365.3
Taille de position USD = 365.3 x 0.5075 = 185.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 365.3 avec un stoploss a 0.5294
Avec un position size USD de 185.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 365.3 x 0.0219 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 365.3 x 0.0547 = 19.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.78 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.802 % | 111.28 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5075 | 0.5294 | 0.4528 | 2.5 | 0.5058 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5294 - 0.5075 = 0.0219
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5075 - 0.4528 = 0.0547
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0547 / 0.0219 = 2.4977
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(
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[take_profit] => 0.4528
[entry_price] => 0.5075
[stop_loss] => 0.53159
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 10:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.834% | 0.2R | -1.984% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.834% | 0.2R | -3.261% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.834% | 0.2R | -3.683% | 0.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.834% | 0.2R | -4.802% | 1.1R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.770% | 0.4R | -4.802% | 1.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 6 hours ago
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