Short Trade on VVV (BosPullback)
With 9.27 VVV at 27.21$ per unit. Take profit: 25.0532 (7.93 %) & Stop Loss: 28.0727 (3.17 %)
Short Trade on VVV (BosPullback)
With 9.27 VVV at 27.21$ per unit. Take profit: 25.0532 (7.93 %) & Stop Loss: 28.0727 (3.17 %)
Position
Entry 27.21$
Qty 9.2731 VVV
Size 252.3207$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 25.0532 (+7.93%)
TP $ 20$
SL 28.0727 (-3.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4801
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.15×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.94×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.03×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (+1) 24/09 15:01 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | 0.55 | +1 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 56.3% |
| 1h | 50.7% |
| 4h | 64.8% |
| 24h | 23.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.8% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 56.3% | +0.44% |
| 24h | 23.9% | -2.10% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6072 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.16% · r3d: -8.00% · ema21_slope: 2.3830% · dist_ema21: 5.063% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4564 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.00% · rs_3d: -7.28% · beta_24h: 1.057 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2775 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.038 · trend: -10.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9760 | ADX: 60.3 (trend) · Chop: 41.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3570 | r1h: 2.334% · r4h: 0.259% · r1d: -2.80% · r3d: -9.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1909% · dist_ema21: -0.136% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4947 | rs_1h: 2.172% · rs_4h: 0.227% · rs_1d: -2.46% · rs_3d: -8.36% · beta_24h: 3.837 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4038 | rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: 0.307 · trend: 29.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6100 | ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.471% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3001 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.648% · r1d: -4.51% · r3d: -11.14% · ema21_slope: -0.3754% · dist_ema21: -6.903% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2362 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.139% · rs_1d: -4.20% · rs_3d: -10.10% · beta_24h: 2.717 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4289 | rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: -0.161 · trend: -8.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6224 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 42.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3737 | ATR%: 4.879% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.080% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.785% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.153% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.153% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.433% | 0.8R | -5.153% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 6 hours ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.12 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.28 | bull_high | +1.23% | -0.78 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.29 | bear_medium | -0.81% | -0.19 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.57 | range_low | -0.15% | -0.04 | 29/09 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167058 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 7b 0.4ATR | noisy_chop 35% | 0.565 |
— — |
0.64 | below_value | -3.73 ATR | — | #92659 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:29
|
|
4h
168901 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
52%
|
late 9b -1.6ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.524 |
near -0.9ATR — |
1.65 | below_value | -4.95 ATR | — | #93468 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:21
|
|
1h
anchor
169312 |
↓ down | bear_high |
60%
|
early 2b -0.1ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.302 |
— near -1.1ATR |
0.99 | below_value | -3.99 ATR | — | #93732 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 01:12
|
|
15m
169485 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
40%
|
late 11b 1.1ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.615 |
— near 0.3ATR |
0.07 | below_value | -3.99 ATR | — | #93732 |
29/09 01:15
upd 29/09 01:33
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.241×ATR | p4 | +0.389×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.826×ATR | p70 | -1.557×ATR | p81 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.123×ATR | p19 | -0.056×ATR | p4 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 5.002×ATR | p84 | +1.092×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
26.046
146
0.2459
0.6531
0.3604
0.2997
0.41
1
0.3873
0.3572
0.2831
0.7977
0.7587
0.175
-0.0975
-0.0883
0
-0.4035
-1.6109
0.4
0.6
-1
3
1
0.4005
0.7549
3.0212
0.55
1.391
3.0276
-1.6109
0.5248
0.1458
0.7
0.2665
0.6765
0.4384
0.8991
0.175
-8.0197
1.7012
1
1
0
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26.046
28.017
28.017
26.046
26.216
26.046
26.131
0.5527
28.017
26.749
27.383
0.7778
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.21 | 28.0727 | 25.0532 | 2.5 | 27.217 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.0727 - 27.21 = 0.8627
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 27.21 - 25.0532 = 2.1568
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1568 / 0.8627 = 2.5001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 252.3207 | 100 | 9.2731 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.8627 = 9.27
Taille de position USD = 9.27 x 27.21 = 252.24
Donc, tu peux acheter 9.27 avec un stoploss a 28.0727
Avec un position size USD de 252.24$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9.27 x 0.8627 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9.27 x 2.1568 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.93 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2304 % | 101.89 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.21 | 28.0727 | 25.0532 | 2.5 | 27.217 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 28.0727 - 27.21 = 0.8627
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 27.21 - 25.0532 = 2.1568
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1568 / 0.8627 = 2.5001
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.080% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.785% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.153% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.153% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.433% | 0.8R | -5.153% | 1.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 6 hours ago
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