Long Trade on STRK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3862.1 STRK at 0.0427$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04788 (12.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04063 (4.85 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 02:15:55
hyperliquid
STRK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 02:15
→ 14:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.0427$
Qty 3862.1036 STRK
Size 164.9118$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04788 (+12.13%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.04063 (-4.85%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.51%
/ -4.13$
MAE -3.86%
MFE +4.22%
0.9R
expires
29 Sep 14:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164080)
#7 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 02:00
score du 29/09/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8835
Quality Score
0.608
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 02:01
29/09 02:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#7 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.10×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.64×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.67×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (-1) 24/09 15:01 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4337
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | bear | transition | 0.55 | -1 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
39.5%
Impulse :
-0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
mixed
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 68.6% |
| 1h | 20.0% |
| 4h | 50.0% |
| 24h | 24.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 68.6% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 47.1% | -0.04% |
| 24h | 24.3% | -2.58% |
Dispersion :
0.119
Universe :
70
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 02:02
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5539
Score SMA
0.5871
Rank
#59
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3409
Rank Norm SMA
0.3619
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7216 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.74% · r3d: 1.43% · ema21_slope: 2.5670% · dist_ema21: 12.662% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6436 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.43% · rs_3d: 2.15% · beta_24h: 2.540 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2653 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.041 · trend: 1.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8231 | ADX: 38.8 (trend) · Chop: 27.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.595% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.6077
Score SMA
0.4939
Rank
#7
/ 87
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8835
Rank Norm SMA
0.2887
Calculé le
29/09/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7059 | r1h: 2.487% · r4h: 4.737% · r1d: 7.41% · r3d: 3.71% · ema21_slope: 0.1377% · dist_ema21: 3.829% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8063 | rs_1h: 2.210% · rs_4h: 4.296% · rs_1d: 7.11% · rs_3d: 4.30% · beta_24h: 3.717 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7625 | rvol_20: 2.03× · zscore_50: 1.766 · trend: 112.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4450 | ADX: 12.8 (weak) · Chop: 58.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.408% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5964
Score SMA
0.4447
Rank
#14
/ 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7889
Rank Norm SMA
0.1256
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6351 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.645% · r1d: 5.19% · r3d: 2.72% · ema21_slope: -0.0157% · dist_ema21: 2.013% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5912 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.136% · rs_1d: 5.50% · rs_3d: 3.76% · beta_24h: 4.408 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6983 | rvol_20: 2.84× · zscore_50: 0.757 · trend: 5.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3799 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 69.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6140 | ATR%: 4.158% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.848%
(0.0021)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.569% | 0.3R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.639% | 0.3R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.466% | 0.7R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.216% | 0.9R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.216% | 0.9R | -3.864% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 143 |
computed 17 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.68
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.99 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.41 | bull_high | +1.23% | +0.37 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | fading | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.31 | range_medium | -0.52% | +0.67 | 29/09 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | -0.01% | +0.23 | 29/09 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166972 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
early 8b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.818 |
— — |
0.47 | value | +0.69 ATR | — | #92638 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:25
|
|
4h
168837 |
↑ up | bull_high |
63%
|
early 4b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.540 |
— near -0.6ATR |
2.84 | value | +0.42 ATR | — | #93447 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:18
|
|
1h
anchor
169724 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
63%
|
mid 3b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.385 |
— near -0.1ATR |
2.03 | value | +1.28 ATR | — | #93887 |
29/09 01:00
upd 29/09 02:13
|
|
15m
169639 |
↑ up | bull_high |
51%
|
late 4b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.481 |
— — |
0.22 | above_value | +0.27 ATR | — | #93711 |
29/09 01:45
upd 29/09 02:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.274×ATR | p0 | +0.891×ATR | p41 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.724×ATR | p0 | +0.517×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.563×ATR | p51 | +1.378×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.872×ATR | p34 | +2.011×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7955
- reason: up_bo width=2.01×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.04062859
- tp_price: 0.04787851
- atr:
- score: 0.79554459410156
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T18:15:46.547634
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79554459410156
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0252
- obi_top10 : -0.0108
- micro_price : 0.04265649
- spread_pct : 0.067989
- mid_price : 0.0426685
- bid_wall_price : 0.0425
- bid_wall_size : 2258132.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0428
- ask_wall_size : 1907100.82
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0107
- obi_top5_std : 0.0086
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7053
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.04172
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.039735
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0407275
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790542800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790661600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.007
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7955
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790658000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.04172
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6176
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9908
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00098905 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.6176
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9908
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:15 | 0.04270000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:26 | 0.04270000 | 0% |
| 3 | 02:36 | 0.04280000 | +0.234% |
| 4 | 02:46 | 0.04280000 | +0.234% |
| 5 | 02:55 | 0.04280000 | +0.234% |
| 6 | 03:06 | 0.04280000 | +0.234% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7053ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.025
avg -0.011
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
-0.011
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0427
Micro Price
0.0427
Spread
0.0680%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0425
Size
2,258,132.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0428
Size
1,907,100.82
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0427 | 0.04063 | 0.04788 | 2.5 | 0.04215 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0427
- Stop Loss: 0.04063
- Take Profit: 0.04788
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04063 - 0.0427 = -0.00207
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0427 - 0.04788 = -0.00518
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00518 / -0.00207 = 2.5024
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164.9118 | 100 | 3862.1036 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00207
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00207 = -3864.73
Taille de position USD = -3864.73 x 0.0427 = -165.02
Donc, tu peux acheter -3864.73 avec un stoploss a 0.04063
Avec un position size USD de -165.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3864.73 x -0.00207 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3864.73 x -0.00518 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position -3864.73
- Taille de position USD -165.02
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5024
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.13 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.85 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.13 $ | -2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.8642 % | 79.71 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0427 | 0.04063 | 0.04788 | 2.5 | 0.04215 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0427
- Stop Loss: 0.04063
- Take Profit: 0.04788
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04063 - 0.0427 = -0.00207
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0427 - 0.04788 = -0.00518
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00518 / -0.00207 = 2.5024
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.848%
(0.0021)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.569% | 0.3R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.639% | 0.3R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.466% | 0.7R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.216% | 0.9R | -0.562% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.216% | 0.9R | -3.864% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 143 |
computed 17 minutes ago
Commentaires
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