Long Trade on AVAX (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 16.89 AVAX at 11.089$ per unit. Take profit: 12.2734 (10.68 %) & Stop Loss: 10.6153 (4.27 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 03:12:07
hyperliquid
AVAX
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 03:12
(open)
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 11.089$
Qty 16.8866 AVAX
Size 187.2553$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 12.2734 (+10.68%)
TP $ 20$
SL 10.6153 (-4.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
open
PnL
+1.39%
expires
29 Sep 15:11
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164128)
#12 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 03:00
score du 29/09/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7662
Quality Score
0.625
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
16.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 03:00
29/09 03:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#12 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4341
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
77.6%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 47.1% |
| 1h | 94.3% |
| 4h | 95.7% |
| 24h | 41.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.0% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 84.3% | +2.29% |
| 24h | 38.6% | -0.71% |
Dispersion :
0.221
Universe :
70
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 03:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5758
Score SMA
0.6295
Rank
#47
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4773
Rank Norm SMA
0.5488
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7268 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.79% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.6407% · dist_ema21: 11.714% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5943 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.63% · rs_3d: 0.26% · beta_24h: 0.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3807 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.314 · trend: 28.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8872 | ADX: 46.5 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.586% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6254
Score SMA
0.5237
Rank
#12
/ 87
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7662
Rank Norm SMA
0.3988
Calculé le
29/09/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6192 | r1h: 3.464% · r4h: 6.121% · r1d: 4.38% · r3d: 3.60% · ema21_slope: -0.0009% · dist_ema21: 4.084% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7884 | rs_1h: 2.783% · rs_4h: 4.864% · rs_1d: 3.37% · rs_3d: 3.48% · beta_24h: 2.868 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2938 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.019 · trend: -13.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5587 | ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.948% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5764
Score SMA
0.5606
Rank
#20
/ 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7033
Rank Norm SMA
0.4242
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5575 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.773% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -2.02% · ema21_slope: -0.0029% · dist_ema21: -1.909% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4213 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.264% · rs_1d: -2.39% · rs_3d: -0.98% · beta_24h: 2.609 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7025 | rvol_20: 2.79× · zscore_50: 0.787 · trend: 13.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5581 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 56.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7965 | ATR%: 3.611% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.98 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | near -0.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.53 | bull_high | +1.23% | +0.07 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | +0.15% | +0.32 | 29/09 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.73 | range_low | +0.63% | +0.30 | 29/09 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166807 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
mid 7b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.844 |
— — |
0.85 | value | +1.33 ATR | — | #92598 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:17
|
|
4h
168728 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
early 3b -0.6ATR | noisy_chop 33% | 0.625 |
near -0.2ATR near 0.4ATR |
2.79 | value | -1.56 ATR | — | #93408 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor
170114 |
↑ up | bull_high |
62%
|
mid 4b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.654 |
— — |
0.79 | above_value | +2.43 ATR | — | #94024 |
29/09 02:00
upd 29/09 03:09
|
|
15m
170034 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
61%
|
late 16b 3.4ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.420 |
— near 0.1ATR |
1.88 | value | +0.75 ATR | — | #93848 |
29/09 02:45
upd 29/09 03:00
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.725×ATR | p0 | +1.258×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.729×ATR | p0 | -0.562×ATR | p33 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.059×ATR | p70 | +1.964×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.625×ATR | p93 | +3.35×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8316
- reason: up_bo width=2.90×ATR dur=32b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 10.6152511
- tp_price: 12.27337225
- atr:
- score: 0.83159892975359
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T19:11:59.268415
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83159892975359
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1774
- obi_top10 : 0.1774
- micro_price : 11.15099527
- spread_pct : 0.008969
- mid_price : 11.1505
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1435
- obi_top5_std : 0.0413
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6900
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
10.9405
- balance_zone_bottom:
10.332
- balance_zone_mid:
10.63625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790553600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790665200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8978
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
32
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8316
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790661600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
10.9405
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9062
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.7072
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.20998902 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
32
inside_close_ratio
0.9062
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7072
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:12 | 11.08900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:22 | 11.08900000 | 0% |
| 3 | 03:31 | 11.08900000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6900ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.177
avg 0.144
± 0.041
OBI Top 10
0.177
Microstructure
Mid Price
11.1505
Micro Price
11.1510
Spread
0.0090%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.089 | 10.6153 | 12.2734 | 2.5 | 11.243 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.089
- Stop Loss: 10.6153
- Take Profit: 12.2734
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.6153 - 11.089 = -0.4737
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.089 - 12.2734 = -1.1844
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1844 / -0.4737 = 2.5003
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 187.2553 | 100 | 16.8866 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.4737
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4737 = -16.89
Taille de position USD = -16.89 x 11.089 = -187.29
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.89 avec un stoploss a 10.6153
Avec un position size USD de -187.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.89 x -0.4737 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.89 x -1.1844 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -16.89
- Taille de position USD -187.29
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5003
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.68 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 1.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.089 | 10.6153 | 12.2734 | 2.5 | 11.243 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.089
- Stop Loss: 10.6153
- Take Profit: 12.2734
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.6153 - 11.089 = -0.4737
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.089 - 12.2734 = -1.1844
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1844 / -0.4737 = 2.5003
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
Commentaires
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