Long Trade on TAO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 0.81 TAO at 312.43$ per unit. Take profit: 337.1064 (7.9 %) & Stop Loss: 302.5594 (3.16 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 04:09:24
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 04:09
(open)
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 312.43$
Qty 0.8105 TAO
Size 253.2212$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 337.1064 (+7.9%)
TP $ 20$
SL 302.5594 (-3.16%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
open
PnL
+0.68%
expires
29 Sep 16:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164255)
#22 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 04:00
score du 29/09/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4477
Quality Score
0.576
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
37.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 04:01
29/09 04:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#22 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#22 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.03×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.05×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 29/09 02:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4345
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
88.9%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.4% |
| 1h | 79.7% |
| 4h | 97.1% |
| 24h | 62.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 91.3% | +2.75% |
| 24h | 50.7% | +1.42% |
Dispersion :
0.225
Universe :
69
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 04:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5732
Score SMA
0.6594
Rank
#50
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4432
Rank Norm SMA
0.6405
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6855 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.71% · r3d: -3.24% · ema21_slope: 1.8819% · dist_ema21: 11.085% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5456 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.55% · rs_3d: -2.52% · beta_24h: 2.360 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5469 | rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: 0.981 · trend: 64.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8116 | ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 28.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.445% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5760
Score SMA
—
Rank
—
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4477
Rank Norm SMA
—
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6667 | r1h: 1.625% · r4h: 4.357% · r1d: 4.25% · r3d: -0.03% · ema21_slope: -0.0568% · dist_ema21: 2.634% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6762 | rs_1h: 1.659% · rs_4h: 3.268% · rs_1d: 3.03% · rs_3d: 0.14% · beta_24h: 2.426 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2778 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: -0.121 · trend: -41.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5524 | ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.980% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4453
Score SMA
0.6186
Rank
#65
/ 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3935
Rank Norm SMA
0.6241
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5377 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.381% · r1d: -2.27% · r3d: -3.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0001% · dist_ema21: -3.063% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4071 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.872% · rs_1d: -1.95% · rs_3d: -2.52% · beta_24h: 3.368 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1753 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -1.003 · trend: -18.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5677 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6199 | ATR%: 4.140% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.64 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.81 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +1.23% | -0.11 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.54 | range_medium | +0.15% | +0.02 | 29/09 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.73 | range_low | +0.54% | +0.37 | 29/09 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166976 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
mid 12b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.604 |
— near -0.6ATR |
1.31 | value | -0.72 ATR | — | #92639 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:25
|
|
4h
168840 |
↑ up | bull_high |
60%
|
early 15b -0.8ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.621 |
near 0.3ATR — |
0.46 | value | -1.86 ATR | — | #93448 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:18
|
|
1h
anchor
170154 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
40%
|
mid 4b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.712 |
near 0.2ATR — |
0.46 | above_value | +0.34 ATR | — | #94064 |
29/09 02:00
upd 29/09 03:11
|
|
15m
170501 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
64%
|
late 9b 3.0ATR | choppy 50% | 0.352 |
— — |
2.13 | above_value | +0.34 ATR | — | #94064 |
29/09 03:45
upd 29/09 04:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.136×ATR | p48 | +1.202×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 3.255×ATR | p39 | -0.784×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.244×ATR | p50 | +0.617×ATR | p29 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 5.387×ATR | p93 | +2.967×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9976
- reason: up_bo width=2.23×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 302.55942073
- tp_price: 337.10644818
- atr:
- score: 0.92764755480188
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T20:09:15.727731
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.92764755480188
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2244
- obi_top10 : 0.136
- micro_price : 312.28027642
- spread_pct : 0.022418
- mid_price : 312.285
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2208
- obi_top5_std : 0.0039
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6928
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
309.81
- balance_zone_bottom:
296.5
- balance_zone_mid:
303.155
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790586000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790668800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2348
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9276
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790665200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
309.81
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9167
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4399
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.95579274 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.9167
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4399
Signaux confirmants (26)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:09 | 312.43000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:21 | 312.43000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 04:31 | 312.43000000 | 0% |
| 4 | 04:41 | 312.50000000 | +0.022% |
| 5 | 04:51 | 312.50000000 | +0.022% |
| 6 | 05:00 | 312.50000000 | +0.022% |
| 7 | 05:11 | 313.99000000 | +0.499% |
| 8 | 05:20 | 313.99000000 | +0.499% |
| 9 | 05:29 | 313.99000000 | +0.499% |
| 10 | 05:40 | 315.18000000 | +0.88% |
| 11 | 05:49 | 315.18000000 | +0.88% |
| 12 | 05:58 | 315.18000000 | +0.88% |
| 13 | 06:11 | 313.70000000 | +0.406% |
| 14 | 06:22 | 313.70000000 | +0.406% |
| 15 | 06:32 | 313.70000000 | +0.406% |
| 16 | 06:42 | 311.85000000 | -0.186% |
| 17 | 06:52 | 311.85000000 | -0.186% |
| 18 | 07:03 | 311.85000000 | -0.186% |
| 19 | 07:13 | 314.19000000 | +0.563% |
| 20 | 07:23 | 314.19000000 | +0.563% |
| 21 | 07:33 | 314.19000000 | +0.563% |
| 22 | 07:43 | 316.22000000 | +1.213% |
| 23 | 07:52 | 316.22000000 | +1.213% |
| 24 | 08:02 | 316.22000000 | +1.213% |
| 25 | 08:15 | 315.55000000 | +0.999% |
| 26 | 08:27 | 315.55000000 | +0.999% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6928ms
Confidence avant OB :
93%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.224
avg 0.221
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.136
Microstructure
Mid Price
312.2850
Micro Price
312.2803
Spread
0.0224%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312.43 | 302.5594 | 337.1064 | 2.5 | 314.56 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 312.43
- Stop Loss: 302.5594
- Take Profit: 337.1064
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 302.5594 - 312.43 = -9.8706
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 312.43 - 337.1064 = -24.6764
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -24.6764 / -9.8706 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 253.2212 | 100 | 0.8105 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.8706
Taille de position = 8 / -9.8706 = -0.81
Taille de position USD = -0.81 x 312.43 = -253.07
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.81 avec un stoploss a 302.5594
Avec un position size USD de -253.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.81 x -9.8706 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.81 x -24.6764 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -0.81
- Taille de position USD -253.07
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.9 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.16 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 0.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312.43 | 302.5594 | 337.1064 | 2.5 | 314.56 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 312.43
- Stop Loss: 302.5594
- Take Profit: 337.1064
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 302.5594 - 312.43 = -9.8706
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 312.43 - 337.1064 = -24.6764
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -24.6764 / -9.8706 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
Commentaires
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