Short Trade on AR (BosPullback)
With 73.66 AR at 4.243$ per unit. Take profit: 3.9715 (6.4 %) & Stop Loss: 4.3516 (2.56 %)
Short Trade on AR (BosPullback)
With 73.66 AR at 4.243$ per unit. Take profit: 3.9715 (6.4 %) & Stop Loss: 4.3516 (2.56 %)
Position
Entry 4.243$
Qty 73.6576 AR
Size 312.529$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 3.9715 (+6.4%)
TP $ 20$
SL 4.3516 (-2.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1839
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.17×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.79×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 59.4% |
| 1h | 79.7% |
| 4h | 97.1% |
| 24h | 62.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 91.3% | +2.75% |
| 24h | 50.7% | +1.42% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6503 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.31% · r3d: -7.36% · ema21_slope: 4.4203% · dist_ema21: 12.933% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4594 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -7.15% · rs_3d: -6.64% · beta_24h: 2.346 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6363 | rvol_20: 1.54× · zscore_50: 1.258 · trend: 89.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9211 | ADX: 50.5 (trend) · Chop: 24.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.057% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4341 | r1h: 0.325% · r4h: 1.733% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: -7.35% · ema21_slope: -0.1996% · dist_ema21: -0.367% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4578 | rs_1h: 0.360% · rs_4h: 0.644% · rs_1d: -0.86% · rs_3d: -7.18% · beta_24h: 2.297 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1688 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.468 · trend: -68.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5583 | ADX: 31.1 (trend) · Chop: 63.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4463 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.083% · r1d: -4.83% · r3d: -8.07% · ema21_slope: -0.2214% · dist_ema21: -6.724% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3130 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.574% · rs_1d: -4.52% · rs_3d: -7.03% · beta_24h: 3.347 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2091 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.574 · trend: -26.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6613 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 40.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2593 | ATR%: 5.222% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.820% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.255% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
computed 19 minutes ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.96% | +1.00 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.32 | bull_high | +1.23% | -0.69 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.14 | range_medium | +0.15% | -0.27 | 29/09 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.50 | range_low | +0.54% | +0.18 | 29/09 03:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166980 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
early 13b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.595 |
— — |
1.54 | value | -2.67 ATR | — | #92640 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:26
|
|
4h
168843 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
51%
|
mid 8b -1.4ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.511 |
near -2.1ATR — |
0.60 | below_value | -4.10 ATR | — | #93449 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:18
|
|
1h
anchor
170155 |
↓ down | bear_high |
56%
|
early 4b -0.4ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.416 |
— — |
0.41 | below_value | -3.75 ATR | — | #94065 |
29/09 02:00
upd 29/09 03:11
|
|
15m
170502 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
59%
|
mid 9b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.406 |
— near -0.8ATR |
0.44 | below_value | -3.75 ATR | — | #94065 |
29/09 03:45
upd 29/09 04:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 3.951×ATR | p29 | +0.785×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 4.375×ATR | p63 | -1.355×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.65×ATR | p12 | -0.387×ATR | p25 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.202×ATR | p59 | +1.186×ATR | p53 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
4.0979
143
0.2644
0.6387
0.2974
0.2484
0.3375
1
0.4457
0.347
0.3163
0
0.7052
0.1393
-0.0689
-0.1108
0
-0.3128
-2.2561
0.5
0.5
-1
6
1
0.5033
0.7948
2.65
0.5
1.3904
2.6277
-2.2561
0.4702
0.2409
0
-0.3245
0.4452
0.435
0.8853
0.1393
-12.9976
2.1027
1
1
0
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 10:00:00
[price] => 4.8712
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 12:00:00
[price] => 4.6352
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 13:00:00
[price] => 4.8056
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 17:00:00
[price] => 4.5364
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 23:00:00
[price] => 4.6944
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 06:00:00
[price] => 4.4679
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 15:00:00
[price] => 5
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 20:00:00
[price] => 4.6235
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 00:00:00
[price] => 4.8006
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 04:00:00
[price] => 4.6092
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 07:00:00
[price] => 4.9038
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 11:00:00
[price] => 4.727
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 14:00:00
[price] => 5.0051
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 16:00:00
[price] => 4.8522
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 18:00:00
[price] => 5.1399
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
[price] => 4.2081
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
[price] => 4.401
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 19:00:00
[price] => 4.1674
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 23:00:00
[price] => 4.3454
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
[price] => 4.0979
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 07:15:00
[price] => 4.3607
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 07:45:00
[price] => 4.231
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 08:15:00
[price] => 4.3028
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
[price] => 4.2081
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 12:00:00
[price] => 4.401
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 14:45:00
[price] => 4.2167
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
[price] => 4.2947
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 16:15:00
[price] => 4.3296
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
[price] => 4.2303
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 18:00:00
[price] => 4.3185
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 19:30:00
[price] => 4.1674
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 20:30:00
[price] => 4.2549
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 22:00:00
[price] => 4.1675
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 23:15:00
[price] => 4.3454
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 01:30:00
[price] => 4.194
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 01:45:00
[price] => 4.2499
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 02:30:00
[price] => 4.0979
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 03:30:00
[price] => 4.2387
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 05:30:00
[price] => 4.1574
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
4.0979
4.3454
4.3454
4.0979
4.1302
4.0979
4.11405
0.4183
4.401
4.3857
4.39335
0.5184
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.243 | 4.3516 | 3.9715 | 2.5 | 4.3279 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.3516 - 4.243 = 0.1086
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.243 - 3.9715 = 0.2715
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2715 / 0.1086 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 312.529 | 100 | 73.6576 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1086 = 73.66
Taille de position USD = 73.66 x 4.243 = 312.54
Donc, tu peux acheter 73.66 avec un stoploss a 4.3516
Avec un position size USD de 312.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 73.66 x 0.1086 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 73.66 x 0.2715 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.4 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6514 % | 103.59 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.243 | 4.3516 | 3.9715 | 2.5 | 4.3279 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.3516 - 4.243 = 0.1086
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.243 - 3.9715 = 0.2715
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2715 / 0.1086 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.9715
[entry_price] => 4.243
[stop_loss] => 4.36246
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 09:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 3.9715
[entry_price] => 4.243
[stop_loss] => 4.37332
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 09:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.820% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.255% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
computed 19 minutes ago
Aucun commentaire.