Short Trade on NIL

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29 Sep 2026 at 05:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1386.4 NIL at 0.0819$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07983 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08765 (7.05 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 05:15 (open) · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.08188$

Qty 1386.3977 NIL

Size 113.5196$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07983 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.84$

SL 0.08765 (-7.05%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.36

Status open PnL -1.48% expires 29 Sep 11:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164446)

#84 / 85 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 05:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0170

Quality Score

0.386

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 05:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#84 / 85 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#84 / 85 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.05 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.23×ATR
4h	near	-1.46×ATR
1d	clear	2.80×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 04:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4349

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	transition	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 84.8%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : broad_risk_on

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	29.4%
1h	33.8%
4h	92.7%
24h	63.2%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	41.2%	-0.06%
4h	85.3%	+2.15%
24h	48.5%	+1.00%

Dispersion : 0.221

Universe : 68 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 05:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5750

Score SMA

0.6900

Rank

#49 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4545

Rank Norm SMA

0.7101

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7143	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume	20%	0.5018	rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9021	ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 05:00

Score brut

0.3864

Score SMA

0.4964

Rank

#84 / 85

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0170

Rank Norm SMA

0.3339

Calculé le

29/09/2026 05:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2439	r1h: -0.807% · r4h: 1.241% · r1d: -5.19% · r3d: -24.50% · ema21_slope: -0.3744% · dist_ema21: -3.720%
Force Relative	25%	0.2775	rs_1h: -0.681% · rs_4h: 0.444% · rs_1d: -6.27% · rs_3d: -24.08% · beta_24h: 1.897
Volume	20%	0.2069	rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.465 · trend: -57.48%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7209	ADX: 41.5 (trend) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.9970	ATR%: 3.009% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3120

Score SMA

0.5594

Rank

#86 / 86

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0000

Rank Norm SMA

0.4701

Calculé le

29/09/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3231	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.053% · r1d: -4.76% · r3d: -24.75% · ema21_slope: -0.9672% · dist_ema21: -12.806%
Force Relative	25%	0.3826	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.036% · rs_1d: -5.98% · rs_3d: -24.58% · beta_24h: 7.049
Volume	20%	0.1478	rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.783 · trend: -64.48%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5992	ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 52.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.818% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 0

ML Pullback Score:

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early	—	—	0.31	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 48%	late	near -1.5ATR	—	0.12	bull_high	+2.28%	-1.00	29/09 00:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.10	range_medium	-0.01%	-0.58	29/09 04:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.35	range_low	+0.37%	-0.07	29/09 04:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167062	↑ up	bull_high	64%	early 4b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.824	— —	0.96	below_value	-9.44 ATR	—	#92660	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:29
4h 170710	↔ neutral	bull_high	50%	late 22b -1.7ATR	noisy_chop 48%	0.621	near -1.5ATR —	0.36	below_value	-12.52 ATR	—	#94259	29/09 00:00 upd 29/09 04:20
1h anchor 171104	↓ down	bear_high	51%	mid 12b -1.5ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.509	— —	0.74	below_value	-13.75 ATR	—	#94520	29/09 04:00 upd 29/09 05:11
15m 171021	↓ down	bear_high	57%	early 10b -0.8ATR	noisy_chop 35%	0.668	— —	0.98	below_value	-12.52 ATR	—	#94259	29/09 04:45 upd 29/09 05:03
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.947×ATR	p42	+0.673×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	late	22b	—	7.067×ATR	p85	-1.748×ATR	p75
1h	↓ down	mid	12b	—	2.979×ATR	p62	-1.467×ATR	p57
15m	↓ down	early	10b	—	1.423×ATR	p8	-0.782×ATR	p40

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.08765135
tp_price: 0.07983397
atr: 0.00230814
expires_at: 2026-09-29T15:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 87
total: 87
score: 0.2496
delta_2h: -0.0037
extension_atr: -1.26
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.017
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	05:15	0.08188100	+0.001%
2	07:15	0.08147700	-0.492%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08188	0.08765	0.07983	0.36	0.08309

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08188
Stop Loss: 0.08765
Take Profit: 0.07983

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08765 - 0.08188 = 0.00577
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08188 - 0.07983 = 0.00205
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00205 / 0.00577 = 0.3553

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
113.5196	100	1386.3977	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00577

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00577 = 1386.48

Taille de position USD = 1386.48 x 0.08188 = 113.52

Donc, tu peux acheter 1386.48 avec un stoploss a 0.08765

Avec un position size USD de 113.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1386.48 x 0.00577 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1386.48 x 0.00205 = 2.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.84$

Résumé

Taille de position 1386.48
Taille de position USD 113.52
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.84
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3553

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.84 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.05 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
0 $	-1.48

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08188	0.08765	0.07983	0.36	0.08309

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08188
Stop Loss: 0.08765
Take Profit: 0.07983

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08765 - 0.08188 = 0.00577
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08188 - 0.07983 = 0.00205
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00205 / 0.00577 = 0.3553

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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Commentaires

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