Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1048.3 ADA at 0.254$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2726 (7.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2459 (3.04 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 05:38:24
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 05:38
(open)
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2536$
Qty 1048.2977 ADA
Size 265.8064$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2726 (+7.49%)
TP $ 19.92$
SL 0.2459 (-3.04%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 2.47
Status
open
PnL
-0.63%
expires
29 Sep 17:38
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164411)
#30 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 05:00
score du 29/09/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4730
Quality Score
0.560
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
17.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 05:30
29/09 05:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#30 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.41×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.39×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 04:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4351
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
79.8%
Impulse :
+0.01
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 53.0% |
| 1h | 25.8% |
| 4h | 84.9% |
| 24h | 75.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.0% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 78.8% | +1.52% |
| 24h | 60.6% | +1.85% |
Dispersion :
0.233
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 05:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5812
Score SMA
0.5986
Rank
#44
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5114
Rank Norm SMA
0.4278
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6850 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.12% · r3d: -4.54% · ema21_slope: 1.2057% · dist_ema21: 6.589% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5374 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.96% · rs_3d: -3.82% · beta_24h: 1.522 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6139 | rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 1.372 · trend: 32.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7906 | ADX: 34.9 (trend) · Chop: 37.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.290% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.5597
Score SMA
0.5484
Rank
#30
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4730
Rank Norm SMA
0.5135
Calculé le
29/09/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6289 | r1h: 0.353% · r4h: 4.117% · r1d: 3.31% · r3d: -0.81% · ema21_slope: -0.0252% · dist_ema21: 2.431% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6138 | rs_1h: 0.480% · rs_4h: 3.320% · rs_1d: 2.23% · rs_3d: -0.38% · beta_24h: 3.122 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2041 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.210 · trend: -36.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5119 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 52.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.690% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5762
Score SMA
0.6075
Rank
#32
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5993
Rank Norm SMA
0.6224
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6669 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.883% · r1d: 3.95% · r3d: -1.61% · ema21_slope: -0.0882% · dist_ema21: 1.055% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6070 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.795% · rs_1d: 2.73% · rs_3d: -1.45% · beta_24h: 2.274 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2623 | rvol_20: 0.63× · zscore_50: -0.585 · trend: 10.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4941 | ADX: 19.1 (weak) · Chop: 58.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9784 | ATR%: 3.065% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.52 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +2.28% | -0.25 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.62 | range_medium | -0.01% | -0.00 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.83 | range_low | +0.32% | +0.29 | 29/09 05:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166915 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
early 12b 0.9ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.616 |
— — |
1.83 | above_value | -1.11 ATR | — | #92624 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:22
|
|
4h
170604 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
early 19b 0.3ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.559 |
— near -0.6ATR |
0.63 | above_value | -0.01 ATR | — | #94224 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:16
|
|
1h
anchor
171069 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
56%
|
mid 6b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.753 |
— near 0.4ATR |
0.47 | above_value | +0.20 ATR | — | #94485 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 05:10
|
|
15m
171243 |
↑ up | bull_high |
65%
|
late 4b 1.7ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.689 |
— near 0.0ATR |
0.54 | above_value | +0.20 ATR | — | #94485 |
29/09 05:15
upd 29/09 05:31
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 3.667×ATR | p48 | +0.909×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 19b | — | 1.756×ATR | p0 | +0.349×ATR | p17 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 3.275×ATR | p73 | +1.425×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.085×ATR | p3 | +1.703×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8247
- reason: up_bo width=2.83×ATR dur=26b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.24592858
- tp_price: 0.27263854
- atr:
- score: 0.82469291548709
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T21:38:16.733480
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82469291548709
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0731
- obi_top10 : -0.0227
- micro_price : 0.25388749
- spread_pct : 0.039401
- mid_price : 0.25385
- bid_wall_price : 0.253
- bid_wall_size : 5679733.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.256
- ask_wall_size : 5675624
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0738
- obi_top5_std : 0.0007
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6981
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.25219
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.240495
- balance_zone_mid:
0.2463425
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790582400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790672400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8255
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
26
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8247
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790668800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.25219
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8846
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.331
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00413916 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
26
inside_close_ratio
0.8846
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.331
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:38 | 0.25356000 | -0.016% |
| 2 | 05:47 | 0.25356000 | -0.016% |
| 3 | 05:56 | 0.25356000 | -0.016% |
| 4 | 06:09 | 0.25290000 | -0.276% |
| 5 | 06:20 | 0.25290000 | -0.276% |
| 6 | 06:30 | 0.25290000 | -0.276% |
| 7 | 08:13 | 0.25345000 | -0.059% |
| 8 | 08:25 | 0.25345000 | -0.059% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6981ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.073
avg -0.074
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
-0.023
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2539
Micro Price
0.2539
Spread
0.0394%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2530
Size
5,679,733.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2560
Size
5,675,624.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2536 | 0.2459 | 0.2726 | 2.47 | 0.252 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2536
- Stop Loss: 0.2459
- Take Profit: 0.2726
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2459 - 0.2536 = -0.0077
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2536 - 0.2726 = -0.019
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.019 / -0.0077 = 2.4675
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 265.8064 | 100 | 1048.2977 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0077
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0077 = -1038.96
Taille de position USD = -1038.96 x 0.2536 = -263.48
Donc, tu peux acheter -1038.96 avec un stoploss a 0.2459
Avec un position size USD de -263.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1038.96 x -0.0077 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1038.96 x -0.019 = 19.74
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.74$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1038.96
- Taille de position USD -263.48
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.74
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4675
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.49 % | 19.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.04 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | -0.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2536 | 0.2459 | 0.2726 | 2.47 | 0.252 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2536
- Stop Loss: 0.2459
- Take Profit: 0.2726
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2459 - 0.2536 = -0.0077
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2536 - 0.2726 = -0.019
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.019 / -0.0077 = 2.4675
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
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Commentaires
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