Long Trade on FIL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 262.65 FIL at 1.078$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1543 (7.06 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0477 (2.83 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 06:09:59
hyperliquid
FIL
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 06:09
(open)
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 1.0782$
Qty 262.648 FIL
Size 283.187$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.1543 (+7.06%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.0477 (-2.83%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
open
PnL
+0.17%
expires
29 Sep 18:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164500)
#20 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5491
Quality Score
0.559
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 06:00
29/09 06:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#20 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#20 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.21×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.36×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 29/09 04:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4353
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
84.9%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 53.0% |
| 1h | 75.8% |
| 4h | 89.4% |
| 24h | 77.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 77.3% | +2.17% |
| 24h | 63.6% | +2.44% |
Dispersion :
0.273
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 06:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5626
Score SMA
0.6397
Rank
#54
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3977
Rank Norm SMA
0.5659
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7433 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.78% · r3d: 1.10% · ema21_slope: 1.6667% · dist_ema21: 11.405% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6422 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.62% · rs_3d: 1.83% · beta_24h: 1.525 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3237 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.110 · trend: 20.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7624 | ADX: 31.5 (trend) · Chop: 34.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.039% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5591
Score SMA
0.5782
Rank
#20
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5491
Rank Norm SMA
0.5802
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5818 | r1h: 0.760% · r4h: 2.715% · r1d: 2.75% · r3d: -0.19% · ema21_slope: -0.0794% · dist_ema21: 1.824% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5554 | rs_1h: 0.303% · rs_4h: 1.737% · rs_1d: 0.84% · rs_3d: -0.47% · beta_24h: 2.698 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3734 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.072 · trend: 21.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5757 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.924% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5558
Score SMA
0.5969
Rank
#36
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4953
Rank Norm SMA
0.5396
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6595 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.725% · r1d: -0.53% · r3d: -1.68% · ema21_slope: 0.0173% · dist_ema21: -0.984% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5524 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.636% · rs_1d: -1.75% · rs_3d: -1.51% · beta_24h: 2.591 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3098 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.071 · trend: -29.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6420 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 52.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6160 | ATR%: 4.152% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.61 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.93 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +2.28% | +0.09 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.38 | range_medium | -0.01% | -0.05 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.71 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.78% | +0.29 | 29/09 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166931 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
mid 5b 1.0ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.610 |
— — |
0.64 | value | +1.20 ATR | — | #92628 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:23
|
|
4h
170616 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
mid 15b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.561 |
— — |
1.04 | value | +1.29 ATR | — | #94228 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:17
|
|
1h
anchor
171073 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
38%
|
mid 6b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.726 |
— near -1.8ATR |
2.83 | value | +1.57 ATR | — | #94489 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 05:10
|
|
15m
171410 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
late 4b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.689 |
— — |
2.31 | value | +1.57 ATR | — | #94489 |
29/09 05:45
upd 29/09 06:02
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.693×ATR | p0 | +0.989×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 15b | — | 3.869×ATR | p51 | -0.266×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.651×ATR | p55 | +0.631×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 1.645×ATR | p5 | +2.025×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7941
- reason: up_bo width=2.06×ATR dur=26b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.04774098
- tp_price: 1.15434756
- atr:
- score: 0.7941396295977
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:09:52.164060
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7941396295977
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0384
- obi_top10 : 0.0594
- micro_price : 1.0785
- spread_pct : 0.018546
- mid_price : 1.0785
- bid_wall_price : 1.07
- bid_wall_size : 703160.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.08
- ask_wall_size : 746731.22
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0387
- obi_top5_std : 0.0003
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6883
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.0699
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.0295
- balance_zone_mid:
1.0497
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790586000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790676000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0623
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
26
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7941
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790672400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.0699
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8462
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4237
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.01959024 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
26
inside_close_ratio
0.8462
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4237
Signaux confirmants (14)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:09 | 1.07820000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:21 | 1.07820000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:31 | 1.07820000 | 0% |
| 4 | 06:41 | 1.07140000 | -0.631% |
| 5 | 06:51 | 1.07140000 | -0.631% |
| 6 | 07:01 | 1.07140000 | -0.631% |
| 7 | 07:12 | 1.07840000 | +0.019% |
| 8 | 07:22 | 1.07840000 | +0.019% |
| 9 | 07:32 | 1.07840000 | +0.019% |
| 10 | 07:42 | 1.08900000 | +1.002% |
| 11 | 07:51 | 1.08900000 | +1.002% |
| 12 | 08:00 | 1.08900000 | +1.002% |
| 13 | 08:14 | 1.08400000 | +0.538% |
| 14 | 08:25 | 1.08400000 | +0.538% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6883ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.038
avg 0.039
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.059
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.0785
Micro Price
1.0785
Spread
0.0185%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.0700
Size
703,160.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.0800
Size
746,731.22
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0782 | 1.0477 | 1.1543 | 2.5 | 1.08 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0782
- Stop Loss: 1.0477
- Take Profit: 1.1543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0477 - 1.0782 = -0.0305
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0782 - 1.1543 = -0.0761
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0761 / -0.0305 = 2.4951
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 283.187 | 100 | 262.648 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0305
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0305 = -262.3
Taille de position USD = -262.3 x 1.0782 = -282.81
Donc, tu peux acheter -262.3 avec un stoploss a 1.0477
Avec un position size USD de -282.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -262.3 x -0.0305 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -262.3 x -0.0761 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position -262.3
- Taille de position USD -282.81
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4951
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.06 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.83 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0782 | 1.0477 | 1.1543 | 2.5 | 1.08 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0782
- Stop Loss: 1.0477
- Take Profit: 1.1543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0477 - 1.0782 = -0.0305
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0782 - 1.1543 = -0.0761
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0761 / -0.0305 = 2.4951
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.