Long Trade on MON (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 6795.61 MON at 0.029$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03196 (10.17 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02784 (4.03 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 06:15:08
hyperliquid
MON
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 06:15
(open)
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.02901$
Qty 6795.6134 MON
Size 197.1679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03196 (+10.17%)
TP $ 20.05$
SL 0.02784 (-4.03%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2.52
Status
open
PnL
+0.72%
expires
29 Sep 18:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164541)
#14 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6812
Quality Score
0.601
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
20.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 06:02
29/09 06:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#14 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#14 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.01×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.85×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 05:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4353
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
84.9%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 53.0% |
| 1h | 75.8% |
| 4h | 89.4% |
| 24h | 77.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 77.3% | +2.17% |
| 24h | 63.6% | +2.44% |
Dispersion :
0.273
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 06:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7107
Score SMA
0.5035
Rank
#15
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8409
Rank Norm SMA
0.2275
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7987 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.27% · r3d: 7.99% · ema21_slope: 0.5720% · dist_ema21: 11.461% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6983 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.43% · rs_3d: 8.71% · beta_24h: 1.174 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9924 | rvol_20: 3.58× · zscore_50: 3.053 · trend: 94.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6536 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 42.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.407% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.6008
Score SMA
0.5727
Rank
#14
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6812
Rank Norm SMA
0.5517
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7851 | r1h: 2.585% · r4h: 5.774% · r1d: 7.45% · r3d: 9.93% · ema21_slope: -0.0635% · dist_ema21: 3.089% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8381 | rs_1h: 2.128% · rs_4h: 4.795% · rs_1d: 5.53% · rs_3d: 9.65% · beta_24h: 3.663 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1778 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -37.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4441 | ADX: 14.8 (weak) · Chop: 60.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9819 | ATR%: 3.054% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.6563
Score SMA
0.5808
Rank
#18
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7736
Rank Norm SMA
0.4384
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8286 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.826% · r1d: 2.10% · r3d: 7.73% · ema21_slope: 0.4666% · dist_ema21: 4.311% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7761 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 4.737% · rs_1d: 0.87% · rs_3d: 7.90% · beta_24h: 3.992 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4463 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: 0.348 · trend: 65.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6308 | ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 43.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2986 | ATR%: 5.104% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.59 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.43 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.51 | bull_high | +2.28% | +0.68 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.52 | range_medium | +0.44% | -0.06 | 29/09 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 52% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.78% | +0.45 | 29/09 05:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167106 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
mid 13b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.707 |
— near -0.8ATR |
3.58 | above_value | +2.48 ATR | — | #92672 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
|
|
4h
170743 |
↑ up | bull_high |
55%
|
early 3b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.675 |
— near 0.3ATR |
0.93 | above_value | +2.71 ATR | — | #94270 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:22
|
|
1h
anchor
171528 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
57%
|
early 6b 1.1ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.668 |
— near 0.0ATR |
0.37 | above_value | +0.62 ATR | — | #94703 |
29/09 05:00
upd 29/09 06:13
|
|
15m
171442 |
↑ up | bull_high |
69%
|
late 5b 2.5ATR | noisy_chop 52% | 0.702 |
— — |
1.76 | above_value | +0.19 ATR | — | #94531 |
29/09 05:45
upd 29/09 06:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 3.211×ATR | p35 | +1.202×ATR | p73 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.583×ATR | p0 | +0.712×ATR | p43 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.583×ATR | p44 | +1.06×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.007×ATR | p47 | +2.507×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7949
- reason: up_bo width=2.29×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.02783677
- tp_price: 0.03195707
- atr:
- score: 0.79491411090683
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:15:01.119915
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79491411090683
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0267
- obi_top10 : -0.12
- micro_price : 0.02893181
- spread_pct : 0.069132
- mid_price : 0.02894
- bid_wall_price : 0.0288
- bid_wall_size : 2231390.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0291
- ask_wall_size : 2466909.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0262
- obi_top5_std : 0.08
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6833
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.02888
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.026961
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0279205
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790546400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790676000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2919
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7949
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790672400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.02888
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7297
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.16
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00083729 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.7297
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.16
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:15 | 0.02901400 | +0.014% |
| 2 | 06:26 | 0.02901400 | +0.014% |
| 3 | 06:36 | 0.02901400 | +0.014% |
| 4 | 06:46 | 0.02897700 | -0.114% |
| 5 | 06:55 | 0.02897700 | -0.114% |
| 6 | 07:07 | 0.02897700 | -0.114% |
| 7 | 07:37 | 0.02898500 | -0.086% |
| 8 | 07:46 | 0.02898500 | -0.086% |
| 9 | 07:55 | 0.02898500 | -0.086% |
| 10 | 08:07 | 0.02898500 | -0.086% |
| 11 | 08:20 | 0.02928500 | +0.948% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6833ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.027
avg 0.026
± 0.080
OBI Top 10
-0.120
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0289
Micro Price
0.0289
Spread
0.0691%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0288
Size
2,231,390.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0291
Size
2,466,909.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02901 | 0.02784 | 0.03196 | 2.52 | 0.02922 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02901
- Stop Loss: 0.02784
- Take Profit: 0.03196
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02784 - 0.02901 = -0.00117
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02901 - 0.03196 = -0.00295
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00295 / -0.00117 = 2.5214
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 197.1679 | 100 | 6795.6134 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00117
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00117 = -6837.61
Taille de position USD = -6837.61 x 0.02901 = -198.36
Donc, tu peux acheter -6837.61 avec un stoploss a 0.02784
Avec un position size USD de -198.36$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6837.61 x -0.00117 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6837.61 x -0.00295 = 20.17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.17$
Résumé
- Taille de position -6837.61
- Taille de position USD -198.36
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.17
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5214
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.17 % | 20.05 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.03 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 0.72 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02901 | 0.02784 | 0.03196 | 2.52 | 0.02922 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02901
- Stop Loss: 0.02784
- Take Profit: 0.03196
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02784 - 0.02901 = -0.00117
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02901 - 0.03196 = -0.00295
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00295 / -0.00117 = 2.5214
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.