Long Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 3912.9 DOGE at 0.0955$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1006 (5.32 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09347 (2.15 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 06:18:03
hyperliquid
DOGE
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 06:18
(open)
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.09552$
Qty 3912.8989 DOGE
Size 373.7484$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1006 (+5.32%)
TP $ 19.88$
SL 0.09347 (-2.15%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.48
Status
open
PnL
+0.19%
expires
29 Sep 18:17
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164476)
#53 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
score du 29/09/2026 06:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5155
Quality Score
0.503
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
23.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 06:15
29/09 06:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#53 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#53 / 85
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.24×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.70×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 29/09 05:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4354
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
84.9%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.1% |
| 1h | 56.1% |
| 4h | 83.3% |
| 24h | 77.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.1% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 81.8% | +1.24% |
| 24h | 53.0% | +1.63% |
Dispersion :
0.167
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 06:16
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5001
Score SMA
0.5658
Rank
#73
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1818
Rank Norm SMA
0.3116
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6407 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.07% · r3d: -5.16% · ema21_slope: 0.8481% · dist_ema21: 3.210% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4393 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.91% · rs_3d: -4.43% · beta_24h: 1.689 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4096 | rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: 0.165 · trend: 15.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7743 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.137% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5034
Score SMA
0.5308
Rank
#53
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5155
Rank Norm SMA
0.4467
Calculé le
29/09/2026 06:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5757 | r1h: 0.538% · r4h: 1.838% · r1d: 3.47% · r3d: -1.69% · ema21_slope: -0.0011% · dist_ema21: 1.501% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5242 | rs_1h: 0.081% · rs_4h: 0.860% · rs_1d: 1.55% · rs_3d: -1.97% · beta_24h: 2.005 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1849 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.670 · trend: -33.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5284 | ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.219% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.5179
Score SMA
0.5720
Rank
#54
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3951
Rank Norm SMA
0.4926
Calculé le
29/09/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5631 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.060% · r1d: 2.69% · r3d: -3.04% · ema21_slope: -0.1422% · dist_ema21: -0.197% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5009 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.971% · rs_1d: 1.46% · rs_3d: -2.87% · beta_24h: 2.005 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2327 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.572 · trend: -29.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5147 | ADX: 18.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 0
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.80 | bull_high | +12.96% | -0.20 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.71 | bull_high | +2.28% | -0.38 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.67 | range_medium | +0.44% | +0.10 | 29/09 05:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.87 | range_low | +0.71% | +0.13 | 29/09 06:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166828 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
54%
|
early 12b 0.5ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.568 |
— — |
1.20 | value | -2.96 ATR | — | #92603 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:18
|
|
4h
170557 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
54%
|
early 20b -0.1ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.623 |
— — |
0.77 | value | -2.14 ATR | — | #94204 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:14
|
|
1h
anchor
171462 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
36%
|
mid 7b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.612 |
— near 0.2ATR |
0.55 | value | -1.70 ATR | — | #94637 |
29/09 05:00
upd 29/09 06:10
|
|
15m
171549 |
↑ up | bull_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
late 6b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.727 |
— near -0.6ATR |
3.55 | value | -1.70 ATR | — | #94637 |
29/09 06:00
upd 29/09 06:15
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 12b | — | 2.719×ATR | p11 | +0.46×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 2.082×ATR | p7 | -0.084×ATR | p5 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.197×ATR | p72 | +1.312×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 2.407×ATR | p47 | +2.009×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9068
- reason: up_bo width=2.85×ATR dur=26b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.09347248
- tp_price: 0.1006283
- atr:
- score: 0.90681055499884
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:17:55.259191
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.90681055499884
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1047
- obi_top10 : -0.0102
- micro_price : 0.09538268
- spread_pct : 0.010484
- mid_price : 0.095385
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1051
- obi_top5_std : 0.0008
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6943
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.095139
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.0920245
- balance_zone_mid:
0.09358175
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790586000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790676000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8503
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
26
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9068
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790672400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.095139
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9231
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3459
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
6
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00109269 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
26
inside_close_ratio
0.9231
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3459
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:18 | 0.09551700 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 06:28 | 0.09551700 | -0.003% |
| 3 | 08:10 | 0.09575500 | +0.246% |
| 4 | 08:22 | 0.09575500 | +0.246% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6943ms
Confidence avant OB :
91%
→
91%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.105
avg -0.105
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
-0.010
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0954
Micro Price
0.0954
Spread
0.0105%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09552 | 0.09347 | 0.1006 | 2.48 | 0.0957 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09552
- Stop Loss: 0.09347
- Take Profit: 0.1006
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09347 - 0.09552 = -0.00205
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09552 - 0.1006 = -0.00508
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00508 / -0.00205 = 2.478
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 373.7484 | 100 | 3912.8989 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00205
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00205 = -3902.44
Taille de position USD = -3902.44 x 0.09552 = -372.76
Donc, tu peux acheter -3902.44 avec un stoploss a 0.09347
Avec un position size USD de -372.76$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00205 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3902.44 x -0.00508 = 19.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.82$
Résumé
- Taille de position -3902.44
- Taille de position USD -372.76
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.82
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.478
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.32 % | 19.88 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.15 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 0.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09552 | 0.09347 | 0.1006 | 2.48 | 0.0957 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09552
- Stop Loss: 0.09347
- Take Profit: 0.1006
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09347 - 0.09552 = -0.00205
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09552 - 0.1006 = -0.00508
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00508 / -0.00205 = 2.478
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
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Extra SL data
Array
(
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Commentaires
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