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Long Trade on HBAR

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29 Sep 2026 at 08:15:15 hyperliquid

Long Trade on HBAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 983.1 HBAR at 0.118$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1215 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1104 (6.84 %)

HBAR LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 08:15 → 12:35 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.1185$

Qty 983.1041 HBAR

Size 116.547$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1215 (+2.53%)

TP $ 2.95$

SL 0.1104 (-6.84%)

SL $ 7.96$

RR 0.37

Status loss PnL -6.84% / -7.97$ MAE -12.85% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 29 Sep 14:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164686)
#17 / 86 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8058

Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
33.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 08:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#17 / 86 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#17 / 86 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.59×ATR
4h clear 1.69×ATR
1d near -0.24×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

29/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

29/09 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4361
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 83.8%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 47.0%
1h 84.9%
4h 84.9%
24h 81.8%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 47.0% -0.01%
4h 75.8% +0.84%
24h 59.1% +2.02%
Dispersion : 0.164
Universe : 66 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 08:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8823
Score SMA
0.6731
Rank
#1 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6631
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 1.0000 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 27.22% · r3d: 27.40% · ema21_slope: 1.7181% · dist_ema21: 37.029%
Force Relative 25% 1.0000 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 28.38% · rs_3d: 28.13% · beta_24h: 0.897
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 11.21× · zscore_50: 6.827 · trend: 404.61%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8823 ADX: 45.9 (trend) · Chop: 4.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.133% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6067
Score SMA
0.6062
Rank
#17 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8058
Rank Norm SMA
0.6128
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7898 r1h: 1.202% · r4h: 1.436% · r1d: 1.04% · r3d: 26.00% · ema21_slope: 0.1068% · dist_ema21: 0.695%
Force Relative 25% 0.6738 rs_1h: 0.814% · rs_4h: 0.988% · rs_1d: -0.46% · rs_3d: 25.80% · beta_24h: 3.157
Volume 20% 0.1607 rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: -72.67%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5065 ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 73.9 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.919% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6938
Score SMA
0.6735
Rank
#10 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8824
Rank Norm SMA
0.7186
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8182 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.436% · r1d: 1.04% · r3d: 26.00% · ema21_slope: 1.1678% · dist_ema21: 11.096%
Force Relative 25% 0.7648 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.988% · rs_1d: -0.46% · rs_3d: 25.80% · beta_24h: 2.082
Volume 20% 0.3675 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.156 · trend: 83.46%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8846 ADX: 46.1 (trend) · Chop: 11.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5802 ATR%: 4.259% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.835% (0.0081)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.279% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.928% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -6.101% 0.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -12.852% 1.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -12.852% 1.9R 0.0× 96

computed 53 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
69%
choppy 51% late — near -0.2ATR 0.68 bull_high +12.96% +1.00 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 42% late — — 0.47 bull_high +2.28% +0.97 29/09 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.38 range_medium +0.16% -0.19 29/09 06:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 32% early near -2.5ATR near 0.4ATR 0.35 bull_low +0.72% -0.06 29/09 07:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166992 		↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 12b 3.9ATR choppy 51% 0.327

—

near -0.2ATR

11.21 above_value +5.79 ATR — #92643 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:26
4h
170661 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
62%
late 3b 1.9ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.729

—

—

0.78 above_value -1.14 ATR — #94243 29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:18
1h anchor
171920 		↑ up bull_high
60%
late 16b -0.2ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.613

—

—

0.09 above_value -0.29 ATR — #94848 29/09 06:00
upd 29/09 07:11
15m
172169 		↓ down range_high
38%
early 14b -0.2ATR noisy_chop 32% 0.489

near -2.5ATR

near 0.4ATR

0.01 above_value -0.29 ATR — #94848 29/09 07:30
upd 29/09 07:47
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 12b — 6.694×ATR p82 +3.867×ATR p100
4h ↓ down late 3b — 2.695×ATR p41 +1.901×ATR p81
1h ↓ down late 16b — 3.887×ATR p90 -0.181×ATR p8
15m ↑ up early 14b — 1.328×ATR p4 -0.198×ATR p11

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.11041251
  2. tp_price: 0.12151375
  3. atr: 0.003255
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T18:15:15+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 9
  2. total: 86
  3. score: 0.7774
  4. delta_2h: 0.0656
  5. extension_atr: 0.14
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8161
  9. confidence: 0.956

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1185 0.1104 0.1215 0.37 0.103
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1185
  • Stop Loss: 0.1104
  • Take Profit: 0.1215

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1104 - 0.1185 = -0.0081

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1185 - 0.1215 = -0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0081 = 0.3704

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
116.547 100 983.1041 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0081

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0081 = -987.65

Taille de position USD = -987.65 x 0.1185 = -117.04

Donc, tu peux acheter -987.65 avec un stoploss a 0.1104

Avec un position size USD de -117.04$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -987.65 x -0.0081 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -987.65 x -0.003 = 2.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -987.65
  • Taille de position USD -117.04
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3704

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.53 % 2.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.84 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.97 $ -6.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.2405 % 105.93 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1185 0.1104 0.1215 0.37 0.103
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1185
  • Stop Loss: 0.1104
  • Take Profit: 0.1215

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1104 - 0.1185 = -0.0081

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1185 - 0.1215 = -0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.003 / -0.0081 = 0.3704

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1215
            [entry_price] => 0.1185
            [stop_loss] => 0.10959
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 16:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1215
            [entry_price] => 0.1185
            [stop_loss] => 0.10878
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 16:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1215
            [entry_price] => 0.1185
            [stop_loss] => 0.10797
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 16:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1215
            [entry_price] => 0.1185
            [stop_loss] => 0.10635
            [rr_ratio] => 0.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 16:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.835% (0.0081)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -4.279% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -4.928% 0.7R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -6.101% 0.9R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -12.852% 1.9R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -12.852% 1.9R 0.0× 96

computed 53 minutes ago

Commentaires

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