Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.11 ZEC at 1446.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1410.5325 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1517.2095 (4.87 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.11 ZEC at 1446.7$ per unit. Take profit: 1410.5325 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1517.2095 (4.87 %)
Position
Entry 1446.7$
Qty 0.1135 ZEC
Size 164.1423$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1410.5325 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.1$
SL 1517.2095 (-4.87%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.51
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2316
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.00×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.40×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/09 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 06:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 47.0% |
| 1h | 84.9% |
| 4h | 84.9% |
| 24h | 81.8% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 47.0% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 75.8% | +0.84% |
| 24h | 59.1% | +2.02% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6887 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.60% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: 2.3279% · dist_ema21: 7.286% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5521 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -3.95% · beta_24h: 1.343 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4283 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.732 · trend: 20.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9796 | ADX: 59.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3830 | r1h: 2.127% · r4h: 1.790% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -6.02% · ema21_slope: -0.4197% · dist_ema21: 0.165% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4346 | rs_1h: 1.739% · rs_4h: 1.342% · rs_1d: -9.12% · rs_3d: -6.22% · beta_24h: 3.248 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4796 | rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: 1.065 · trend: -1.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7962 | ADX: 40.2 (trend) · Chop: 43.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.999% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5119 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.790% · r1d: -7.62% · r3d: -6.02% · ema21_slope: -0.3102% · dist_ema21: -4.663% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3401 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.342% · rs_1d: -9.12% · rs_3d: -6.22% · beta_24h: 3.592 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3418 | rvol_20: 0.94× · zscore_50: -0.291 · trend: 17.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6762 | ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 30.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6697 | ATR%: 3.991% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.760% | 0.2R | -0.318% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.030% | 0.2R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.087% | 1.0R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.087% | 1.0R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.087% | 1.0R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
computed 42 minutes ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.93 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.28% | -0.70 | 29/09 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.32 | range_medium | +0.16% | -0.72 | 29/09 06:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.80% | +0.23 | 29/09 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167103 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
late 61b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.610 |
— — |
1.04 | below_value | -2.64 ATR | — | #92671 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
|
|
4h
170740 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
32%
|
late 14b -1.9ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.643 |
— — |
1.40 | below_value | -4.44 ATR | — | #94269 |
29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:22
|
|
1h
anchor
171946 |
↓ down | bear_high |
57%
|
early 6b -1.0ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.418 |
— — |
0.22 | below_value | -4.79 ATR | inside | #94874 |
29/09 06:00
upd 29/09 07:12
|
|
15m
172274 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
41%
|
late 12b 3.0ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.463 |
— — |
6.52 | below_value | -4.79 ATR | — | #94874 |
29/09 07:45
upd 29/09 08:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 61b | — | 7.686×ATR | p93 | +0.652×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 4.662×ATR | p85 | -1.867×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.249×ATR | p36 | -0.953×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 3.979×ATR | p68 | +3.005×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:15 | 1446.70000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:15 | 1448.00000000 | +0.09% |
| 3 | 10:15 | 1441.60000000 | -0.353% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1446.7 | 1517.2095 | 1410.5325 | 0.51 | 1413.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1517.2095 - 1446.7 = 70.5095
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1446.7 - 1410.5325 = 36.1675
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 36.1675 / 70.5095 = 0.5129
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164.1423 | 100 | 0.1135 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 70.5095 = 0.11
Taille de position USD = 0.11 x 1446.7 = 159.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.11 avec un stoploss a 1517.2095
Avec un position size USD de 159.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.11 x 70.5095 = 7.76
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.76$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.11 x 36.1675 = 3.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.98$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.87 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.1 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8295 % | 17.02 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1446.7 | 1517.2095 | 1410.5325 | 0.51 | 1413.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1517.2095 - 1446.7 = 70.5095
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1446.7 - 1410.5325 = 36.1675
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 36.1675 / 70.5095 = 0.5129
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.760% | 0.2R | -0.318% | 0.1R | 2.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.030% | 0.2R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +5.087% | 1.0R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +5.087% | 1.0R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +5.087% | 1.0R | -0.830% | 0.2R | 6.1× | 96 |
computed 42 minutes ago
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