Long Trade on SKY (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1883.4 SKY at 0.0843$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09497 (12.59 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0801 (5.04 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 08:40:34
hyperliquid
SKY
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 08:40
→ 20:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.08435$
Qty 1883.3988 SKY
Size 158.8609$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09497 (+12.59%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.0801 (-5.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.15%
/ -5.01$
MAE -4.94%
MFE +3.69%
0.7R
expires
29 Sep 20:40
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164707)
#37 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 08:00
score du 29/09/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6413
Quality Score
0.558
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 08:32
29/09 08:32
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 86
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.39×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.61×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4363
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | expansion | 0.90 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
82.8%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.6% |
| 1h | 34.9% |
| 4h | 86.4% |
| 24h | 62.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.0% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 71.2% | +1.21% |
| 24h | 45.5% | +0.69% |
Dispersion :
0.189
Universe :
66
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 08:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6797
Score SMA
0.6133
Rank
#26
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7159
Rank Norm SMA
0.5713
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7265 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.48% · r3d: 2.74% · ema21_slope: 1.0833% · dist_ema21: 11.330% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6177 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: 3.46% · beta_24h: 1.108 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.71× · zscore_50: 5.648 · trend: 288.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7157 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.420% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5575
Score SMA
0.5977
Rank
#37
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6413
Rank Norm SMA
0.6564
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6329 | r1h: -0.827% · r4h: 2.335% · r1d: 3.47% · r3d: 6.23% · ema21_slope: 0.1078% · dist_ema21: 4.064% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5635 | rs_1h: -1.215% · rs_4h: 1.887% · rs_1d: 1.97% · rs_3d: 6.03% · beta_24h: 2.404 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2033 | rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.511 · trend: -44.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5738 | ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.172% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.6608
Score SMA
0.6491
Rank
#19
/ 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8353
Rank Norm SMA
0.7251
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8479 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.335% · r1d: 3.47% · r3d: 6.23% · ema21_slope: 0.3143% · dist_ema21: 6.126% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7391 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.887% · rs_1d: 1.97% · rs_3d: 6.03% · beta_24h: 1.427 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2746 | rvol_20: 0.46× · zscore_50: -0.121 · trend: 12.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7040 | ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 40.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6112 | ATR%: 4.166% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.039%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.954% | 0.4R | -1.030% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.140% | 0.4R | -1.030% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.688% | 0.5R | -1.030% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.688% | 0.7R | -3.259% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.688% | 0.7R | -4.944% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 143 |
computed 11 minutes ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.41
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.74 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.69% | +0.57 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.36 | range_medium | +0.54% | +0.53 | 29/09 07:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.40 | range_low | +0.61% | +0.48 | 29/09 08:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167083 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
mid 12b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.659 |
— — |
5.71 | above_value | +0.67 ATR | — | #92665 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:30
|
|
4h
172463 |
↑ up | bull_high |
56%
|
mid 3b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.714 |
— near 0.5ATR |
0.46 | value | +3.01 ATR | — | #95041 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:21
|
|
1h
anchor
172461 |
↑ up | bull_high |
61%
|
mid 15b 2.0ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.524 |
— near 0.4ATR |
0.69 | value | +3.01 ATR | — | #95041 |
29/09 07:00
upd 29/09 08:21
|
|
15m
172608 |
↑ up | bull_high |
68%
|
late 4b 2.8ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.693 |
— — |
0.62 | value | +3.01 ATR | — | #95041 |
29/09 08:15
upd 29/09 08:33
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 3.964×ATR | p53 | +1.236×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.918×ATR | p0 | +1.193×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 15b | — | 3.678×ATR | p73 | +1.999×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.754×ATR | p50 | +2.828×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8455
- reason: up_bo width=2.27×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.08010036
- tp_price: 0.0949671
- atr:
- score: 0.84545330223923
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T00:40:27.034278
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.84545330223923
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0152
- obi_top10 : 0.0084
- micro_price : 0.08403758
- spread_pct : 0.095261
- mid_price : 0.08402
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.0852
- ask_wall_size : 370942
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0417
- obi_top5_std : 0.0864
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7006
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.082309
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.07825
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0802795
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790539200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790683200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2658
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8455
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790672400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.082309
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6098
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1382
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00179139 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.6098
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1382
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:40 | 0.08434800 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 08:50 | 0.08434800 | -0.002% |
| 3 | 08:59 | 0.08434800 | -0.002% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7006ms
Confidence avant OB :
85%
→
85%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.015
avg 0.042
± 0.086
OBI Top 10
0.008
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0840
Micro Price
0.0840
Spread
0.0953%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0852
Size
370,942.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08435 | 0.0801 | 0.09497 | 2.5 | 0.08233 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08435
- Stop Loss: 0.0801
- Take Profit: 0.09497
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0801 - 0.08435 = -0.00425
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08435 - 0.09497 = -0.01062
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01062 / -0.00425 = 2.4988
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158.8609 | 100 | 1883.3988 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00425
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00425 = -1882.35
Taille de position USD = -1882.35 x 0.08435 = -158.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -1882.35 avec un stoploss a 0.0801
Avec un position size USD de -158.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1882.35 x -0.00425 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1882.35 x -0.01062 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1882.35
- Taille de position USD -158.78
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4988
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.59 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.01 $ | -3.15 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.9437 % | 98.12 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08435 | 0.0801 | 0.09497 | 2.5 | 0.08233 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.08435
- Stop Loss: 0.0801
- Take Profit: 0.09497
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0801 - 0.08435 = -0.00425
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08435 - 0.09497 = -0.01062
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.01062 / -0.00425 = 2.4988
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.039%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.954% | 0.4R | -1.030% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.140% | 0.4R | -1.030% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.688% | 0.5R | -1.030% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.688% | 0.7R | -3.259% | 0.7R | 1.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.688% | 0.7R | -4.944% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 143 |
computed 11 minutes ago
Commentaires
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