29 Sep 2026 at 08:18:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 891.66 FARTCOIN at 0.178$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2005 (12.58 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1691 (5.05 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 08:18 → 20:15 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1781$

Qty 891.657 FARTCOIN

Size 158.813$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2005 (+12.58%)

TP $ 19.97$

SL 0.1691 (-5.05%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 2.49

Status win PnL +0.80% / +1.28$ expires 29 Sep 20:18 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164698)
#23 / 86 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3479

Quality Score
0.569
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
15.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 08:17

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#23 / 86 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#23 / 86 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.11×ATR
4h clear 3.00×ATR
1d near 0.35×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2)

29/09 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1)

29/09 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4362
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range transition 0.25 0
Micro bull expansion 0.90
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 82.8%
Impulse : -0.01
Participation : broad_risk_on
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 34.9%
1h 34.9%
4h 86.4%
24h 62.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.5% -0.08%
4h 71.2% +1.21%
24h 45.5% +0.69%
Dispersion : 0.189
Universe : 66 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 08:16 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3774
Score SMA
0.5216
Rank
#86 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0341
Rank Norm SMA
0.2037
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5048 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.02% · r3d: -14.84% · ema21_slope: 1.2651% · dist_ema21: -3.744%
Force Relative 25% 0.1031 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.86% · rs_3d: -14.11% · beta_24h: 2.391
Volume 20% 0.4581 rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 0.269 · trend: 6.84%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7237 ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.244% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5693
Score SMA
0.5170
Rank
#23 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3479
Rank Norm SMA
0.3584
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6006 r1h: 2.373% · r4h: 5.706% · r1d: 5.37% · r3d: -7.43% · ema21_slope: -0.0762% · dist_ema21: 4.915%
Force Relative 25% 0.6770 rs_1h: 1.984% · rs_4h: 5.258% · rs_1d: 3.87% · rs_3d: -7.63% · beta_24h: 3.183
Volume 20% 0.3709 rvol_20: 1.12× · zscore_50: -0.024 · trend: 4.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7402 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.141% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4535
Score SMA
0.5276
Rank
#69 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1588
Rank Norm SMA
0.3442
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5471 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.706% · r1d: 5.37% · r3d: -7.43% · ema21_slope: -0.5216% · dist_ema21: -0.444%
Force Relative 25% 0.5394 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.258% · rs_1d: 3.87% · rs_3d: -7.63% · beta_24h: 4.383
Volume 20% 0.3384 rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: -0.242 · trend: -13.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7176 ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 42.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3853 ATR%: 4.844% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.3ATR 0.65 bull_high +12.96% -0.46 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bear_high
48%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -0.2ATR — 0.59 bull_high +2.28% -0.90 29/09 00:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — near -0.1ATR 0.50 range_medium +0.16% +0.35 29/09 06:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion bull_high
60%
ranging_calm 50% late — near -0.8ATR 0.77 bull_low_confirmed +0.80% +0.54 29/09 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167042
↔ neutral bull_high
53%
early 5b -0.3ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.672

—

near 0.3ATR

1.53 below_value -6.85 ATR — #92655 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:28
4h
170695
↔ neutral bear_high
48%
mid 20b -1.3ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.543

near -0.2ATR

—

0.39 below_value -7.32 ATR — #94254 29/09 00:00
upd 29/09 04:20
1h anchor
171931
↔ neutral bear_high
62%
late 8b 1.6ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.612

—

near -0.1ATR

2.28 below_value -5.94 ATR — #94859 29/09 06:00
upd 29/09 07:11
15m
172264
↔ neutral bull_high
60%
late 25b 3.8ATR ranging_calm 50% 0.320

—

near -0.8ATR

0.84 below_value -5.94 ATR — #94859 29/09 07:45
upd 29/09 08:03
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 2.719×ATR p0 -0.331×ATR p22
4h ↓ down mid 20b — 3.714×ATR p62 -1.26×ATR p66
1h ↑ up late 8b — 4.037×ATR p92 +1.552×ATR p75
15m ↑ up late 25b — 9.565×ATR p100 +3.835×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8818
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.63×ATR dur=28b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 0.16913794
  5. tp_price: 0.20054014
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.81183258809432
  8. expires_at: 2026-09-30T00:18:00.830432
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.81183258809432
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.2011
  14. obi_top10 : 0.2192
  15. micro_price : 0.18072207
  16. spread_pct : 0.027673
  17. mid_price : 0.180705
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1945
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0142
  27. pressure_side : bid
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7119
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.174365
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.16465
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.1695075
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790586000
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790683200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.6288
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    28
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: forming
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8118
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790676000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.174365
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6786
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    2
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.0134
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    4
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    6
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00369555
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
28
inside_close_ratio
0.6786
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0134

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:18 0.17811000 +0.006%
2 08:28 0.17811000 +0.006%
3 10:10 0.17925000 +0.646%
4 10:21 0.17925000 +0.646%
5 10:30 0.17925000 +0.646%
6 10:40 0.18002000 +1.078%
7 10:49 0.18002000 +1.078%
8 10:58 0.18002000 +1.078%
9 11:09 0.17756000 -0.303%
10 11:19 0.17756000 -0.303%
11 11:29 0.17756000 -0.303%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7119ms Confidence avant OB : 81% → 88%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.201
avg 0.195 ± 0.014
OBI Top 10 0.219

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1807
Micro Price
0.1807
Spread
0.0277%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1781 0.1691 0.2005 2.49 0.1786
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1781
  • Stop Loss: 0.1691
  • Take Profit: 0.2005

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1691 - 0.1781 = -0.009

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1781 - 0.2005 = -0.0224

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0224 / -0.009 = 2.4889

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
158.813 100 891.657 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.009

Taille de position = 8 / -0.009 = -888.89

Taille de position USD = -888.89 x 0.1781 = -158.31

Donc, tu peux acheter -888.89 avec un stoploss a 0.1691

Avec un position size USD de -158.31$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -888.89 x -0.009 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -888.89 x -0.0224 = 19.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -888.89
  • Taille de position USD -158.31
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4889

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
12.58 % 19.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.05 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
1.28 $ 0.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.5491 % 50.44 % 16
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1781 0.1691 0.2005 2.49 0.1786
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1781
  • Stop Loss: 0.1691
  • Take Profit: 0.2005

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1691 - 0.1781 = -0.009

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1781 - 0.2005 = -0.0224

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0224 / -0.009 = 2.4889

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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Commentaires

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