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Long Trade on kBONK

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29 Sep 2026 at 10:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 36295.99 kBONK at 0.00377$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00386 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.003546 (5.84 %)

kBONK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 10:15 → 16:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.003766$

Qty 36295.9938 kBONK

Size 136.6907$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.00386 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.41$

SL 0.003546 (-5.84%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.43

Status loss PnL -1.81% / -2.47$ MAE -5.15% MFE +2.31% 0.4R expires 29 Sep 16:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164928)
#1 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7928

Quality Score
0.818
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 10:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#1 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.67×ATR
4h clear 0.76×ATR
1d clear 0.97×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 09:00

Score : +3 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4369
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 62.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 73.9%
1h 23.1%
4h 53.9%
24h 60.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 61.5% +0.12%
4h 58.5% +0.14%
24h 55.4% +1.01%
Dispersion : 0.188
Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5666
Score SMA
0.6108
Rank
#53 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4091
Rank Norm SMA
0.4603
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6437 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.52% · r3d: -6.67% · ema21_slope: 1.4888% · dist_ema21: 6.653%
Force Relative 25% 0.4719 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.36% · rs_3d: -5.94% · beta_24h: 2.055
Volume 20% 0.7027 rvol_20: 2.11× · zscore_50: 1.423 · trend: 62.18%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7666 ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 28.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.601% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.8183
Score SMA
0.5508
Rank
#1 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7928
Rank Norm SMA
0.4963
Calculé le
29/09/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7612 r1h: 3.819% · r4h: 6.307% · r1d: 10.03% · r3d: 4.04% · ema21_slope: 0.2145% · dist_ema21: 7.550%
Force Relative 25% 0.8979 rs_1h: 3.958% · rs_4h: 6.335% · rs_1d: 9.35% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: 2.875
Volume 20% 0.8685 rvol_20: 4.97× · zscore_50: 1.447 · trend: 78.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7172 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 21.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.217% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5775
Score SMA
0.5981
Rank
#35 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6588
Rank Norm SMA
0.5855
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6988 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.516% · r1d: 6.41% · r3d: -0.08% · ema21_slope: -0.1439% · dist_ema21: 2.660%
Force Relative 25% 0.6441 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.068% · rs_1d: 4.91% · rs_3d: -0.28% · beta_24h: 3.394
Volume 20% 0.2509 rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.463 · trend: -12.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5555 ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 54.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7331 ATR%: 3.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.842% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.310% 0.4R -0.531% 0.1R 4.4× 12
2h +2.310% 0.4R -3.452% 0.6R 0.7× 24
4h +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 72
8h +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 96
12h +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 144

computed 10 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.88
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression range_high
45%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.67 bull_high +12.96% +0.65 27/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 33% early near 0.3ATR — 0.57 bull_high +2.69% +0.04 29/09 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.50 range_medium +0.37% +0.71 29/09 09:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
69%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.63 range_low +0.54% +0.54 29/09 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166939 		↑ up range_high
45%
early 5b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.662

—

—

2.11 above_value -2.54 ATR — #92630 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:24
4h
172361 		↑ up bull_high
56%
early 2b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 33% 0.547

near 0.3ATR

—

0.70 above_value -0.44 ATR — #95007 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:16
1h anchor
173220 		↔ neutral bull_high_confirmed
63%
late 12b 3.1ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.474

—

—

4.97 above_value +1.69 ATR — #95431 29/09 09:00
upd 29/09 10:11
15m
173147 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
69%
late 2b 2.6ATR noisy_chop 46% 0.689

—

—

0.65 above_value +0.03 ATR — #95262 29/09 09:45
upd 29/09 10:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 2.369×ATR p0 +0.685×ATR p31
4h ↑ up early 2b — 2.357×ATR p7 +0.682×ATR p41
1h ↑ up late 12b — 5.914×ATR p100 +3.132×ATR p99
15m ↓ down late 2b — 1.485×ATR p0 +2.569×ATR p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00354559
  2. tp_price: 0.00386015
  3. atr: 8.816E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T20:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 10
  2. total: 87
  3. score: 0.752
  4. delta_2h: 0.1083
  5. extension_atr: 1.78
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7973
  9. confidence: 0.945

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003766 0.003546 0.00386 0.43 0.003886
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003766
  • Stop Loss: 0.003546
  • Take Profit: 0.00386

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003546 - 0.003766 = -0.00022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003766 - 0.00386 = -9.4E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.4E-5 / -0.00022 = 0.4273

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
136.6907 100 36295.9938 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00022

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00022 = -36363.64

Taille de position USD = -36363.64 x 0.003766 = -136.95

Donc, tu peux acheter -36363.64 avec un stoploss a 0.003546

Avec un position size USD de -136.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -36363.64 x -0.00022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -36363.64 x -9.4E-5 = 3.42

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.42$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -36363.64
  • Taille de position USD -136.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.42
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4273

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.41 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.84 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-2.47 $ -1.81
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-5.1514 % 88.18 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.003766 0.003546 0.00386 0.43 0.003886
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.003766
  • Stop Loss: 0.003546
  • Take Profit: 0.00386

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.003546 - 0.003766 = -0.00022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.003766 - 0.00386 = -9.4E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -9.4E-5 / -0.00022 = 0.4273

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.842% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.310% 0.4R -0.531% 0.1R 4.4× 12
2h +2.310% 0.4R -3.452% 0.6R 0.7× 24
4h +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 48
6h ★ +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 72
8h +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 96
12h +2.310% 0.4R -5.151% 0.9R 0.5× 144

computed 10 minutes ago

Commentaires

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