Short Trade on NIL

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29 Sep 2026 at 10:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1428.33 NIL at 0.0823$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08027 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08793 (6.8 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 10:15 → 10:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.08233$

Qty 1428.3317 NIL

Size 117.5917$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08027 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.94$

SL 0.08793 (-6.8%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.94$ MAE -1.08% MFE +6.36% 0.9R expires 29 Sep 16:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164957)

#77 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1582

Quality Score

0.420

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

3.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 10:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#77 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.80 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#77 / 84 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.80 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.67×ATR
4h	near	-1.31×ATR
1d	clear	2.80×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 09:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4369

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 62.1%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : alts

% Positive (universe)

15m	73.9%
1h	23.1%
4h	53.9%
24h	60.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	61.5%	+0.12%
4h	58.5%	+0.14%
24h	55.4%	+1.01%

Dispersion : 0.188

Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5750

Score SMA

0.6900

Rank

#49 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4545

Rank Norm SMA

0.7101

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7143	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume	20%	0.5018	rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9021	ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.4204

Score SMA

0.4876

Rank

#77 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1582

Rank Norm SMA

0.3129

Calculé le

29/09/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2676	r1h: -0.498% · r4h: 0.570% · r1d: -3.44% · r3d: -24.09% · ema21_slope: -0.3702% · dist_ema21: -1.687%
Force Relative	25%	0.3210	rs_1h: -0.359% · rs_4h: 0.598% · rs_1d: -4.12% · rs_3d: -24.41% · beta_24h: 2.663
Volume	20%	0.2557	rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.461 · trend: 14.80%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6762	ADX: 38.1 (trend) · Chop: 55.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.880% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.4027

Score SMA

0.5482

Rank

#83 / 86

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0176

Rank Norm SMA

0.4475

Calculé le

29/09/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4432	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.888% · r1d: -2.48% · r3d: -22.36% · ema21_slope: -1.0370% · dist_ema21: -10.250%
Force Relative	25%	0.4097	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.440% · rs_1d: -3.98% · rs_3d: -22.56% · beta_24h: 5.693
Volume	20%	0.3829	rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: -0.187 · trend: -39.82%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6052	ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.327% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.802% (0.0056)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+5.633%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+6.357%	0.9R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+6.357%	0.9R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+6.357%	0.9R	-1.081%	0.2R	5.9×	72
8h	+6.357%	0.9R	-1.081%	0.2R	5.9×	96
12h	+6.357%	0.9R	-1.081%	0.2R	5.9×	144

computed 8 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.37

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early	—	—	0.31	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 47%	late	near -1.3ATR	—	0.11	bull_high	+2.69%	-1.00	29/09 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.10	range_medium	+0.37%	-0.57	29/09 09:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	expansion	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.37	range_low	+0.54%	+0.06	29/09 09:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167062	↑ up	bull_high	64%	early 4b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.824	— —	0.96	below_value	-9.44 ATR	—	#92660	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:29
4h 172448	↔ neutral	bull_high	50%	late 23b -1.4ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.617	near -1.3ATR —	1.64	below_value	-12.19 ATR	—	#95036	29/09 04:00 upd 29/09 08:21
1h anchor 173249	↓ down	bear_high	52%	early 9b -0.6ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.506	— —	0.48	below_value	-13.17 ATR	—	#95460	29/09 09:00 upd 29/09 10:12
15m 173169	↓ down	bear_high	61%	early 3b 0.0ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.365	— —	0.08	below_value	-12.86 ATR	—	#95290	29/09 09:45 upd 29/09 10:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.947×ATR	p42	+0.673×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	late	23b	—	7.103×ATR	p85	-1.417×ATR	p67
1h	↑ up	early	9b	—	1.236×ATR	p7	-0.625×ATR	p26
15m	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.561×ATR	p7	-0.003×ATR	p1

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.08792894
tp_price: 0.0802698
atr: 0.00224038
expires_at: 2026-09-29T20:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 87
total: 87
score: 0.282
delta_2h: -0.088
extension_atr: -0.77
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1688
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08233	0.08793	0.08027	0.37	0.09433

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08233
Stop Loss: 0.08793
Take Profit: 0.08027

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08793 - 0.08233 = 0.0056
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08233 - 0.08027 = 0.00206
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00206 / 0.0056 = 0.3679

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
117.5917	100	1428.3317	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0056

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0056 = 1428.57

Taille de position USD = 1428.57 x 0.08233 = 117.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 1428.57 avec un stoploss a 0.08793

Avec un position size USD de 117.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1428.57 x 0.0056 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1428.57 x 0.00206 = 2.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.94$

Résumé

Taille de position 1428.57
Taille de position USD 117.61
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.94
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3679

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.94 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.8 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
2.94 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08233	0.08793	0.08027	0.37	0.09433

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08233
Stop Loss: 0.08793
Take Profit: 0.08027

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08793 - 0.08233 = 0.0056
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08233 - 0.08027 = 0.00206
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00206 / 0.0056 = 0.3679

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.802% (0.0056)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+5.633%	0.8R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+6.357%	0.9R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+6.357%	0.9R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+6.357%	0.9R	-1.081%	0.2R	5.9×	72
8h	+6.357%	0.9R	-1.081%	0.2R	5.9×	96
12h	+6.357%	0.9R	-1.081%	0.2R	5.9×	144

computed 8 minutes ago

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