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Short Trade on DASH

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29 Sep 2026 at 10:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DASH (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2.93 DASH at 61.358$ per unit. Take profit: 59.8241 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 64.0865 (4.45 %)

DASH SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 10:15 → 11:25 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 61.358$

Qty 2.932 DASH

Size 179.9014$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 59.8241 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.5$

SL 64.0865 (-4.45%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.56

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.5$ MAE -1.11% MFE +2.61% 0.6R expires 29 Sep 16:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 164974)
#80 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2741

Quality Score
0.407
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 10:03

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#80 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.45 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#80 / 84 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.45 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.58×ATR
4h clear 1.01×ATR
1d clear 2.32×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 09:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4369
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 62.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : alts
% Positive (universe)
15m 73.9%
1h 23.1%
4h 53.9%
24h 60.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 61.5% +0.12%
4h 58.5% +0.14%
24h 55.4% +1.01%
Dispersion : 0.188
Universe : 65 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5796
Score SMA
0.6198
Rank
#45 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4454
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7668 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.46% · r3d: 2.45% · ema21_slope: 1.1848% · dist_ema21: 9.086%
Force Relative 25% 0.6995 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.30% · rs_3d: 3.18% · beta_24h: 1.453
Volume 20% 0.2810 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.330 · trend: 26.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7896 ADX: 43.7 (trend) · Chop: 47.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.975% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.4073
Score SMA
0.5677
Rank
#80 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2741
Rank Norm SMA
0.5327
Calculé le
29/09/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3407 r1h: 0.431% · r4h: 0.395% · r1d: -5.97% · r3d: -12.55% · ema21_slope: -0.3336% · dist_ema21: -0.677%
Force Relative 25% 0.3421 rs_1h: 0.570% · rs_4h: 0.424% · rs_1d: -6.65% · rs_3d: -12.88% · beta_24h: 3.107
Volume 20% 0.2777 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.175 · trend: -34.32%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7599 ADX: 31.6 (trend) · Chop: 38.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4750
Score SMA
0.5681
Rank
#73 / 86
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1118
Rank Norm SMA
0.4257
Calculé le
29/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5819 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.963% · r1d: -3.66% · r3d: -7.63% · ema21_slope: -0.1776% · dist_ema21: -3.759%
Force Relative 25% 0.4435 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.515% · rs_1d: -5.16% · rs_3d: -7.83% · beta_24h: 3.532
Volume 20% 0.1729 rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.438 · trend: -48.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7032 ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.4952 ATR%: 4.515% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.447% (2.7285)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.451% 0.3R -1.115% 0.3R 1.3× 12
2h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 24
4h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 72
8h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 96
12h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 144

computed 51 minutes ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 40% early — — 0.54 bull_high +12.96% -0.13 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.42 bull_high +2.69% -0.07 29/09 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.39 range_medium +0.37% -0.52 29/09 09:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive normal bear_medium
57%
noisy_chop 45% early — — 0.62 range_low +0.54% +0.10 29/09 09:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167127 		↑ up bull_high
62%
early 13b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.723

—

—

0.51 value -5.21 ATR — #92679 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:32
4h
172502 		↔ neutral bull_high
59%
mid 15b -0.9ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.614

—

—

0.30 below_value -8.97 ATR — #95054 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:23
1h anchor
173267 		↓ down bear_high
58%
mid 9b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.285

—

—

0.93 below_value -9.17 ATR — #95478 29/09 09:00
upd 29/09 10:13
15m
173182 		↔ neutral bear_medium
57%
early 8b 1.0ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.739

—

—

1.46 below_value -8.72 ATR — #95308 29/09 09:45
upd 29/09 10:05
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 13b — 2.429×ATR p0 +0.788×ATR p49
4h ↓ down mid 15b — 4.062×ATR p65 -0.893×ATR p51
1h ↑ up mid 9b — 2.476×ATR p56 -0.357×ATR p22
15m ↓ down early 8b — 0.98×ATR p0 +1.027×ATR p51

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 64.08651624
  2. tp_price: 59.82405
  3. atr: 1.0914065
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T20:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 86
  2. total: 87
  3. score: 0.3006
  4. delta_2h: -0.1265
  5. extension_atr: -0.8
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.265
  9. confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
61.358 64.0865 59.8241 0.56 62.005
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 61.358
  • Stop Loss: 64.0865
  • Take Profit: 59.8241

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 64.0865 - 61.358 = 2.7285

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 61.358 - 59.8241 = 1.5339

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5339 / 2.7285 = 0.5622

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
179.9014 100 2.932 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 2.7285

Taille de position = 8 / 2.7285 = 2.93

Taille de position USD = 2.93 x 61.358 = 179.78

Donc, tu peux acheter 2.93 avec un stoploss a 64.0865

Avec un position size USD de 179.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2.93 x 2.7285 = 7.99

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2.93 x 1.5339 = 4.49

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.49$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2.93
  • Taille de position USD 179.78
  • Perte potentielle 7.99
  • Gain potentiel 4.49
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5622

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.5 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.45 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.5 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.1148 % 25.07 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
61.358 64.0865 59.8241 0.56 62.005
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 61.358
  • Stop Loss: 64.0865
  • Take Profit: 59.8241

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 64.0865 - 61.358 = 2.7285

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 61.358 - 59.8241 = 1.5339

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5339 / 2.7285 = 0.5622

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.447% (2.7285)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.451% 0.3R -1.115% 0.3R 1.3× 12
2h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 24
4h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 48
6h ★ +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 72
8h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 96
12h +2.613% 0.6R -1.115% 0.3R 2.3× 144

computed 51 minutes ago

Commentaires

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