Long Trade on FARTCOIN

Previous Trade Next Trade

29 Sep 2026 at 11:39:36 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1324.8 FARTCOIN at 0.175$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1902 (8.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1691 (3.43 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 11:39 → 23:30 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1751$

Qty 1324.8016 FARTCOIN

Size 232.0258$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1902 (+8.62%)

TP $ 20$

SL 0.1691 (-3.43%)

SL $ 7.95$

RR 2.52

Status win PnL +1.90% / +4.41$ MAE -0.88% MFE +5.56% 1.6R expires 29 Sep 23:39 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165036)

#26 / 84 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6183

Quality Score

0.612

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

91 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

18.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 11:31

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#26 / 84 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

91 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.43 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#26 / 84 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

91 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.43 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	3.75×ATR
4h	near	0.45×ATR
1d	near	0.35×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 29/09 10:00 Score : +4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1)

29/09 10:00

Score : +4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4375

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	+2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 44.8%

Impulse : +0.01

Participation : mixed_dispersion

Leadership : mixed

% Positive (universe)

15m	35.9%
1h	3.1%
4h	29.7%
24h	76.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	32.8%	-0.45%
4h	43.8%	-1.12%
24h	75.0%	+2.36%

Dispersion : 0.237

Universe : 64 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 11:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3774

Score SMA

0.5216

Rank

#86 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0341

Rank Norm SMA

0.2037

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5048	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.02% · r3d: -14.84% · ema21_slope: 1.2651% · dist_ema21: -3.744%
Force Relative	25%	0.1031	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.86% · rs_3d: -14.11% · beta_24h: 2.391
Volume	20%	0.4581	rvol_20: 1.53× · zscore_50: 0.269 · trend: 6.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7237	ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.244% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 11:00

Score brut

0.6121

Score SMA

0.5174

Rank

#26 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6183

Rank Norm SMA

0.3584

Calculé le

29/09/2026 11:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5205	r1h: -1.679% · r4h: 1.876% · r1d: 6.87% · r3d: -9.47% · ema21_slope: 0.1417% · dist_ema21: 2.976%
Force Relative	25%	0.4974	rs_1h: -1.126% · rs_4h: 2.188% · rs_1d: 6.00% · rs_3d: -9.15% · beta_24h: 2.868
Volume	20%	0.5916	rvol_20: 1.77× · zscore_50: 0.798 · trend: 51.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7549	ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 31.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.243% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.5128

Score SMA

0.5290

Rank

#61 / 86

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1588

Rank Norm SMA

0.3465

Calculé le

29/09/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5471	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 5.706% · r1d: 5.37% · r3d: -7.43% · ema21_slope: -0.5216% · dist_ema21: -0.444%
Force Relative	25%	0.5394	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.258% · rs_1d: 3.87% · rs_3d: -7.63% · beta_24h: 4.383
Volume	20%	0.3384	rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: -0.242 · trend: -13.50%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7176	ADX: 30.2 (trend) · Chop: 42.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.3853	ATR%: 4.844% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.427% (0.0060)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.582%	0.5R	-0.548%	0.2R	2.9×	12
2h	+1.582%	0.5R	-0.548%	0.2R	2.9×	24
4h	+4.854%	1.4R	-0.880%	0.3R	5.5×	48
8h	+5.557%	1.6R	-0.880%	0.3R	6.3×	96
12h ★	+5.557%	1.6R	-0.880%	0.3R	6.3×	144
24h	+5.557%	1.6R	-0.880%	0.3R	6.3×	288

computed 8 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.96

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	near 0.3ATR	0.65	bull_high	+12.96%	-0.46	27/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	near 0.4ATR	0.59	bull_high	+2.69%	-0.70	29/09 04:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	normal	bear_high	66%	noisy_chop 50%	mid	—	—	0.51	range_medium	-0.18%	+0.42	29/09 10:00
15m	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	0.76	bear_low_confirmed	-0.90%	+0.15	29/09 11:15
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167042	↔ neutral	bull_high	53%	early 5b -0.3ATR	noisy_chop 37%	0.672	— near 0.3ATR	1.53	below_value	-6.85 ATR	—	#92655	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:28
4h 172433	↓ down	bull_high	53%	early 2b -0.1ATR	noisy_chop 38%	0.382	— near 0.4ATR	1.16	below_value	-4.62 ATR	—	#95031	29/09 04:00 upd 29/09 08:20
1h anchor 173650	↑ up	bear_high	66%	mid 1b 1.4ATR	noisy_chop 50%	0.672	— —	1.77	value	-4.65 ATR	—	#95624	29/09 10:00 upd 29/09 11:11
15m 173813	↑ up	bull_high	64%	late 8b -1.2ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.683	— —	1.77	value	-4.65 ATR	—	#95624	29/09 11:15 upd 29/09 11:32
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.719×ATR	p0	-0.331×ATR	p22
4h	↑ up	early	2b	—	2.191×ATR	p11	-0.09×ATR	p6
1h	↓ down	mid	1b	—	1.527×ATR	p7	+1.373×ATR	p70
15m	↓ down	late	8b	—	4.206×ATR	p90	-1.161×ATR	p50

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

long_trend: 1
confidence: 0.9147
reason: up_bo width=2.39×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
stop_price: 0.16910136
tp_price: 0.1902366
atr:
score: 0.84466602369289
expires_at: 2026-09-30T03:39:28.497207
max_bars: 12
max_bars_tf: 1h
confidence_pre_ob: 0.84466602369289

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
trend_analyzer_1h
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.1326
obi_top10 : 0.1324
micro_price : 0.17552353
spread_pct : 0.045584
mid_price : 0.17554
bid_wall_price : 0.174
bid_wall_size : 2560033.82
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 0.176
ask_wall_size : 1922189.08
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.1587
obi_top5_std : 0.0283
pressure_side : bid
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7011
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
strategy_details
balance_zone_top:
```
0.174365
```
balance_zone_bottom:
```
0.16465
```
balance_zone_mid:
```
0.1695075
```
balance_zone_start_time:
```
1790586000
```
balance_zone_end_time:
```
1790694000
```
balance_zone_width_atr:
```
2.392
```
balance_zone_duration_bars:
```
31
```
balance_zone_quality: tight
balance_zone_maturity: established
balance_zone_confidence:
```
0.8447
```
balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
balance_zone_breakout_time:
```
1790676000
```
balance_zone_breakout_price:
```
0.174365
```
strategy_details
balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
```
0.6129
```
balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
```
5
```
balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
```
0.1908
```
balance_metrics_has_retested:
```
1
```
balance_metrics_retest_count:
```
2
```
balance_metrics_touch_upper:
```
4
```
balance_metrics_touch_lower:
```
6
```
regime : bull_high
atr_entry : 0.0040614

Signal Details

duration_bars

inside_close_ratio

0.6129

bars_since_breakout

distance_to_edge_atr

0.1908

Signaux confirmants (3)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	11:39	0.17514000	+0.023%
2	11:48	0.17514000	+0.023%
3	11:57	0.17514000	+0.023%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7011ms Confidence avant OB : 84% → 91%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.133

avg 0.159 ± 0.028

OBI Top 10 0.132

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.1755

Micro Price

0.1755

Spread

0.0456%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.1740

Size

2,560,033.82

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

0.1760

Size

1,922,189.08

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1751	0.1691	0.1902	2.52	0.1743

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1751
Stop Loss: 0.1691
Take Profit: 0.1902

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1691 - 0.1751 = -0.006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1751 - 0.1902 = -0.0151
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0151 / -0.006 = 2.5167

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
232.0258	100	1324.8016	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.006

Taille de position = 8 / -0.006 = -1333.33

Taille de position USD = -1333.33 x 0.1751 = -233.47

Donc, tu peux acheter -1333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1691

Avec un position size USD de -233.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1333.33 x -0.006 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1333.33 x -0.0151 = 20.13

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.13$

Résumé

Taille de position -1333.33
Taille de position USD -233.47
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 20.13
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5167

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
8.62 %	20 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.43 %	7.95 $

PNL	PNL %
4.41 $	1.90

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8795 %	25.67 %	13

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.1751	0.1691	0.1902	2.52	0.1743

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.1751
Stop Loss: 0.1691
Take Profit: 0.1902

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.1691 - 0.1751 = -0.006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.1751 - 0.1902 = -0.0151
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0151 / -0.006 = 2.5167

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.427% (0.0060)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.582%	0.5R	-0.548%	0.2R	2.9×	12
2h	+1.582%	0.5R	-0.548%	0.2R	2.9×	24
4h	+4.854%	1.4R	-0.880%	0.3R	5.5×	48
8h	+5.557%	1.6R	-0.880%	0.3R	6.3×	96
12h ★	+5.557%	1.6R	-0.880%	0.3R	6.3×	144
24h	+5.557%	1.6R	-0.880%	0.3R	6.3×	288

computed 8 hours ago

Commentaires

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