Short Trade on NIL

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29 Sep 2026 at 12:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1323.8 NIL at 0.0783$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07634 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08434 (7.73 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 12:15 → 18:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.07829$

Qty 1323.802 NIL

Size 103.6471$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07634 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.58$

SL 0.08434 (-7.73%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.32

Status loss PnL -3.03% / -3.14$ MAE -6.30% MFE +0.03% 0.0R expires 29 Sep 18:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165124)

#83 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1793

Quality Score

0.295

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#83 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.73 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#83 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.73 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.26×ATR
4h	near	-1.31×ATR
1d	clear	2.80×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4377

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 29.2%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : alt_capitulation

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.0%
1h	0.0%
4h	18.8%
24h	65.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	48.4%	+0.01%
4h	29.7%	-2.40%
24h	67.2%	+1.29%

Dispersion : 0.215

Universe : 64 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5750

Score SMA

0.6900

Rank

#49 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4545

Rank Norm SMA

0.7101

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7143	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -11.25% · r3d: -24.58% · ema21_slope: 6.8745% · dist_ema21: 17.106%
Force Relative	25%	0.5000	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.09% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: 0.671
Volume	20%	0.5018	rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.420 · trend: 129.64%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9021	ADX: 48.2 (trend) · Chop: 4.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 17.707% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.2947

Score SMA

0.4830

Rank

#83 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1793

Rank Norm SMA

0.3022

Calculé le

29/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.0328	r1h: -2.312% · r4h: -7.482% · r1d: -7.59% · r3d: -27.56% · ema21_slope: -0.3581% · dist_ema21: -6.505%
Force Relative	25%	0.0976	rs_1h: -1.505% · rs_4h: -5.982% · rs_1d: -7.21% · rs_3d: -26.27% · beta_24h: 3.526
Volume	20%	0.4340	rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: -0.003 · trend: 70.23%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6784	ADX: 39.0 (trend) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.8807	ATR%: 3.358% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.2843

Score SMA

0.5346

Rank

#83 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0176

Rank Norm SMA

0.4239

Calculé le

29/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1788	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.482% · r1d: -7.59% · r3d: -27.56% · ema21_slope: -1.1240% · dist_ema21: -15.664%
Force Relative	25%	0.1405	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.982% · rs_1d: -7.21% · rs_3d: -26.27% · beta_24h: 5.135
Volume	20%	0.4066	rvol_20: 1.66× · zscore_50: -0.206 · trend: -24.03%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6405	ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.728% (0.0061)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.868%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.035%	0.0R	-3.129%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.035%	0.0R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.035%	0.0R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.666%	0.1R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.907%	0.1R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.1×	144

computed 23 hours ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.05

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 46%	early	—	—	0.31	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 47%	late	near -1.3ATR	—	0.11	bull_high	+2.69%	-1.00	29/09 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.11	range_medium	-0.18%	-0.76	29/09 10:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.39	range_low	-0.77%	-0.29	29/09 11:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167062	↑ up	bull_high	64%	early 4b 0.7ATR	noisy_chop 46%	0.824	— —	0.96	below_value	-9.44 ATR	—	#92660	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:29
4h 172448	↔ neutral	bull_high	50%	late 23b -1.4ATR	noisy_chop 47%	0.617	near -1.3ATR —	1.64	below_value	-12.19 ATR	—	#95036	29/09 04:00 upd 29/09 08:21
1h anchor 173655	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	52%	mid 3b -1.6ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.756	— —	5.33	below_value	-13.31 ATR	—	#95629	29/09 10:00 upd 29/09 11:11
15m 173979	↓ down	bear_high	52%	mid 5b -1.8ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.536	— —	0.06	below_value	-13.31 ATR	—	#95629	29/09 11:45 upd 29/09 12:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.947×ATR	p42	+0.673×ATR	p49
4h	↓ down	late	23b	—	7.103×ATR	p85	-1.417×ATR	p67
1h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	2.092×ATR	p35	-1.584×ATR	p62
15m	↓ down	mid	5b	—	1.884×ATR	p16	-1.824×ATR	p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.0843382
tp_price: 0.07633763
atr: 0.00241728
expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 84
total: 84
score: 0.0278
delta_2h: -0.2398
extension_atr: -1.85
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1793
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.07829	0.08434	0.07634	0.32	0.08453

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.07829
Stop Loss: 0.08434
Take Profit: 0.07634

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08434 - 0.07829 = 0.00605
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.07829 - 0.07634 = 0.00195
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00195 / 0.00605 = 0.3223

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
103.6471	100	1323.802	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00605

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00605 = 1322.31

Taille de position USD = 1322.31 x 0.07829 = 103.52

Donc, tu peux acheter 1322.31 avec un stoploss a 0.08434

Avec un position size USD de 103.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1322.31 x 0.00605 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1322.31 x 0.00195 = 2.58

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.58$

Résumé

Taille de position 1322.31
Taille de position USD 103.52
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.58
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3223

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	2.58 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.73 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.14 $	-3.03

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-6.2971 %	81.49 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.07829	0.08434	0.07634	0.32	0.08453

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.07829
Stop Loss: 0.08434
Take Profit: 0.07634

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.08434 - 0.07829 = 0.00605
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.07829 - 0.07634 = 0.00195
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00195 / 0.00605 = 0.3223

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.728% (0.0061)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-2.868%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.035%	0.0R	-3.129%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.035%	0.0R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.035%	0.0R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.666%	0.1R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.907%	0.1R	-6.297%	0.8R	0.1×	144

computed 23 hours ago

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