29 Sep 2026 at 12:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 0.11 ZEC at 1390.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1355.835 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1463.6156 (5.25 %)

ZEC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 12:15 → 18:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1390.6$

Qty 0.1096 ZEC

Size 152.3619$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1355.835 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.81$

SL 1463.6156 (-5.25%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.48

Status loss PnL -1.69% / -2.57$ MAE -3.49% MFE +0.91% 0.2R expires 29 Sep 18:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165133)
#57 / 83 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2077

Quality Score
0.466
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
790.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#57 / 83 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.25 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#57 / 83 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.25 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.54×ATR
4h clear 4.86×ATR
1d clear 7.64×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4377
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 29.2%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : alt_capitulation
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 50.0%
1h 0.0%
4h 18.8%
24h 65.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.4% +0.01%
4h 29.7% -2.40%
24h 67.2% +1.29%
Dispersion : 0.215
Universe : 64 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5772
Score SMA
0.6284
Rank
#46 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4886
Rank Norm SMA
0.5333
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6887 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.60% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: 2.3279% · dist_ema21: 7.286%
Force Relative 25% 0.5521 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -3.95% · beta_24h: 1.343
Volume 20% 0.4283 rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.732 · trend: 20.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9796 ADX: 59.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4664
Score SMA
0.5416
Rank
#57 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2077
Rank Norm SMA
0.4847
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0979 r1h: -3.119% · r4h: -4.041% · r1d: -9.15% · r3d: -10.36% · ema21_slope: -0.2386% · dist_ema21: -3.501%
Force Relative 25% 0.1655 rs_1h: -2.312% · rs_4h: -2.542% · rs_1d: -8.77% · rs_3d: -9.07% · beta_24h: 3.141
Volume 20% 0.9610 rvol_20: 3.19× · zscore_50: 3.303 · trend: 70.73%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6747 ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.217% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4262
Score SMA
0.5569
Rank
#76 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1433
Rank Norm SMA
0.4359
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2643 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.041% · r1d: -9.15% · r3d: -10.36% · ema21_slope: -0.3735% · dist_ema21: -7.802%
Force Relative 25% 0.2244 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.542% · rs_1d: -8.77% · rs_3d: -9.07% · beta_24h: 3.300
Volume 20% 0.6079 rvol_20: 1.88× · zscore_50: 1.146 · trend: 33.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6800 ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 31.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5609 ATR%: 4.317% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.251% (73.0156)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.094% 0.0R -0.791% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.094% 0.0R -2.114% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 72
8h +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 38% late — — 0.56 bull_high +12.96% +0.93 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.53 bull_high +2.69% -0.55 29/09 04:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% mid — near 0.3ATR 0.33 range_medium -0.18% -0.45 29/09 10:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 37% late near 0.5ATR — 0.66 range_low -0.77% -0.09 29/09 11:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
167103
↑ up bull_high
58%
late 61b 0.7ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.610

—

—

1.04 below_value -2.64 ATR — #92671 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
4h
172478
↔ neutral bull_high
53%
late 15b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.774

—

—

0.94 below_value -4.58 ATR — #95046 29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:22
1h anchor
173665
↓ down bear_high
58%
mid 10b -0.4ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.295

—

near 0.3ATR

0.42 below_value -4.11 ATR — #95639 29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:12
15m
173985
↓ down bear_high_confirmed
60%
late 2b -2.0ATR noisy_chop 37% 0.420

near 0.5ATR

—

0.65 below_value -4.11 ATR — #95639 29/09 11:45
upd 29/09 12:04
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 61b — 7.686×ATR p93 +0.652×ATR p29
4h ↓ down late 15b — 4.234×ATR p83 -1.224×ATR p62
1h ↑ up mid 10b — 2.781×ATR p54 -0.355×ATR p14
15m ↑ up late 2b — 1.122×ATR p0 -1.953×ATR p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1463.61564042
  2. tp_price: 1355.835
  3. atr: 29.20625617
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 83
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.1452
  4. delta_2h: -0.2365
  5. extension_atr: -1.52
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2108
  9. confidence: 0.988

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:15 1390.60000000 0%
2 13:15 1396.00000000 +0.388%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1390.6 1463.6156 1355.835 0.48 1343
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1390.6
  • Stop Loss: 1463.6156
  • Take Profit: 1355.835

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1463.6156 - 1390.6 = 73.0156

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1390.6 - 1355.835 = 34.765

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 34.765 / 73.0156 = 0.4761

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
152.3619 100 0.1096 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 73.0156

Taille de position = 8 / 73.0156 = 0.11

Taille de position USD = 0.11 x 1390.6 = 152.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.11 avec un stoploss a 1463.6156

Avec un position size USD de 152.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.11 x 73.0156 = 8.03

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.11 x 34.765 = 3.82

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.82$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.11
  • Taille de position USD 152.97
  • Perte potentielle 8.03
  • Gain potentiel 3.82
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4761

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.81 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.57 $ -1.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.4877 % 66.42 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1390.6 1463.6156 1355.835 0.48 1343
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1390.6
  • Stop Loss: 1463.6156
  • Take Profit: 1355.835

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1463.6156 - 1390.6 = 73.0156

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1390.6 - 1355.835 = 34.765

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 34.765 / 73.0156 = 0.4761

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.251% (73.0156)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.094% 0.0R -0.791% 0.2R 0.1× 12
2h +0.094% 0.0R -2.114% 0.4R 0.0× 24
4h +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 72
8h +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 96
12h +0.906% 0.2R -3.488% 0.7R 0.3× 144

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.