Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.11 ZEC at 1390.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1355.835 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1463.6156 (5.25 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.11 ZEC at 1390.6$ per unit. Take profit: 1355.835 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1463.6156 (5.25 %)
Position
Entry 1390.6$
Qty 0.1096 ZEC
Size 152.3619$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1355.835 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.81$
SL 1463.6156 (-5.25%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.48
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2077
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.54×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.64×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 50.0% |
| 1h | 0.0% |
| 4h | 18.8% |
| 24h | 65.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.4% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 29.7% | -2.40% |
| 24h | 67.2% | +1.29% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6887 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.60% · r3d: -4.67% · ema21_slope: 2.3279% · dist_ema21: 7.286% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5521 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -3.95% · beta_24h: 1.343 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4283 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: 0.732 · trend: 20.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9796 | ADX: 59.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.053% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0979 | r1h: -3.119% · r4h: -4.041% · r1d: -9.15% · r3d: -10.36% · ema21_slope: -0.2386% · dist_ema21: -3.501% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1655 | rs_1h: -2.312% · rs_4h: -2.542% · rs_1d: -8.77% · rs_3d: -9.07% · beta_24h: 3.141 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9610 | rvol_20: 3.19× · zscore_50: 3.303 · trend: 70.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6747 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 52.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.217% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2643 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.041% · r1d: -9.15% · r3d: -10.36% · ema21_slope: -0.3735% · dist_ema21: -7.802% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2244 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.542% · rs_1d: -8.77% · rs_3d: -9.07% · beta_24h: 3.300 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6079 | rvol_20: 1.88× · zscore_50: 1.146 · trend: 33.50% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6800 | ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 31.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5609 | ATR%: 4.317% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.094% | 0.0R | -0.791% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.094% | 0.0R | -2.114% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.93 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.69% | -0.55 | 29/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.18% | -0.45 | 29/09 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.66 | range_low | -0.77% | -0.09 | 29/09 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167103 |
↑ up | bull_high |
58%
|
late 61b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.610 |
— — |
1.04 | below_value | -2.64 ATR | — | #92671 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
|
|
4h
172478 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
53%
|
late 15b -1.2ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.774 |
— — |
0.94 | below_value | -4.58 ATR | — | #95046 |
29/09 04:00
upd 29/09 08:22
|
|
1h
anchor
173665 |
↓ down | bear_high |
58%
|
mid 10b -0.4ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.295 |
— near 0.3ATR |
0.42 | below_value | -4.11 ATR | — | #95639 |
29/09 10:00
upd 29/09 11:12
|
|
15m
173985 |
↓ down | bear_high_confirmed |
60%
|
late 2b -2.0ATR | noisy_chop 37% | 0.420 |
near 0.5ATR — |
0.65 | below_value | -4.11 ATR | — | #95639 |
29/09 11:45
upd 29/09 12:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 61b | — | 7.686×ATR | p93 | +0.652×ATR | p29 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 4.234×ATR | p83 | -1.224×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 10b | — | 2.781×ATR | p54 | -0.355×ATR | p14 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.122×ATR | p0 | -1.953×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:15 | 1390.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:15 | 1396.00000000 | +0.388% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1390.6 | 1463.6156 | 1355.835 | 0.48 | 1343 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1463.6156 - 1390.6 = 73.0156
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1390.6 - 1355.835 = 34.765
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 34.765 / 73.0156 = 0.4761
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152.3619 | 100 | 0.1096 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 73.0156 = 0.11
Taille de position USD = 0.11 x 1390.6 = 152.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.11 avec un stoploss a 1463.6156
Avec un position size USD de 152.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.11 x 73.0156 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.11 x 34.765 = 3.82
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.82$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.81 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.57 $ | -1.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4877 % | 66.42 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1390.6 | 1463.6156 | 1355.835 | 0.48 | 1343 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1463.6156 - 1390.6 = 73.0156
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1390.6 - 1355.835 = 34.765
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 34.765 / 73.0156 = 0.4761
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.094% | 0.0R | -0.791% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.094% | 0.0R | -2.114% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.906% | 0.2R | -3.488% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
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