Short Trade on MET

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29 Sep 2026 at 12:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 486.72 MET at 0.317$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3093 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3337 (5.2 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 12:15 → 16:40 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.3172$

Qty 486.7184 MET

Size 154.4065$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3093 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3.85$

SL 0.3337 (-5.2%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 0.48

Status loss PnL -5.20% / -8.03$ MAE -6.40% MFE +1.32% 0.3R expires 29 Sep 18:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165135)

#77 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0628

Quality Score

0.404

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#77 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.20 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#77 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.20 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.44×ATR
4h	clear	2.19×ATR
1d	clear	2.85×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4377

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 29.2%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : alt_capitulation

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.0%
1h	0.0%
4h	18.8%
24h	65.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	48.4%	+0.01%
4h	29.7%	-2.40%
24h	67.2%	+1.29%

Dispersion : 0.215

Universe : 64 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5833

Score SMA

0.6918

Rank

#42 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5341

Rank Norm SMA

0.7339

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7115	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.42% · r3d: -8.04% · ema21_slope: 3.4291% · dist_ema21: 15.742%
Force Relative	25%	0.5607	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -12.26% · rs_3d: -7.32% · beta_24h: 1.972
Volume	20%	0.4146	rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: 0.451 · trend: 26.07%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9782	ADX: 57.4 (trend) · Chop: 23.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.951% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4043

Score SMA

0.5790

Rank

#77 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0628

Rank Norm SMA

0.5342

Calculé le

29/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2110	r1h: -2.070% · r4h: -2.682% · r1d: -2.44% · r3d: -13.89% · ema21_slope: -0.1241% · dist_ema21: -2.081%
Force Relative	25%	0.2920	rs_1h: -1.263% · rs_4h: -1.183% · rs_1d: -2.06% · rs_3d: -12.60% · beta_24h: 2.521
Volume	20%	0.6031	rvol_20: 2.46× · zscore_50: 0.628 · trend: -14.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3908	ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.5 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.181% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4264

Score SMA

0.6081

Rank

#75 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1368

Rank Norm SMA

0.5811

Calculé le

29/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4235	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.682% · r1d: -2.44% · r3d: -13.89% · ema21_slope: -0.3234% · dist_ema21: -5.737%
Force Relative	25%	0.4153	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.183% · rs_1d: -2.06% · rs_3d: -12.60% · beta_24h: 3.905
Volume	20%	0.2120	rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.532 · trend: -33.08%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6820	ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 44.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.1646	ATR%: 5.506% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.202% (0.0165)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.170%	0.2R	-0.520%	0.1R	2.3×	12
2h	+1.324%	0.3R	-0.520%	0.1R	2.6×	24
4h	+1.324%	0.3R	-2.828%	0.5R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+1.324%	0.3R	-6.397%	1.2R	0.2×	72
8h	+1.324%	0.3R	-6.397%	1.2R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.324%	0.3R	-8.619%	1.7R	0.2×	144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.22

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	63%	noisy_chop 42%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+12.96%	+1.00	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.34	bull_high	+2.69%	-0.74	29/09 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	early	near 0.4ATR	near -0.5ATR	0.44	range_medium	-0.18%	-0.14	29/09 10:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	near 0.4ATR	—	0.53	range_low	-0.67%	+0.02	29/09 11:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167109	↑ up	bull_high_confirmed	63%	early 5b 1.1ATR	noisy_chop 42%	0.834	— —	1.02	value	-3.32 ATR	—	#92673	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:31
4h 172484	↔ neutral	bull_high	51%	early 8b -0.7ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.425	— —	0.33	below_value	-3.37 ATR	—	#95048	29/09 04:00 upd 29/09 08:22
1h anchor 173667	↓ down	bear_high	59%	early 13b -0.1ATR	noisy_chop 36%	0.265	near 0.4ATR near -0.5ATR	0.21	below_value	-3.42 ATR	—	#95641	29/09 10:00 upd 29/09 11:12
15m 173910	↓ down	bear_high_confirmed	51%	mid 1b -1.6ATR	noisy_chop 41%	0.466	near 0.4ATR —	1.92	below_value	-3.42 ATR	—	#95641	29/09 11:30 upd 29/09 11:48
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	5b	—	2.233×ATR	p0	+1.135×ATR	p60
4h	↓ down	early	8b	—	3.392×ATR	p38	-0.672×ATR	p41
1h	↑ up	early	13b	—	2.278×ATR	p39	-0.113×ATR	p6
15m	↑ up	mid	1b	—	1.809×ATR	p4	-1.631×ATR	p62

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.33367661
tp_price: 0.309309
atr: 0.00657464
expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 81
total: 84
score: 0.234
delta_2h: -0.1557
extension_atr: -0.72
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0597
confidence: 0.964

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3172	0.3337	0.3093	0.48	0.3028

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3172
Stop Loss: 0.3337
Take Profit: 0.3093

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3337 - 0.3172 = 0.0165
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3172 - 0.3093 = 0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0165 = 0.4788

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
154.4065	100	486.7184	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0165

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0165 = 484.85

Taille de position USD = 484.85 x 0.3172 = 153.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 484.85 avec un stoploss a 0.3337

Avec un position size USD de 153.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 484.85 x 0.0165 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 484.85 x 0.0079 = 3.83

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.83$

Résumé

Taille de position 484.85
Taille de position USD 153.79
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.83
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4788

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	3.85 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.2 %	8.03 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.03 $	-5.20

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-6.3966 %	122.97 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3172	0.3337	0.3093	0.48	0.3028

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3172
Stop Loss: 0.3337
Take Profit: 0.3093

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3337 - 0.3172 = 0.0165
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3172 - 0.3093 = 0.0079
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0079 / 0.0165 = 0.4788

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3093
            [entry_price] => 0.3172
            [stop_loss] => 0.33535
            [rr_ratio] => 0.44
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 20:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.3093
            [entry_price] => 0.3172
            [stop_loss] => 0.337
            [rr_ratio] => 0.4
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-29 20:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.202% (0.0165)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.170%	0.2R	-0.520%	0.1R	2.3×	12
2h	+1.324%	0.3R	-0.520%	0.1R	2.6×	24
4h	+1.324%	0.3R	-2.828%	0.5R	0.5×	48
6h ★	+1.324%	0.3R	-6.397%	1.2R	0.2×	72
8h	+1.324%	0.3R	-6.397%	1.2R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.324%	0.3R	-8.619%	1.7R	0.2×	144

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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