Short Trade on VVV

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29 Sep 2026 at 12:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5.65 VVV at 26.751$ per unit. Take profit: 26.0822 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 28.1662 (5.29 %)

VVV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 12:15 → 18:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 26.751$

Qty 5.6531 VVV

Size 151.2262$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 26.0822 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.78$

SL 28.1662 (-5.29%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.47

Status loss PnL -1.92% / -2.91$ MAE -3.05% MFE +1.29% 0.2R expires 29 Sep 18:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165123)

#73 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2040

Quality Score

0.416

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

16.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#73 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.29 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#73 / 83 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.29 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.80×ATR
4h	near	-0.10×ATR
1d	clear	1.03×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 10:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 10:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4377

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull	expansion	0.90	-2
Operational	range	range	0.25	0
Tactical	range	range	0.25	0
Micro	range	range	0.25

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 29.2%

Impulse : +0.00

Participation : alt_capitulation

Leadership : btc

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.0%
1h	0.0%
4h	18.8%
24h	65.6%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	48.4%	+0.01%
4h	29.7%	-2.40%
24h	67.2%	+1.29%

Dispersion : 0.215

Universe : 64 (≥ $2.0M)

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 29/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4982

Score SMA

0.5979

Rank

#74 / 89

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1705

Rank Norm SMA

0.4430

Calculé le

28/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6072	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.16% · r3d: -8.00% · ema21_slope: 2.3830% · dist_ema21: 5.063%
Force Relative	25%	0.4564	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.00% · rs_3d: -7.28% · beta_24h: 1.057
Volume	20%	0.2775	rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: 0.038 · trend: -10.28%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9760	ADX: 60.3 (trend) · Chop: 41.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4155

Score SMA

0.4917

Rank

#73 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2040

Rank Norm SMA

0.2973

Calculé le

29/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2409	r1h: -1.534% · r4h: -4.527% · r1d: -1.02% · r3d: -10.86% · ema21_slope: 0.0086% · dist_ema21: -3.113%
Force Relative	25%	0.3189	rs_1h: -0.727% · rs_4h: -3.028% · rs_1d: -0.64% · rs_3d: -9.57% · beta_24h: 2.404
Volume	20%	0.3832	rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.125 · trend: -2.21%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6115	ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 47.8 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.236% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.3430

Score SMA

0.4457

Rank

#82 / 83

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0181

Rank Norm SMA

0.1205

Calculé le

29/09/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2115	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.527% · r1d: -1.02% · r3d: -10.86% · ema21_slope: -0.4923% · dist_ema21: -6.422%
Force Relative	25%	0.2789	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.028% · rs_1d: -0.64% · rs_3d: -9.57% · beta_24h: 3.311
Volume	20%	0.3349	rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: -0.329 · trend: -24.58%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6402	ADX: 21.2 (weak) · Chop: 42.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.3730	ATR%: 4.881% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.290% (1.4152)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.475%	0.1R	-1.880%	0.4R	0.3×	12
2h	+1.286%	0.2R	-1.880%	0.4R	0.7×	24
4h	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	72
8h	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	96
12h	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.81

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.38	bull_high	+12.96%	+0.12	27/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 40%	early	near -0.1ATR	—	0.28	bull_high	+2.69%	-0.68	29/09 04:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.29	range_medium	-0.18%	-0.21	29/09 10:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 49%	late	—	—	0.60	range_low	-0.77%	-0.39	29/09 11:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Regime	Tradability	Move	PAQ	Momentum	Near S/D	RVOL	Vol zone	POC dist	LVN	VP ref	Évalué à
1d 167058	↑ up	bull_high	61%	early 7b 0.4ATR	noisy_chop 35%	0.565	— —	0.64	below_value	-3.73 ATR	—	#92659	27/09 20:00 upd 28/09 20:29
4h 172445	↔ neutral	bull_high	52%	early 11b -0.6ATR	noisy_chop 40%	0.526	near -0.1ATR —	0.58	below_value	-3.64 ATR	—	#95035	29/09 04:00 upd 29/09 08:20
1h anchor 173654	↓ down	bear_high	57%	mid 6b -0.9ATR	noisy_chop 39%	0.432	— —	0.79	below_value	-5.11 ATR	—	#95628	29/09 10:00 upd 29/09 11:11
15m 173978	↓ down	bear_high	62%	late 10b -2.1ATR	noisy_chop 49%	0.509	— —	1.05	below_value	-5.11 ATR	—	#95628	29/09 11:45 upd 29/09 12:04
5m	Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.241×ATR	p4	+0.389×ATR	p15
4h	↓ down	early	11b	—	3.014×ATR	p46	-0.551×ATR	p38
1h	↓ down	mid	6b	—	2.483×ATR	p50	-0.856×ATR	p55
15m	↓ down	late	10b	—	3.533×ATR	p73	-2.142×ATR	p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 28.16615135
tp_price: 26.082225
atr: 0.56606054
expires_at: 2026-09-29T22:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 80
total: 84
score: 0.2641
delta_2h: -0.0798
extension_atr: -1.27
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2025
confidence: 0.952

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
26.751	28.1662	26.0822	0.47	27.439

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 26.751
Stop Loss: 28.1662
Take Profit: 26.0822

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 28.1662 - 26.751 = 1.4152
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 26.751 - 26.0822 = 0.6688
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6688 / 1.4152 = 0.4726

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
151.2262	100	5.6531	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 1.4152

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4152 = 5.65

Taille de position USD = 5.65 x 26.751 = 151.14

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.65 avec un stoploss a 28.1662

Avec un position size USD de 151.14$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.65 x 1.4152 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.65 x 0.6688 = 3.78

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.78$

Résumé

Taille de position 5.65
Taille de position USD 151.14
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.78
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4726

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.78 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.29 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.91 $	-1.92

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.0541 %	57.73 %	9

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
26.751	28.1662	26.0822	0.47	27.439

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 26.751
Stop Loss: 28.1662
Take Profit: 26.0822

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 28.1662 - 26.751 = 1.4152
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 26.751 - 26.0822 = 0.6688
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6688 / 1.4152 = 0.4726

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.290% (1.4152)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.475%	0.1R	-1.880%	0.4R	0.3×	12
2h	+1.286%	0.2R	-1.880%	0.4R	0.7×	24
4h	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	72
8h	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	96
12h	+1.286%	0.2R	-3.054%	0.6R	0.4×	144

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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