Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 66.5 AVAX at 11.113$ per unit. Take profit: 11.3536 (2.17 %) & Stop Loss: 10.9927 (1.08 %)
Long Trade on AVAX (CatchTheWave)
With 66.5 AVAX at 11.113$ per unit. Take profit: 11.3536 (2.17 %) & Stop Loss: 10.9927 (1.08 %)
Position
Entry 11.113$
Qty 66.4982 AVAX
Size 738.9947$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 11.3536 (+2.17%)
TP $ 16$
SL 10.9927 (-1.08%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9235
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.43×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.532825 15m : 0.701707 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 42.2% |
| 1h | 67.2% |
| 4h | 14.1% |
| 24h | 51.6% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 56.3% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 29.7% | -2.10% |
| 24h | 59.4% | +0.07% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7268 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.79% · r3d: -0.47% · ema21_slope: 2.6407% · dist_ema21: 11.714% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5943 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.63% · rs_3d: 0.26% · beta_24h: 0.944 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3807 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.314 · trend: 28.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8872 | ADX: 46.5 (trend) · Chop: 20.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.586% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5172 | r1h: -2.613% · r4h: -5.342% · r1d: 8.44% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: 0.4886% · dist_ema21: 0.807% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4833 | rs_1h: -1.806% · rs_4h: -3.843% · rs_1d: 8.82% · rs_3d: 3.40% · beta_24h: 3.071 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9908 | rvol_20: 2.94× · zscore_50: 3.331 · trend: 131.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7881 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 25.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.335% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5947 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.342% · r1d: 8.44% · r3d: 2.11% · ema21_slope: 0.0834% · dist_ema21: 3.486% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5888 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.843% · rs_1d: 8.82% · rs_3d: 3.40% · beta_24h: 3.961 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9476 | rvol_20: 3.18× · zscore_50: 2.351 · trend: 93.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7202 | ADX: 28.0 (trend) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5598 | ATR%: 4.321% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.170% | 1.1R | -0.513% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.377% | 1.3R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.150% | 2.9R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.058% | 3.8R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.058% | 3.8R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 6.0× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.98 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +1.12% | +0.53 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
72%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.43 | bear_medium | -0.96% | +0.69 | 29/09 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.71 | range_low | -0.51% | -0.21 | 29/09 12:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166807 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
mid 7b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.844 |
— — |
0.85 | value | +1.33 ATR | — | #92598 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:17
|
|
4h
174004 |
↑ up | bull_high |
53%
|
early 6b 0.8ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.548 |
— — |
3.18 | above_value | +3.27 ATR | — | #95738 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:12
|
|
1h
anchor
174003 |
↑ up | bull_high |
72%
|
mid 3b 0.3ATR | noisy_chop 48% | 0.681 |
— — |
2.94 | above_value | +3.27 ATR | — | #95738 |
29/09 11:00
upd 29/09 12:12
|
|
15m
174256 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
59%
|
late 17b -1.7ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.618 |
— — |
0.63 | above_value | +3.27 ATR | — | #95738 |
29/09 12:15
upd 29/09 12:30
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 1.725×ATR | p0 | +1.258×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.216×ATR | p7 | +0.789×ATR | p47 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.062×ATR | p69 | +0.313×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 5.91×ATR | p94 | -1.662×ATR | p72 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
83788.7
-0.00764729
83148
0.532825
83626.4
-0.00572124
83148
0.701707
83808.8
-0.00885164
83067
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12.019
195
0.7403
0.6245
0.3337
0.2823
0.3758
1
0.152
0.6255
0.6849
0.8607
0.6841
0.5644
0.1405
0.0915
1
0.1044
1.017
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.4354
0.5156
6.3862
0.55
2.9876
8.0616
1.017
0
0.2521
0.8
0.2711
0.6296
0.5064
0.8471
0.5644
-3.2557
4.2189
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 12.019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:50:00 | 11.655 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 13:30:00 | 11.775 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 14:15:00 | 11.539 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 14:30:00 | 11.737 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:25:00 | 11.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 15:45:00 | 11.328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 16:00:00 | 11.151 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 16:20:00 | 11.308 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 16:30:00 | 11.108 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-28 16:00:00 | 10.305 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 17:15:00 | 10.614 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 19:30:00 | 10.265 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-28 21:00:00 | 10.552 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 22:00:00 | 10.313 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:30:00 | 10.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 02:45:00 | 10.337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 07:45:00 | 11.548 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 12.019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 16:30:00 | 11.108 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 00:00:00 | 10.954 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 04:00:00 | 10.672 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 08:00:00 | 11.282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-27 13:00:00 | 10.811 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-27 20:00:00 | 11.094 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 12:00:00 | 10.719 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-28 15:00:00 | 10.143 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-29 00:00:00 | 10.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 12:00:00 | 12.019 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-29 15:00:00 | 11.15 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.113 | 10.9927 | 11.3536 | 2 | 11.017 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.9927 - 11.113 = -0.1203
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.113 - 11.3536 = -0.2406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2406 / -0.1203 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 738.9947 | 100 | 66.4982 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1203 = -66.5
Taille de position USD = -66.5 x 11.113 = -739.01
Donc, tu peux acheter -66.5 avec un stoploss a 10.9927
Avec un position size USD de -739.01$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -66.5 x -0.1203 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -66.5 x -0.2406 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.17 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.08 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6749 % | 62.35 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.113 | 10.9927 | 11.3536 | 2 | 11.017 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.9927 - 11.113 = -0.1203
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.113 - 11.3536 = -0.2406
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2406 / -0.1203 = 2
Array
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[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 20:45:00+00
[result] => win
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.170% | 1.1R | -0.513% | 0.5R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.377% | 1.3R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +3.150% | 2.9R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 4.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.058% | 3.8R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 6.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.058% | 3.8R | -0.675% | 0.6R | 6.0× | 144 |
computed 1 day ago
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