Long Trade on TAO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1 TAO at 310.6$ per unit. Take profit: 330.699 (6.47 %) & Stop Loss: 302.5604 (2.59 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 13:09:42
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 13:09
→ 16:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 310.6$
Qty 0.9951 TAO
Size 309.0706$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 330.699 (+6.47%)
TP $ 20$
SL 302.5604 (-2.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.59%
/ -8$
MAE -4.29%
MFE +0.17%
0.1R
expires
30 Sep 01:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 165269)
#37 / 83
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 13:00
score du 29/09/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6106
Quality Score
0.513
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
35.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 13:01
29/09 13:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 83
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 83
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.33×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.57×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 29/09 11:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4381
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
28.1%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
alt_capitulation
Leadership :
btc
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 34.9% |
| 1h | 63.5% |
| 4h | 14.3% |
| 24h | 46.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.1% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 31.8% | -2.06% |
| 24h | 58.7% | -0.15% |
Dispersion :
0.209
Universe :
63
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 13:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5732
Score SMA
0.6594
Rank
#50
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4432
Rank Norm SMA
0.6405
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6855 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.71% · r3d: -3.24% · ema21_slope: 1.8819% · dist_ema21: 11.085% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5456 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.55% · rs_3d: -2.52% · beta_24h: 2.360 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5469 | rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: 0.981 · trend: 64.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8116 | ADX: 37.4 (trend) · Chop: 28.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.445% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.5133
Score SMA
0.5551
Rank
#37
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6106
Rank Norm SMA
0.5315
Calculé le
29/09/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4841 | r1h: 1.053% · r4h: -1.236% · r1d: 2.37% · r3d: -7.26% · ema21_slope: 0.1384% · dist_ema21: 0.032% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5397 | rs_1h: 1.068% · rs_4h: 0.272% · rs_1d: 3.17% · rs_3d: -6.02% · beta_24h: 2.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2123 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.780 · trend: -1.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5686 | ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 50.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.007% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4740
Score SMA
0.6006
Rank
#55
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4413
Rank Norm SMA
0.5922
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4846 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.080% · r1d: 2.13% · r3d: -9.48% · ema21_slope: -0.1070% · dist_ema21: -1.303% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4439 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.581% · rs_1d: 2.51% · rs_3d: -8.19% · beta_24h: 3.326 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3663 | rvol_20: 1.21× · zscore_50: -0.131 · trend: -4.00% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5362 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6400 | ATR%: 4.080% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.588%
(8.0396)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.479% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.174% | 0.1R | -2.479% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.174% | 0.1R | -3.284% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.174% | 0.1R | -4.295% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.174% | 0.1R | -4.295% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.256% | 0.5R | -4.295% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 21 hours ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.64 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.81 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +1.12% | -0.11 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -0.96% | +0.13 | 29/09 11:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
29%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.73 | range_low | -0.73% | -0.06 | 29/09 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
166976 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
68%
|
mid 12b 1.2ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.604 |
— near -0.6ATR |
1.31 | value | -0.72 ATR | — | #92639 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:25
|
|
4h
174086 |
↑ up | bull_high |
60%
|
early 18b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.686 |
— — |
1.21 | above_value | -0.94 ATR | — | #95776 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:16
|
|
1h
anchor
174085 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
58%
|
early 1b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 35% | 0.636 |
— — |
1.39 | above_value | -0.94 ATR | — | #95776 |
29/09 11:00
upd 29/09 12:16
|
|
15m
174450 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
29%
|
early 6b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.593 |
— — |
0.35 | above_value | -0.94 ATR | — | #95776 |
29/09 12:45
upd 29/09 13:02
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.136×ATR | p48 | +1.202×ATR | p60 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.768×ATR | p35 | -0.326×ATR | p18 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.061×ATR | p41 | -0.52×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.481×ATR | p0 | -0.301×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8168
- reason: up_bo width=2.24×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 302.56041328
- tp_price: 330.69896679
- atr:
- score: 0.91682871945998
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T05:09:34.917213
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.91682871945998
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0577
- obi_top10 : -0.0577
- micro_price : 309.88563338
- spread_pct : 0.025818
- mid_price : 309.9
- bid_wall_price : 307
- bid_wall_size : 4945.9926
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.2645
- obi_top5_std : 0.1295
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6796
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
309.81
- balance_zone_bottom:
296.5
- balance_zone_mid:
303.155
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790586000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790701200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2385
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9168
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790697600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
309.81
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.697
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.1329
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 5.94586718 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.697
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1329
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:09 | 310.60000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:19 | 310.60000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 13:29 | 310.60000000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6796ms
Confidence avant OB :
92%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.058
avg -0.265
± 0.130
OBI Top 10
-0.058
Microstructure
Mid Price
309.9000
Micro Price
309.8856
Spread
0.0258%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
307.0000
Size
4,945.99
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310.6 | 302.5604 | 330.699 | 2.5 | 306.73 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 310.6
- Stop Loss: 302.5604
- Take Profit: 330.699
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 302.5604 - 310.6 = -8.0396
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 310.6 - 330.699 = -20.099
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -20.099 / -8.0396 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 309.0706 | 100 | 0.9951 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -8.0396
Taille de position = 8 / -8.0396 = -1
Taille de position USD = -1 x 310.6 = -310.6
Donc, tu peux acheter -1 avec un stoploss a 302.5604
Avec un position size USD de -310.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1 x -8.0396 = 8.04
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.04$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1 x -20.099 = 20.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1
- Taille de position USD -310.6
- Perte potentielle 8.04
- Gain potentiel 20.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.47 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.284 % | 126.87 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310.6 | 302.5604 | 330.699 | 2.5 | 306.73 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 310.6
- Stop Loss: 302.5604
- Take Profit: 330.699
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 302.5604 - 310.6 = -8.0396
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 310.6 - 330.699 = -20.099
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -20.099 / -8.0396 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 330.699
[entry_price] => 310.6
[stop_loss] => 301.75644
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 330.699
[entry_price] => 310.6
[stop_loss] => 300.95248
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 20:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 330.699
[entry_price] => 310.6
[stop_loss] => 300.14852
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-29 22:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.588%
(8.0396)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.479% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.174% | 0.1R | -2.479% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.174% | 0.1R | -3.284% | 1.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.174% | 0.1R | -4.295% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.174% | 0.1R | -4.295% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.256% | 0.5R | -4.295% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 21 hours ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.