Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 1713.45 XPL at 0.0983$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08664 (11.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.103 (4.76 %)
Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 1713.45 XPL at 0.0983$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08664 (11.88 %) & Stop Loss: 0.103 (4.76 %)
Position
Entry 0.09832$
Qty 1713.451 XPL
Size 168.4597$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08664 (+11.88%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.103 (-4.76%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1791
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.26×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/09 12:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
| 15m | 34.9% |
| 1h | 63.5% |
| 4h | 14.3% |
| 24h | 46.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.1% | -0.05% |
| 4h | 31.8% | -2.06% |
| 24h | 58.7% | -0.15% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5956 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -7.45% · r3d: -14.33% · ema21_slope: 1.1285% · dist_ema21: 2.343% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3596 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.29% · rs_3d: -13.61% · beta_24h: 1.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6607 | rvol_20: 1.57× · zscore_50: 1.343 · trend: 134.12% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6859 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 39.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.100% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3555 | r1h: -0.405% · r4h: -1.204% · r1d: 0.16% · r3d: -15.40% · ema21_slope: 0.0691% · dist_ema21: -0.778% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3841 | rs_1h: -0.389% · rs_4h: 0.304% · rs_1d: 0.95% · rs_3d: -14.16% · beta_24h: 3.078 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2986 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.409 · trend: -7.34% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5303 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.568% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3467 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.247% · r1d: 1.53% · r3d: -15.46% · ema21_slope: -0.4494% · dist_ema21: -3.679% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4527 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.748% · rs_1d: 1.91% · rs_3d: -14.17% · beta_24h: 2.612 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2845 | rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: -0.257 · trend: -19.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5443 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1467 | ATR%: 5.560% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.54 | bull_high | +12.96% | -0.56 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | bull_high | +1.12% | -0.90 | 29/09 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.1ATR | near -0.6ATR | 0.43 | bear_medium | -0.96% | +0.03 | 29/09 12:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.73% | -0.11 | 29/09 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167080 |
↑ up | bull_high |
56%
|
early 3b 0.2ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.695 |
— near -0.4ATR |
1.57 | below_value | -5.08 ATR | — | #92664 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:30
|
|
4h
174161 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
48%
|
mid 19b -0.7ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.567 |
— — |
0.88 | below_value | -5.04 ATR | — | #95801 |
29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:19
|
|
1h
anchor
174548 |
↓ down | bear_high |
60%
|
early 5b -0.3ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.405 |
near 0.1ATR near -0.6ATR |
0.93 | below_value | -4.99 ATR | — | #96053 |
29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 13:11
|
|
15m
174468 |
↔ neutral | range_high |
35%
|
early 8b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 36% | 0.555 |
— — |
1.06 | below_value | -5.04 ATR | — | #95801 |
29/09 12:45
upd 29/09 13:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.302×ATR | p0 | +0.179×ATR | p10 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 4.204×ATR | p65 | -0.743×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.49×ATR | p2 | -0.317×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.979×ATR | p14 | -0.488×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.1027
143
0.2902
0.524
0.3437
0.2177
0.4467
1
0.2928
0.4032
0.3249
0.1309
0.5596
0.1608
0.0067
-0.0332
0
-0.2629
-1.0929
0.45
0.55
-1
15
1
0.5645
0.3805
3.5685
0.6
1.0702
3.4027
-1.0929
0.3058
0.2994
0.08
-0.1757
0.4277
0.5299
0.7719
0.1608
-11.4632
2.1962
1
0
1
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-24 17:00:00
[price] => 0.099218
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-24 21:00:00
[price] => 0.11641
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-24 22:00:00
[price] => 0.10684
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 01:00:00
[price] => 0.11832
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 03:00:00
[price] => 0.111
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 08:00:00
[price] => 0.12576
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 14:00:00
[price] => 0.10648
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-25 23:00:00
[price] => 0.11728
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 03:00:00
[price] => 0.10945
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-26 11:00:00
[price] => 0.12253
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 03:00:00
[price] => 0.10816
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 07:00:00
[price] => 0.11356
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 10:00:00
[price] => 0.10869
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 12:00:00
[price] => 0.11321
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
[price] => 0.10327
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 00:00:00
[price] => 0.10935
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 15:00:00
[price] => 0.095748
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 18:00:00
[price] => 0.10212
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
[price] => 0.093853
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 11:00:00
[price] => 0.1027
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 18:00:00
[price] => 0.10212
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 19:30:00
[price] => 0.097292
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 21:00:00
[price] => 0.099603
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 22:00:00
[price] => 0.096293
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 00:30:00
[price] => 0.099223
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 02:30:00
[price] => 0.093853
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 04:15:00
[price] => 0.097564
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 05:30:00
[price] => 0.095081
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 08:30:00
[price] => 0.10252
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 11:15:00
[price] => 0.09846
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 11:45:00
[price] => 0.1027
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 13:30:00
[price] => 0.099096
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 14:45:00
[price] => 0.10179
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
0.093853
0.1027
0.1027
0.093853
0.093122
0.092482
0.092802
0.702
0.10212
0.097283
0.0997015
0.7035
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:12 | 0.09831600 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 13:32 | 0.09809100 | -0.233% |
| 3 | 13:42 | 0.09800200 | -0.323% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09832 | 0.103 | 0.08664 | 2.5 | 0.09725 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.103 - 0.09832 = 0.00468
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09832 - 0.08664 = 0.01168
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01168 / 0.00468 = 2.4957
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 168.4597 | 100 | 1713.451 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00468 = 1709.4
Taille de position USD = 1709.4 x 0.09832 = 168.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 1709.4 avec un stoploss a 0.103
Avec un position size USD de 168.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1709.4 x 0.00468 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1709.4 x 0.01168 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.88 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.76 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0 $ | 1.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09832 | 0.103 | 0.08664 | 2.5 | 0.09725 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.103 - 0.09832 = 0.00468
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09832 - 0.08664 = 0.01168
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.01168 / 0.00468 = 2.4957
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
Aucun commentaire.