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Short Trade on TIA

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29 Sep 2026 at 13:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 349.27 TIA at 0.443$ per unit. Take profit: 0.432 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.466 (5.17 %)

TIA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 29 Sep 2026 13:15 → 19:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4431$

Qty 349.2715 TIA

Size 154.7692$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.432 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.88$

SL 0.466 (-5.17%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.48

Status win PnL +0.42% / +0.64$ MAE -1.99% MFE +1.66% 0.3R expires 29 Sep 19:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 165255)
#74 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4566

Quality Score
0.418
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 13:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#74 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.17 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 83 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.17 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.36×ATR
4h clear 0.91×ATR
1d clear 2.12×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

29/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/09 12:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4381
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : alt_capitulation
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 34.9%
1h 63.5%
4h 14.3%
24h 46.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 38.1% -0.05%
4h 31.8% -2.06%
24h 58.7% -0.15%
Dispersion : 0.209
Universe : 63 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 29/09 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4953
Score SMA
0.6215
Rank
#76 / 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1477
Rank Norm SMA
0.6276
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6512 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -12.15% · r3d: -9.48% · ema21_slope: 1.8926% · dist_ema21: 4.017%
Force Relative 25% 0.4476 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -10.99% · rs_3d: -8.76% · beta_24h: 1.939
Volume 20% 0.3405 rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: 0.106 · trend: 12.34%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7995 ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 28.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4176
Score SMA
0.5536
Rank
#74 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4566
Rank Norm SMA
0.5030
Calculé le
29/09/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2593 r1h: -1.127% · r4h: -3.916% · r1d: -1.57% · r3d: -13.58% · ema21_slope: 0.0662% · dist_ema21: -2.101%
Force Relative 25% 0.2911 rs_1h: -1.111% · rs_4h: -2.408% · rs_1d: -0.77% · rs_3d: -12.34% · beta_24h: 2.807
Volume 20% 0.3365 rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: -0.066 · trend: 8.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6649 ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 41.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.182% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4350
Score SMA
0.6070
Rank
#68 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4385
Rank Norm SMA
0.6029
Calculé le
29/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3753 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.789% · r1d: 0.08% · r3d: -12.22% · ema21_slope: -0.3720% · dist_ema21: -4.201%
Force Relative 25% 0.3886 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.290% · rs_1d: 0.46% · rs_3d: -10.93% · beta_24h: 3.536
Volume 20% 0.3476 rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: -0.329 · trend: -10.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6936 ADX: 25.6 (trend) · Chop: 40.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5172 ATR%: 4.448% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.168% (0.0229)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.657% 0.3R -0.214% 0.0R 7.7× 12
2h +1.657% 0.3R -1.684% 0.3R 1.0× 24
4h +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 72
8h +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 96
12h +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 144

computed 1 day ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.24
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate explosive expansion bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 43% early — near 0.4ATR 0.63 bull_high +12.96% +0.27 27/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.48 bull_high +1.12% -0.64 29/09 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — 0.34 bear_medium -0.96% -0.05 29/09 12:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong fading volatile_reversal bear_high
47%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.71 range_low -0.73% -0.33 29/09 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
166910 		↑ up bull_high
64%
early 5b 0.4ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.805

—

near 0.4ATR

0.81 below_value -5.02 ATR — #92623 27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:22
4h
174052 		↔ neutral bull_high
53%
early 3b -0.9ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.617

—

—

1.23 below_value -5.27 ATR — #95762 29/09 08:00
upd 29/09 12:14
1h anchor
174509 		↔ neutral bear_high
59%
mid 2b -1.1ATR noisy_chop 41% 0.594

—

—

0.90 below_value -5.79 ATR — #96014 29/09 12:00
upd 29/09 13:10
15m
174437 		↔ neutral bear_high
47%
late 8b -1.9ATR noisy_chop 45% 0.466

—

—

1.76 below_value -5.27 ATR — #95762 29/09 12:45
upd 29/09 13:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b — 2.298×ATR p4 +0.401×ATR p26
4h ↑ up early 3b — 1.189×ATR p0 -0.942×ATR p44
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 2.709×ATR p57 -1.057×ATR p50
15m ↓ down late 8b — 5.317×ATR p82 -1.888×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.46602482
  2. tp_price: 0.432042
  3. atr: 0.00916193
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-29T23:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 81
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.2593
  4. delta_2h: -0.3178
  5. extension_atr: -0.93
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4551
  9. confidence: 0.964

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4431 0.466 0.432 0.48 0.4363
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4431
  • Stop Loss: 0.466
  • Take Profit: 0.432

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.466 - 0.4431 = 0.0229

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4431 - 0.432 = 0.0111

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0111 / 0.0229 = 0.4847

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
154.7692 100 349.2715 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0229

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0229 = 349.34

Taille de position USD = 349.34 x 0.4431 = 154.79

Donc, tu peux acheter 349.34 avec un stoploss a 0.466

Avec un position size USD de 154.79$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 349.34 x 0.0229 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 349.34 x 0.0111 = 3.88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.88$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 349.34
  • Taille de position USD 154.79
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.88
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4847

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.88 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
0.64 $ 0.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.986 % 38.43 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4431 0.466 0.432 0.48 0.4363
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4431
  • Stop Loss: 0.466
  • Take Profit: 0.432

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.466 - 0.4431 = 0.0229

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4431 - 0.432 = 0.0111

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0111 / 0.0229 = 0.4847

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.168% (0.0229)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.657% 0.3R -0.214% 0.0R 7.7× 12
2h +1.657% 0.3R -1.684% 0.3R 1.0× 24
4h +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 72
8h +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 96
12h +1.657% 0.3R -1.986% 0.4R 0.8× 144

computed 1 day ago

Commentaires

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